Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Journal of Neurology 5/2019

01-05-2019 | Dementia | Original Communication

Joint impact of seven risk factors on incident dementia in elderly Japanese: the Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study

Authors: Yumika Kotaki, Yasutake Tomata, Fumiya Tanji, Shu Zhang, Yumi Sugawara, Ichiro Tsuji

Published in: Journal of Neurology | Issue 5/2019

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

This cohort study estimated the population attributable fraction (PAF) of seven combined major risk factors for incident dementia.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study of 8563 community-dwelling individuals aged ≥ 65 years. In a baseline survey (2006), we collected data on major seven risk factors: diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity, physical inactivity, severe psychological distress, smoking, and low educational attainment. The total number of risk factors was applied as an exposure variable. Subjects were categorized into four groups according to the total number of risk factors they possessed (0, 1, 2, ≥ 3 risk factors). Data on incident dementia were retrieved from the public Long-term Care Insurance database. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were estimated using the Cox proportional regression model. We also calculated the PAF using HRs and the prevalences in our cohort data.

Results

The number of cases of incident dementia was 577 (6.7%). A dose–response relationship between the total number of risk factors and incident dementia was observed; in comparison with no risk factors (reference), the age- and sex-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 1.25 (0.92–1.70) for one risk factor, 1.59 (1.18–2.15) for two, and 2.21 (1.62–3.01) for three or more (P trend < 0.001). If subjects had adhered to none of the risk factors, the PAF would have been 32.2%. If subjects had improved toward one better category, the PAF would have been 23.0%.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that reducing the combined number of risk factors would contribute significantly to reducing the incidence of dementia.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Prince MJ, Wimo A, Guerchet MM, Ali GC, Wu Y-T, Prina M (2015) World Alzheimer Report 2015—The global impact of dementia: an analysis of prevalence, incidence, cost and trends. Alzheimer’s Disease International, London Prince MJ, Wimo A, Guerchet MM, Ali GC, Wu Y-T, Prina M (2015) World Alzheimer Report 2015—The global impact of dementia: an analysis of prevalence, incidence, cost and trends. Alzheimer’s Disease International, London
11.
go back to reference Tsubono Y, Tsuji I, Fujita K, Nakaya N, Hozawa A, Ohkubo T, Kuwahara A, Watanabe Y, Ogawa K, Nishino Y, Hisamichi S (2002) Validation of walking questionnaire for population-based prospective studies in Japan: comparison with pedometer. J Epidemiol 12:305–309CrossRefPubMed Tsubono Y, Tsuji I, Fujita K, Nakaya N, Hozawa A, Ohkubo T, Kuwahara A, Watanabe Y, Ogawa K, Nishino Y, Hisamichi S (2002) Validation of walking questionnaire for population-based prospective studies in Japan: comparison with pedometer. J Epidemiol 12:305–309CrossRefPubMed
12.
go back to reference Kessler RC, Andrews G, Colpe LJ, Hiripi E, Mroczek DK, Normand SL, Walters EE, Zaslavsky AM (2002) Short screening scales to monitor population prevalences and trends in non-specific psychological distress. Psychol Med 32:959–976CrossRefPubMed Kessler RC, Andrews G, Colpe LJ, Hiripi E, Mroczek DK, Normand SL, Walters EE, Zaslavsky AM (2002) Short screening scales to monitor population prevalences and trends in non-specific psychological distress. Psychol Med 32:959–976CrossRefPubMed
13.
go back to reference Kessler RC, Green JG, Gruber MJ, Sampson NA, Bromet E, Cuitan M, Furukawa TA, Gureje O, Hinkov H, Hu C-Y, Lara C, Lee S, Mneimneh Z, Myer L, Oakley-Browne M, Posada-Villa J, Sagar R, Viana MC, Zaslavsky AM (2010) Screening for serious mental illness in the general population with the K6 screening scale: results from the WHO World Mental Health (WMH) survey initiative. Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 19:4–22. https://doi.org/10.1002/mpr.310 CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Kessler RC, Green JG, Gruber MJ, Sampson NA, Bromet E, Cuitan M, Furukawa TA, Gureje O, Hinkov H, Hu C-Y, Lara C, Lee S, Mneimneh Z, Myer L, Oakley-Browne M, Posada-Villa J, Sagar R, Viana MC, Zaslavsky AM (2010) Screening for serious mental illness in the general population with the K6 screening scale: results from the WHO World Mental Health (WMH) survey initiative. Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 19:4–22. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1002/​mpr.​310 CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
14.
go back to reference Kessler RC, Barker PR, Colpe LJ, Epstein JF, Gfroerer JC, Hiripi E, Howes MJ, Normand SL, Manderscheid RW, Walters EE, Zaslavsky AM (2003) Screening for serious mental illness in the general population. Arch Gen Psychiatry 60:184–189CrossRefPubMed Kessler RC, Barker PR, Colpe LJ, Epstein JF, Gfroerer JC, Hiripi E, Howes MJ, Normand SL, Manderscheid RW, Walters EE, Zaslavsky AM (2003) Screening for serious mental illness in the general population. Arch Gen Psychiatry 60:184–189CrossRefPubMed
15.
go back to reference Tomata Y, Hozawa A, Ohmori-Matsuda K, Nagai M, Sugawara Y, Nitta A, Kuriyama S, Tsuji I (2011) Validation of the Kihon Checklist for predicting the risk of 1-year incident long-term care insurance certification: the Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study. Jpn J public Heal 58:3–13 Tomata Y, Hozawa A, Ohmori-Matsuda K, Nagai M, Sugawara Y, Nitta A, Kuriyama S, Tsuji I (2011) Validation of the Kihon Checklist for predicting the risk of 1-year incident long-term care insurance certification: the Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study. Jpn J public Heal 58:3–13
16.
go back to reference Meguro K (2012) The validity of the Basic Checklist in the old–old population: the Kurihara Project. Jpn J Geriatr Psychiatry 23:725–730 Meguro K (2012) The validity of the Basic Checklist in the old–old population: the Kurihara Project. Jpn J Geriatr Psychiatry 23:725–730
17.
go back to reference Ikeda A, Yamagishi K, Tanigawa T, Cui R, Yao M, Noda H, Umesawa M, Chei C, Yokota K, Shiina Y, Harada M, Murata K, Asada T, Shimamoto T, Iso H (2008) Cigarette smoking and risk of disabling dementia in a Japanese Rural community: a nested case–control study. Cerebrovasc Dis 25:324–331. https://doi.org/10.1159/000118377 CrossRefPubMed Ikeda A, Yamagishi K, Tanigawa T, Cui R, Yao M, Noda H, Umesawa M, Chei C, Yokota K, Shiina Y, Harada M, Murata K, Asada T, Shimamoto T, Iso H (2008) Cigarette smoking and risk of disabling dementia in a Japanese Rural community: a nested case–control study. Cerebrovasc Dis 25:324–331. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1159/​000118377 CrossRefPubMed
19.
go back to reference Imahashi K, Kawagoe M, Eto F, Haga N (2007) Clinical status and dependency of the elderly requiring long-term care in Japan. Tohoku J Exp Med 212:229–238CrossRefPubMed Imahashi K, Kawagoe M, Eto F, Haga N (2007) Clinical status and dependency of the elderly requiring long-term care in Japan. Tohoku J Exp Med 212:229–238CrossRefPubMed
20.
go back to reference Moriyama Y, Tamiya N, Kamimura A, Sandoval F, Luptak M (2014) doctors’ opinion papers in long-term care need certification in Japan: comparison between clinic and advanced treatment hospital settings. Public Policy Adm Res 4:31–37 Moriyama Y, Tamiya N, Kamimura A, Sandoval F, Luptak M (2014) doctors’ opinion papers in long-term care need certification in Japan: comparison between clinic and advanced treatment hospital settings. Public Policy Adm Res 4:31–37
24.
25.
go back to reference Levin ML (1953) The occurrence of lung cancer in man. Acta Unio Int Contra Cancrum 9:531–541PubMed Levin ML (1953) The occurrence of lung cancer in man. Acta Unio Int Contra Cancrum 9:531–541PubMed
30.
go back to reference Hisano S (2009) The relationship between revised Hasegawa Dementia Scale (HDS-R), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Bed-fast Scale, Dementia scale. Jpn J Geriatr Psychiatry 20:883–891 Hisano S (2009) The relationship between revised Hasegawa Dementia Scale (HDS-R), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Bed-fast Scale, Dementia scale. Jpn J Geriatr Psychiatry 20:883–891
Metadata
Title
Joint impact of seven risk factors on incident dementia in elderly Japanese: the Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study
Authors
Yumika Kotaki
Yasutake Tomata
Fumiya Tanji
Shu Zhang
Yumi Sugawara
Ichiro Tsuji
Publication date
01-05-2019
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Keywords
Dementia
Dementia
Published in
Journal of Neurology / Issue 5/2019
Print ISSN: 0340-5354
Electronic ISSN: 1432-1459
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00415-019-09252-w

Other articles of this Issue 5/2019

Journal of Neurology 5/2019 Go to the issue