Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Public Health 1/2024

Open Access 01-12-2024 | Dementia | Research

The longitudinal associations between ambient air pollution exposure and dementia in the UK: results from the cognitive function and ageing study II and Wales

Authors: Yu-Tzu Wu, Nutthida Kitwiroon, Sean Beevers, Benjamin Barratt, Carol Brayne, Ester Cerin, Rachel Franklin, Vikki Houlden, Bob Woods, Eman Zied Abozied, Matthew Prina, Fiona Matthews

Published in: BMC Public Health | Issue 1/2024

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

Air pollution has been recognised as a potential risk factor for dementia. Yet recent epidemiological research shows mixed evidence. The aim of this study is to investigate the longitudinal associations between ambient air pollution exposure and dementia in older people across five urban and rural areas in the UK.

Methods

This study was based on two population-based cohort studies of 11329 people aged ≥ 65 in the Cognitive Function and Ageing Study II (2008–2011) and Wales (2011–2013). An algorithmic diagnosis method was used to identify dementia cases. Annual concentrations of four air pollutants (NO2, O3, PM10, PM2.5) were modelled for the year 2012 and linked via the participants’ postcodes. Multistate modelling was used to examine the effects of exposure to air pollutants on incident dementia incorporating death and adjusting for sociodemographic factors and area deprivation. A random-effect meta-analysis was carried out to summarise results from the current and nine existing cohort studies.

Results

Higher exposure levels of NO2 (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.14), O3 (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.70, 1.15), PM10 (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 0.86, 1.58), PM2.5 (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 0.71, 2.79) were not strongly associated with dementia in the two UK-based cohorts. Inconsistent directions and strengths of the associations were observed across the two cohorts, five areas, and nine existing studies.

Conclusions

In contrast to the literature, this study did not find clear associations between air pollution and dementia. Future research needs to investigate how methodological and contextual factors can affect evidence in this field and clarity the influence of air pollution exposure on cognitive health over the lifecourse.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference World Health Organisation. Dementia: a public health priority. Geneva: World Health Organisation; 2012. World Health Organisation. Dementia: a public health priority. Geneva: World Health Organisation; 2012.
2.
go back to reference World Health Organisation. Global action plan on the public health response to dementia 2017–2025. Geneva: World Health Organisation; 2017. World Health Organisation. Global action plan on the public health response to dementia 2017–2025. Geneva: World Health Organisation; 2017.
3.
go back to reference Livingston G, Sommerlad A, Orgeta V, et al. Dementia prevention, intervention, and care. Lancet. 2017;390(10113):2673–734.PubMedCrossRef Livingston G, Sommerlad A, Orgeta V, et al. Dementia prevention, intervention, and care. Lancet. 2017;390(10113):2673–734.PubMedCrossRef
6.
go back to reference Zhao YL, Qu Y, Ou YN, Zhang YR, Tan L, Yu JT. Environmental factors and risks of cognitive impairment and dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Ageing Res Rev. 2021;72:101504.PubMedCrossRef Zhao YL, Qu Y, Ou YN, Zhang YR, Tan L, Yu JT. Environmental factors and risks of cognitive impairment and dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Ageing Res Rev. 2021;72:101504.PubMedCrossRef
8.
go back to reference Abolhasani E, Hachinski V, Ghazaleh N, Azarpazhooh MR, Mokhber N, Martin J. Air pollution and incidence of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Neurology. 2023;100(2):e242–54.PubMedCrossRef Abolhasani E, Hachinski V, Ghazaleh N, Azarpazhooh MR, Mokhber N, Martin J. Air pollution and incidence of dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Neurology. 2023;100(2):e242–54.PubMedCrossRef
9.
go back to reference Power MC, Adar SD, Yanosky JD, Weuve J. Exposure to air pollution as a potential contributor to cognitive function, cognitive decline, brain imaging, and dementia: a systematic review of epidemiologic research. Neurotoxicology. 2016;56:235–53.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Power MC, Adar SD, Yanosky JD, Weuve J. Exposure to air pollution as a potential contributor to cognitive function, cognitive decline, brain imaging, and dementia: a systematic review of epidemiologic research. Neurotoxicology. 2016;56:235–53.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
10.
go back to reference Weuve J, Bennett EE, Ranker L, et al. Exposure to air pollution in relation to risk of dementia and related outcomes: an updated systematic review of the epidemiological literature. Environ Health Perspect. 2021;129(9):96001.PubMedCrossRef Weuve J, Bennett EE, Ranker L, et al. Exposure to air pollution in relation to risk of dementia and related outcomes: an updated systematic review of the epidemiological literature. Environ Health Perspect. 2021;129(9):96001.PubMedCrossRef
11.
12.
go back to reference Livingston G, Huntley J, Sommerlad A, et al. Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the lancet commission. Lancet. 2020;396(10248):413–46.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Livingston G, Huntley J, Sommerlad A, et al. Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the lancet commission. Lancet. 2020;396(10248):413–46.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
13.
go back to reference Chen H, Kwong JC, Copes R, et al. Exposure to ambient air pollution and the incidence of dementia: a population-based cohort study. Environ Int. 2017;108:271–7.PubMedCrossRef Chen H, Kwong JC, Copes R, et al. Exposure to ambient air pollution and the incidence of dementia: a population-based cohort study. Environ Int. 2017;108:271–7.PubMedCrossRef
14.
go back to reference Carey IM, Anderson HR, Atkinson RW, et al. Are noise and air pollution related to the incidence of dementia? A cohort study in London, England. BMJ Open. 2018;8(9):e022404.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Carey IM, Anderson HR, Atkinson RW, et al. Are noise and air pollution related to the incidence of dementia? A cohort study in London, England. BMJ Open. 2018;8(9):e022404.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
15.
go back to reference Parra KL, Alexander GE, Raichlen DA, Klimentidis YC, Furlong MA. Exposure to air pollution and risk of incident dementia in the UK Biobank. Environ Res. 2022;209:112895.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Parra KL, Alexander GE, Raichlen DA, Klimentidis YC, Furlong MA. Exposure to air pollution and risk of incident dementia in the UK Biobank. Environ Res. 2022;209:112895.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
16.
go back to reference Wood D, Evangelopoulos D, Beevers S, Kitwiroon N, Katsouyanni K. Exposure to ambient air pollution and the incidence of dementia in the elderly of England: the ELSA cohort. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022;19(23):15889.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Wood D, Evangelopoulos D, Beevers S, Kitwiroon N, Katsouyanni K. Exposure to ambient air pollution and the incidence of dementia in the elderly of England: the ELSA cohort. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022;19(23):15889.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
17.
go back to reference Wu YT, Beiser AS, Breteler MMB, et al. The changing prevalence and incidence of dementia over time - current evidence. Nat Rev Neurol. 2017;13(6):327–39.PubMedCrossRef Wu YT, Beiser AS, Breteler MMB, et al. The changing prevalence and incidence of dementia over time - current evidence. Nat Rev Neurol. 2017;13(6):327–39.PubMedCrossRef
18.
go back to reference Erkinjuntti T, Østbye T, Steenhuis R, Hachinski V. The effect of different diagnostic criteria on the prevalence of dementia. N Engl J Med. 1997;337:1667–74.PubMedCrossRef Erkinjuntti T, Østbye T, Steenhuis R, Hachinski V. The effect of different diagnostic criteria on the prevalence of dementia. N Engl J Med. 1997;337:1667–74.PubMedCrossRef
19.
go back to reference Matthews FE, Arthur A, Barnes LE, et al. A two-decade comparison of prevalence of dementia in individuals aged 65 years and older from three geographical areas of England: results of the cognitive function and ageing study I and II. Lancet. 2013;382(9902):1405–12.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Matthews FE, Arthur A, Barnes LE, et al. A two-decade comparison of prevalence of dementia in individuals aged 65 years and older from three geographical areas of England: results of the cognitive function and ageing study I and II. Lancet. 2013;382(9902):1405–12.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
20.
go back to reference Matthews FE, Stephan BC, Robinson L, et al. A two decade dementia incidence comparison from the Cognitive Function and Ageing Studies I and II. Nat Commun. 2016;7:11398.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Matthews FE, Stephan BC, Robinson L, et al. A two decade dementia incidence comparison from the Cognitive Function and Ageing Studies I and II. Nat Commun. 2016;7:11398.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
21.
go back to reference Macleod CA. Maintaining function and well-being in later life: a longitudinal cohort study (CFAS Wales). Signpost Journal. 2011;16(1):23–4. Macleod CA. Maintaining function and well-being in later life: a longitudinal cohort study (CFAS Wales). Signpost Journal. 2011;16(1):23–4.
22.
go back to reference Copeland JR, Dewey ME, Griffiths-Jones HM. A computerized psychiatric diagnostic system and case nomenclature for elderly subjects: GMS and AGECAT. Psychol Med. 1986;16:89–99.PubMedCrossRef Copeland JR, Dewey ME, Griffiths-Jones HM. A computerized psychiatric diagnostic system and case nomenclature for elderly subjects: GMS and AGECAT. Psychol Med. 1986;16:89–99.PubMedCrossRef
23.
go back to reference American Psychiatric Association. Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (3rd ed., revised). 1987. American Psychiatric Association. Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (3rd ed., revised). 1987.
24.
go back to reference Beevers SD, Kitwiroon N, Williams ML, Carslaw DC. One way coupling of CMAQ and a road source dispersion model for fine scale air pollution predictions. Atmos Environ. 2012;59:47–58.CrossRef Beevers SD, Kitwiroon N, Williams ML, Carslaw DC. One way coupling of CMAQ and a road source dispersion model for fine scale air pollution predictions. Atmos Environ. 2012;59:47–58.CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Houyoux M, Vukovich J, Brandmeyer JE, Seppanen C, Holland A. Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions Modeling System-SMOKE User Manual. Prepared by MCNC-North Carolina Supercomputing Center, Environmental Programs, Research Triangle Park, NC. 2000. Houyoux M, Vukovich J, Brandmeyer JE, Seppanen C, Holland A. Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions Modeling System-SMOKE User Manual. Prepared by MCNC-North Carolina Supercomputing Center, Environmental Programs, Research Triangle Park, NC. 2000.
27.
go back to reference UK government. Department for Communities and Local Government. English indices of deprivation 2010. UK government, 2010. UK government. Department for Communities and Local Government. English indices of deprivation 2010. UK government, 2010.
28.
go back to reference Welsh government. Welsh index of multiple deprivation. Welsh government, 2011. Welsh government. Welsh index of multiple deprivation. Welsh government, 2011.
29.
go back to reference UK government, Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs. 2011 Census rural urban classification. UK Government, 2013. UK government, Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs. 2011 Census rural urban classification. UK Government, 2013.
30.
go back to reference Jackson CH. Multi-State models for panel data: the msm package for R. J Stat Softw. 2011;38(8):1–29.CrossRef Jackson CH. Multi-State models for panel data: the msm package for R. J Stat Softw. 2011;38(8):1–29.CrossRef
31.
go back to reference de Crom TOE, Ginos BNR, Oudin A, Ikram MK, Voortman T, Ikram MA. Air pollution and the risk of dementia: the rotterdam study. J Alzheimers Dis. 2023;91(2):603–13.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef de Crom TOE, Ginos BNR, Oudin A, Ikram MK, Voortman T, Ikram MA. Air pollution and the risk of dementia: the rotterdam study. J Alzheimers Dis. 2023;91(2):603–13.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
32.
go back to reference Grande G, Ljungman PLS, Eneroth K, Bellander T, Rizzuto D. Association between cardiovascular disease and long-term exposure to air pollution with the risk of dementia. JAMA Neurol. 2020;77(7):801–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Grande G, Ljungman PLS, Eneroth K, Bellander T, Rizzuto D. Association between cardiovascular disease and long-term exposure to air pollution with the risk of dementia. JAMA Neurol. 2020;77(7):801–9.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
33.
go back to reference Mortamais M, Gutierrez LA, de Hoogh K, et al. Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and risk of dementia: results of the prospective three-city study. Environ Int. 2021;148:106376.PubMedCrossRef Mortamais M, Gutierrez LA, de Hoogh K, et al. Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and risk of dementia: results of the prospective three-city study. Environ Int. 2021;148:106376.PubMedCrossRef
34.
go back to reference Oudin A, Segersson D, Adolfsson R, Forsberg B. Association between air pollution from residential wood burning and dementia incidence in a longitudinal study in Northern Sweden. PLoS ONE. 2018;13:e0198283–e0198283.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Oudin A, Segersson D, Adolfsson R, Forsberg B. Association between air pollution from residential wood burning and dementia incidence in a longitudinal study in Northern Sweden. PLoS ONE. 2018;13:e0198283–e0198283.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
35.
go back to reference Shaffer RM, Blanco MN, Li G, et al. Fine particulate matter and dementia incidence in the adult changes in thought study. Environ Health Perspect. 2021;129(8):87001.PubMedCrossRef Shaffer RM, Blanco MN, Li G, et al. Fine particulate matter and dementia incidence in the adult changes in thought study. Environ Health Perspect. 2021;129(8):87001.PubMedCrossRef
36.
go back to reference Sullivan KJ, Ran X, Wu F, et al. Ambient fine particulate matter exposure and incident mild cognitive impairment and dementia. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2021;69(8):2185–94.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Sullivan KJ, Ran X, Wu F, et al. Ambient fine particulate matter exposure and incident mild cognitive impairment and dementia. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2021;69(8):2185–94.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
37.
go back to reference Yu Y, Haan M, Paul KC, et al. Metabolic dysfunction modifies the influence of traffic-related air pollution and noise exposure on late-life dementia and cognitive impairment: a cohort study of older Mexican-Americans. Environ Epidemiol. 2020;4(6):e122.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Yu Y, Haan M, Paul KC, et al. Metabolic dysfunction modifies the influence of traffic-related air pollution and noise exposure on late-life dementia and cognitive impairment: a cohort study of older Mexican-Americans. Environ Epidemiol. 2020;4(6):e122.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
38.
go back to reference Bennett HQ, Kingston A, Lourida I, et al. A comparison over 2 decades of disability-free life expectancy at age 65 years for those with long-term conditions in England: analysis of the 2 longitudinal cognitive function and ageing studies. PLoS Med. 2022;19(3):e1003936.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Bennett HQ, Kingston A, Lourida I, et al. A comparison over 2 decades of disability-free life expectancy at age 65 years for those with long-term conditions in England: analysis of the 2 longitudinal cognitive function and ageing studies. PLoS Med. 2022;19(3):e1003936.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
39.
go back to reference Yin Z, Zhang Y, Zhang R, Chen G, Cong Y, Ma K. Structure of an urban green space indirectly affects the distribution of airborne particulate matter: a study based on structural equation modelling. Urban Forest Urban Green. 2022;72:127581.CrossRef Yin Z, Zhang Y, Zhang R, Chen G, Cong Y, Ma K. Structure of an urban green space indirectly affects the distribution of airborne particulate matter: a study based on structural equation modelling. Urban Forest Urban Green. 2022;72:127581.CrossRef
40.
go back to reference Cerza F, Renzi M, Gariazzo C, et al. Long-term exposure to air pollution and hospitalization for dementia in the Rome longitudinal study. Environ Health. 2019;18(1):72.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Cerza F, Renzi M, Gariazzo C, et al. Long-term exposure to air pollution and hospitalization for dementia in the Rome longitudinal study. Environ Health. 2019;18(1):72.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
41.
go back to reference Shi L, Zhu Q, Wang Y, et al. Incident dementia and long-term exposure to constituents of fine particle air pollution: a national cohort study in the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023;120(1):e2211282119.PubMedCrossRef Shi L, Zhu Q, Wang Y, et al. Incident dementia and long-term exposure to constituents of fine particle air pollution: a national cohort study in the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023;120(1):e2211282119.PubMedCrossRef
43.
go back to reference Cerin E, Barnett A, Wu YT, et al. Do neighbourhood traffic-related air pollution and socio-economic status moderate the associations of the neighbourhood physical environment with cognitive function? Findings from the AusDiab study. Sci Total Environ. 2023;858(Pt 3):160028.PubMedCrossRef Cerin E, Barnett A, Wu YT, et al. Do neighbourhood traffic-related air pollution and socio-economic status moderate the associations of the neighbourhood physical environment with cognitive function? Findings from the AusDiab study. Sci Total Environ. 2023;858(Pt 3):160028.PubMedCrossRef
44.
go back to reference Russ TC, Cherrie MPC, Dibben C, et al. Life course air pollution exposure and cognitive decline: modelled historical air pollution data and the Lothian birth cohort 1936. J Alzheimers Dis. 2021;79(3):1063–74.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Russ TC, Cherrie MPC, Dibben C, et al. Life course air pollution exposure and cognitive decline: modelled historical air pollution data and the Lothian birth cohort 1936. J Alzheimers Dis. 2021;79(3):1063–74.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
45.
go back to reference Cerin E, Barnett A, Shaw JE, et al. From urban neighbourhood environments to cognitive health: a cross-sectional analysis of the role of physical activity and sedentary behaviours. BMC Public Health. 2021;21(1):2320.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Cerin E, Barnett A, Shaw JE, et al. From urban neighbourhood environments to cognitive health: a cross-sectional analysis of the role of physical activity and sedentary behaviours. BMC Public Health. 2021;21(1):2320.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
46.
go back to reference Huangfu P, Atkinson R. Long-term exposure to NO2 and O3 and all-cause and respiratory mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Environ Int. 2020;144:105998.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Huangfu P, Atkinson R. Long-term exposure to NO2 and O3 and all-cause and respiratory mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Environ Int. 2020;144:105998.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
48.
go back to reference Vu TV, Steward GB, Kitwiroon N, et al. Assessing the contributions of outdoor and indoor sources to air quality in London homes of the SCAMP cohort. Build Environ. 2022;222:109359.CrossRef Vu TV, Steward GB, Kitwiroon N, et al. Assessing the contributions of outdoor and indoor sources to air quality in London homes of the SCAMP cohort. Build Environ. 2022;222:109359.CrossRef
49.
go back to reference Soja SM, Wegener R, Kille N, Castell S. Merging citizen science with epidemiology: design of a prospective feasibility study of health events and air pollution in Cologne, Germany. Pilot Feasibility Stud. 2023;9(1):28.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Soja SM, Wegener R, Kille N, Castell S. Merging citizen science with epidemiology: design of a prospective feasibility study of health events and air pollution in Cologne, Germany. Pilot Feasibility Stud. 2023;9(1):28.PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
50.
go back to reference Tang J, Chen A, He F, et al. Association of air pollution with dementia: a systematic review with meta-analysis including new cohort data from China. Environ Res. 2023;223:115048.PubMedCrossRef Tang J, Chen A, He F, et al. Association of air pollution with dementia: a systematic review with meta-analysis including new cohort data from China. Environ Res. 2023;223:115048.PubMedCrossRef
Metadata
Title
The longitudinal associations between ambient air pollution exposure and dementia in the UK: results from the cognitive function and ageing study II and Wales
Authors
Yu-Tzu Wu
Nutthida Kitwiroon
Sean Beevers
Benjamin Barratt
Carol Brayne
Ester Cerin
Rachel Franklin
Vikki Houlden
Bob Woods
Eman Zied Abozied
Matthew Prina
Fiona Matthews
Publication date
01-12-2024
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Public Health / Issue 1/2024
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2458
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-18723-3

Other articles of this Issue 1/2024

BMC Public Health 1/2024 Go to the issue