Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Current Obesity Reports 4/2020

01-12-2020 | Climate Change | Etiology of Obesity (M Rosenbaum, Section Editor)

Projecting the Influence of Global Warming on Physical Activity Patterns: a Systematic Review

Authors: Ruopeng An, Jing Shen, Yao Li, Shraddha Bandaru

Published in: Current Obesity Reports | Issue 4/2020

Login to get access

Abstract

Purpose of Review

This study systematically identified and synthesized empirical data-driven modeling studies that projected the future influence of global warming on people’s physical activity patterns.

Recent Findings

A total of ten studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review. Global warming, in general, was predicted to be associated with a net increase in active commuting and leisure-time physical activity. However, the specific relationship between climate change and future physical activity patterns was expected to vary by the periods of prediction, geographical locations, population subgroups, and seasons. Moreover, the positive association between global warming and physical activity could level off or be reversed once reaching a temperature threshold.

Summary

Preliminary evidence suggested a net increase in physical activity by mid- to late-twenty-first century owing to global warming. Future studies should refine the projections by taking into account the indirect effect of global warming through induced natural and human events, and assess effective countermeasures to mitigate the negative impact of global warming on vulnerable population subgroups.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Solomon S, Plattner G-K, Knutti R, Friedlingstein P. Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009;106(6):1704–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Solomon S, Plattner G-K, Knutti R, Friedlingstein P. Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009;106(6):1704–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
4.
go back to reference Jakicic JM, Rogers RJ, Davis KK, Collins KA. Role of physical activity and exercise in treating patients with overweight and obesity. Clin Chem. 2018;64(1):99–107.PubMedCrossRef Jakicic JM, Rogers RJ, Davis KK, Collins KA. Role of physical activity and exercise in treating patients with overweight and obesity. Clin Chem. 2018;64(1):99–107.PubMedCrossRef
5.
go back to reference Jakicic JM, Powell KE, Campbell WW, et al. Physical activity and the prevention of weight gain in adults: a systematic review. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2019;51(6):1262–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Jakicic JM, Powell KE, Campbell WW, et al. Physical activity and the prevention of weight gain in adults: a systematic review. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2019;51(6):1262–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
6.
go back to reference Penedo FJ, Dahn JR. Exercise and well-being: a review of mental and physical health benefits associated with physical activity. Curr Opin Psychiatry. 2005;18(2):189–93.PubMedCrossRef Penedo FJ, Dahn JR. Exercise and well-being: a review of mental and physical health benefits associated with physical activity. Curr Opin Psychiatry. 2005;18(2):189–93.PubMedCrossRef
9.
go back to reference US Department of Health and Human Services. Physical activity guidelines for Americans. 2nd ed. Washington, DC: Department of Health and Human Services; 2018. US Department of Health and Human Services. Physical activity guidelines for Americans. 2nd ed. Washington, DC: Department of Health and Human Services; 2018.
10.
go back to reference Schaefer L, Plotnikoff RC, Majumdar SR, Mollard R, Woo M, Sadman R, et al. Outdoor time is associated with physical activity, sedentary time, and cardiorespiratory fitness in youth. J Pediatr. 2014;165(3):516–21.PubMedCrossRef Schaefer L, Plotnikoff RC, Majumdar SR, Mollard R, Woo M, Sadman R, et al. Outdoor time is associated with physical activity, sedentary time, and cardiorespiratory fitness in youth. J Pediatr. 2014;165(3):516–21.PubMedCrossRef
11.
go back to reference Thompson CJ, Boddy K, Stein K, Whear R, Barton J, Depledge MH. Does participating in physical activity in outdoor natural environments have a greater effect on physical and mental wellbeing than physical activity indoors? A systematic review. Environ Sci Technol. 2011;45(5):1761–72.CrossRef Thompson CJ, Boddy K, Stein K, Whear R, Barton J, Depledge MH. Does participating in physical activity in outdoor natural environments have a greater effect on physical and mental wellbeing than physical activity indoors? A systematic review. Environ Sci Technol. 2011;45(5):1761–72.CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Donnelly A, MacIntyre T. Physical activity in natural settings: green and blue exercise. Rouledge: London, UK; 2019.CrossRef Donnelly A, MacIntyre T. Physical activity in natural settings: green and blue exercise. Rouledge: London, UK; 2019.CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Strategies to prevent obesity and other chronic diseases: the CDC guide to strategies to increase physical activity in the community [Internet]. US Department of Health and Human Services. 2011. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Strategies to prevent obesity and other chronic diseases: the CDC guide to strategies to increase physical activity in the community [Internet]. US Department of Health and Human Services. 2011.
14.
go back to reference Abu-Omar K, Gelius P, Messing S. Physical activity promotion in the age of climate change. F1000Research. 2020;9(349). Abu-Omar K, Gelius P, Messing S. Physical activity promotion in the age of climate change. F1000Research. 2020;9(349).
16.
go back to reference Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, Grp P. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. J Clin Epidemiol. 2009;62(10):1006–12.PubMedCrossRef Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, Grp P. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. J Clin Epidemiol. 2009;62(10):1006–12.PubMedCrossRef
18.
go back to reference Maloney SK, Forbes CF. What effect will a few degrees of climate change have on human heat balance? Implications for human activity. Int J Biometeorol. 2011;55(2):147–60.PubMedCrossRef Maloney SK, Forbes CF. What effect will a few degrees of climate change have on human heat balance? Implications for human activity. Int J Biometeorol. 2011;55(2):147–60.PubMedCrossRef
19.
go back to reference Saneinejad S, Roorda MJ, Kennedy C. Modelling the impact of weather conditions on active transportation travel behaviour. Transp Res D. 2012;17(2):129–37.CrossRef Saneinejad S, Roorda MJ, Kennedy C. Modelling the impact of weather conditions on active transportation travel behaviour. Transp Res D. 2012;17(2):129–37.CrossRef
20.
go back to reference Lars Böcker JP, Dijst M. Climate change impacts on mode choices and travelled distances: a comparison of present with 2050 weather conditions for the Randstad Holland. J Transp Geogr. 2013;(28):176–85. Lars Böcker JP, Dijst M. Climate change impacts on mode choices and travelled distances: a comparison of present with 2050 weather conditions for the Randstad Holland. J Transp Geogr. 2013;(28):176–85.
21.
23.
go back to reference Mathisen TA, Annema JA, Kroesen M. The effects of weather and climate change on cycling in Northern Norway. Eur J Transp Infrastruct Res. 2015;15(2):261–73. Mathisen TA, Annema JA, Kroesen M. The effects of weather and climate change on cycling in Northern Norway. Eur J Transp Infrastruct Res. 2015;15(2):261–73.
24.
go back to reference Obradovich N, Fowler JH. Climate change may alter human physical activity patterns. Nat Hum Behav. 2017;1(5). Obradovich N, Fowler JH. Climate change may alter human physical activity patterns. Nat Hum Behav. 2017;1(5).
25.
go back to reference Heaney AK, Carrion D, Burkart K, Lesk C, Jack D. Climate change and physical activity: estimated impacts of ambient temperatures on bikeshare usage in New York City. Environ Health Perspect. 2019;127(3):37002.PubMedCrossRef Heaney AK, Carrion D, Burkart K, Lesk C, Jack D. Climate change and physical activity: estimated impacts of ambient temperatures on bikeshare usage in New York City. Environ Health Perspect. 2019;127(3):37002.PubMedCrossRef
26.
go back to reference Chan NW, Wichman CJ. Climate change and recreation: evidence from north american cycling. Environ Resour Econ. 2020;76:119–51.CrossRef Chan NW, Wichman CJ. Climate change and recreation: evidence from north american cycling. Environ Resour Econ. 2020;76:119–51.CrossRef
27.
go back to reference Tucker P, Gilliland J. The effect of season and weather on physical activity: a systematic review. Public Health. 2007;121(12):909–22.PubMedCrossRef Tucker P, Gilliland J. The effect of season and weather on physical activity: a systematic review. Public Health. 2007;121(12):909–22.PubMedCrossRef
28.
go back to reference Benevolenza MA, DeRigne L. The impact of climate change and natural disasters on vulnerable populations: a systematic review of literature. J Hum Behav Soc Environ. 2019;29(2):266–81.CrossRef Benevolenza MA, DeRigne L. The impact of climate change and natural disasters on vulnerable populations: a systematic review of literature. J Hum Behav Soc Environ. 2019;29(2):266–81.CrossRef
29.
go back to reference An R, Zhang S, Ji M, Guan C. Impact of ambient air pollution on physical activity among adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Perspect Public Health. 2018;138(2):111–21.PubMedCrossRef An R, Zhang S, Ji M, Guan C. Impact of ambient air pollution on physical activity among adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Perspect Public Health. 2018;138(2):111–21.PubMedCrossRef
30.
go back to reference Bernard SM, Samet JM, Grambsch A, Ebi KL, Romieu I. The potential impacts of climate variability and change on air pollution-related health effects in the United States. Environ health perspect. 2001;109 Suppl 2(Suppl 2):199–209. Bernard SM, Samet JM, Grambsch A, Ebi KL, Romieu I. The potential impacts of climate variability and change on air pollution-related health effects in the United States. Environ health perspect. 2001;109 Suppl 2(Suppl 2):199–209.
32.
go back to reference Gamble JL, Hurley BJ, Schultz PA, Jaglom WS, Krishnan N, Harris M. Climate change and older Americans: state of the science. Environ Health Perspect. 2013;121(1):15–22.PubMedCrossRef Gamble JL, Hurley BJ, Schultz PA, Jaglom WS, Krishnan N, Harris M. Climate change and older Americans: state of the science. Environ Health Perspect. 2013;121(1):15–22.PubMedCrossRef
33.
go back to reference Xu Z, Sheffield PE, Hu W, Su H, Yu W, Qi X, et al. Climate change and children’s health—a call for research on what works to protect children. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2012;9(9):3298–316.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Xu Z, Sheffield PE, Hu W, Su H, Yu W, Qi X, et al. Climate change and children’s health—a call for research on what works to protect children. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2012;9(9):3298–316.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
36.
go back to reference An R, Ji M, Zhang S. Global warming and obesity: a systematic review. Obes Rev. 2018;19(2):150–63.PubMedCrossRef An R, Ji M, Zhang S. Global warming and obesity: a systematic review. Obes Rev. 2018;19(2):150–63.PubMedCrossRef
37.
go back to reference Hasegawa T, Fujimori S, Takahashi K, Masui T. Scenarios for the risk of hunger in the twenty-first century using shared socioeconomic pathways. Environ Res Lett. 2015;10:014010.CrossRef Hasegawa T, Fujimori S, Takahashi K, Masui T. Scenarios for the risk of hunger in the twenty-first century using shared socioeconomic pathways. Environ Res Lett. 2015;10:014010.CrossRef
38.
go back to reference Springmann M, Mason-D’Croz D, Robinson S, Garnett T, Godfray HC, Gollin D, et al. Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: a modelling study. Lancet. 2016;387(10031):1937–46.PubMedCrossRef Springmann M, Mason-D’Croz D, Robinson S, Garnett T, Godfray HC, Gollin D, et al. Global and regional health effects of future food production under climate change: a modelling study. Lancet. 2016;387(10031):1937–46.PubMedCrossRef
41.
go back to reference Merom D, Miller Y, Lymer S, Bauman A. Effect of Australia’s Walk to Work Day campaign on adults’ active commuting and physical activity behavior. Am J Health Promot. 2005;19(3):159–62.PubMedCrossRef Merom D, Miller Y, Lymer S, Bauman A. Effect of Australia’s Walk to Work Day campaign on adults’ active commuting and physical activity behavior. Am J Health Promot. 2005;19(3):159–62.PubMedCrossRef
42.
go back to reference Martin A, Suhrcke M, Ogilvie D. Financial incentives to promote active travel: an evidence review and economic framework. Am J Prev Med. 2012;43(6):e45–57.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Martin A, Suhrcke M, Ogilvie D. Financial incentives to promote active travel: an evidence review and economic framework. Am J Prev Med. 2012;43(6):e45–57.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
43.
go back to reference Eriksson U, Arvidsson D, Sundquist K. Availability of exercise facilities and physical activity in 2,037 adults: cross-sectional results from the Swedish neighborhood and physical activity (SNAP) study. BMC Public Health. 2012;12:607.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Eriksson U, Arvidsson D, Sundquist K. Availability of exercise facilities and physical activity in 2,037 adults: cross-sectional results from the Swedish neighborhood and physical activity (SNAP) study. BMC Public Health. 2012;12:607.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
44.
go back to reference Adams SA, Matthews CE, Ebbeling CB, Moore CG, Cunningham JE, Fulton J, et al. The effect of social desirability and social approval on self-reports of physical activity. Am J Epidemiol. 2005;161(4):389–98.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Adams SA, Matthews CE, Ebbeling CB, Moore CG, Cunningham JE, Fulton J, et al. The effect of social desirability and social approval on self-reports of physical activity. Am J Epidemiol. 2005;161(4):389–98.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Metadata
Title
Projecting the Influence of Global Warming on Physical Activity Patterns: a Systematic Review
Authors
Ruopeng An
Jing Shen
Yao Li
Shraddha Bandaru
Publication date
01-12-2020
Publisher
Springer US
Keyword
Climate Change
Published in
Current Obesity Reports / Issue 4/2020
Electronic ISSN: 2162-4968
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13679-020-00406-w

Other articles of this Issue 4/2020

Current Obesity Reports 4/2020 Go to the issue

Childhood Obesity (A Kelly and C Fox, Section Editor)

Food Insecurity and Pediatric Obesity: a Double Whammy in the Era of COVID-19

The Obesity Epidemic: Causes and Consequences (A Cameron and K Backholer, Section Editors)

Obesity: a Ghost at the Feast of the Sustainable Development Goals

Live Webinar | 27-06-2024 | 18:00 (CEST)

Keynote webinar | Spotlight on medication adherence

Live: Thursday 27th June 2024, 18:00-19:30 (CEST)

WHO estimates that half of all patients worldwide are non-adherent to their prescribed medication. The consequences of poor adherence can be catastrophic, on both the individual and population level.

Join our expert panel to discover why you need to understand the drivers of non-adherence in your patients, and how you can optimize medication adherence in your clinics to drastically improve patient outcomes.

Prof. Kevin Dolgin
Prof. Florian Limbourg
Prof. Anoop Chauhan
Developed by: Springer Medicine
Obesity Clinical Trial Summary

At a glance: The STEP trials

A round-up of the STEP phase 3 clinical trials evaluating semaglutide for weight loss in people with overweight or obesity.

Developed by: Springer Medicine

Highlights from the ACC 2024 Congress

Year in Review: Pediatric cardiology

Watch Dr. Anne Marie Valente present the last year's highlights in pediatric and congenital heart disease in the official ACC.24 Year in Review session.

Year in Review: Pulmonary vascular disease

The last year's highlights in pulmonary vascular disease are presented by Dr. Jane Leopold in this official video from ACC.24.

Year in Review: Valvular heart disease

Watch Prof. William Zoghbi present the last year's highlights in valvular heart disease from the official ACC.24 Year in Review session.

Year in Review: Heart failure and cardiomyopathies

Watch this official video from ACC.24. Dr. Biykem Bozkurt discusses last year's major advances in heart failure and cardiomyopathies.