Cardiovascular events in acromegaly: distinct role of Agatston and Framingham score in the 5-year prediction

Prediction of ischemic cardiovascular events (ICE) in acromegalic patients stratified accordingly with Framingham (FS) and Agatston score (AS). 32 patients with active (group A ⁰) and 20 with controlled (group B ⁰) acromegaly have been enrolled. During the 5-year follow-up, 19 out of 32 patients in group A ⁰ reached disease control. At entry, FS and AS, by an eight-slice MDCT scanner, were calculated in all patients. ICE were diagnosed by autopsy, if lethal, and by electrocardiography and/or echocardiography, if non-lethal. Overall, 9.6 % of patients died for lethal ICE. AS >400, but not high FS at entry, was associated with increased risk of lethal ICE. Lethal ICE had occurred in two patients of group A ⁰ and three of group B ⁰ (p NS), while a non-lethal ICE had occurred in two cases of the former and in other two of the latter group (p NS). Either FS or AS was correlated with the risk for ICE overall (p < 0.02), but only AS correlated with that of lethal ICE (p < 0.0003). Survival analysis demonstrated reduced life expectancy in patients with high FS (p < 0.02). In acromegalics, AS >400 is associated with increased risk of lethal ICE, while high FS is associated with reduced life expectancy, regardless of disease control.