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Published in: Archives of Osteoporosis 1/2020

01-12-2020 | Osteoporosis | Original Article

Estimation and projection about the standardized prevalence of osteoporosis in mainland China

Authors: Zhiyong Cui, Xiangyu Meng, Hui Feng, Siying Zhuang, Zhaorui Liu, Tengjiao Zhu, Kaifeng Ye, Yong Xing, Chuan Sun, Fang Zhou, Yun Tian

Published in: Archives of Osteoporosis | Issue 1/2020

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Abstract

Summary

We performed a systematic analysis of the standardized prevalence of osteoporosis in mainland China from 1990 to 2050.

Introduction

Osteoporosis is the most common bone disease. We aimed to investigate the standardized prevalence of osteoporosis in mainland China at the national and regional levels, with projections until 2050.

Methods

A comprehensive literature search was performed in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang, and CBM-SinoMed. We constructed resample sets to calculate the standardized prevalence in each study. Multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression was used to estimate the age-specific and sex-specific prevalence. The United Nations Population Division (UNPD) data and regional population data from the fifth and sixth censuses in mainland China were used to estimate and project the national and regional prevalence of osteoporosis.

Results

The standardized prevalence of osteoporosis ranged from 5.04% (2.12~11.34%) to 7.46% (3.13~16.32%) in males aged ≥ 50 years and from 26.28% (15.38~40.40%) to 39.19% (25.74~53.95%) in females aged ≥ 50 years from 1990 to 2050. Moreover, we did not find a significant difference in the standardized prevalence among three geographic regions (Central China, West China, and East China).

Conclusion

We found that osteoporosis is a serious public health challenge in mainland China. The findings in our study add insight into the epidemiology of osteoporosis and would be beneficial for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis in mainland China.
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Metadata
Title
Estimation and projection about the standardized prevalence of osteoporosis in mainland China
Authors
Zhiyong Cui
Xiangyu Meng
Hui Feng
Siying Zhuang
Zhaorui Liu
Tengjiao Zhu
Kaifeng Ye
Yong Xing
Chuan Sun
Fang Zhou
Yun Tian
Publication date
01-12-2020
Publisher
Springer London
Published in
Archives of Osteoporosis / Issue 1/2020
Print ISSN: 1862-3522
Electronic ISSN: 1862-3514
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11657-019-0670-6

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