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Published in: World Journal of Urology 9/2021

Open Access 01-09-2021 | Prostate Cancer | Original Article

A novel prediction model for the completion of six cycles of radium-223 treatment and survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

Authors: Yasuhide Miyoshi, Sohgo Tsutsumi, Masato Yasui, Takashi Kawahara, Ko-ichi Uemura, Naruhiko Hayashi, Masahiro Nozawa, Kazuhiro Yoshimura, Hiroji Uemura, Hirotsugu Uemura

Published in: World Journal of Urology | Issue 9/2021

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Abstract

Purpose

We evaluated the predictive factors for completion of all six cycles of radium-223 (Ra-223) treatment in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). We also developed a novel prediction model for Ra-223 treatment completion using these predictors.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed data from 122 patients with mCRPC who were treated with Ra-223. The predictive factors for the completion of six cycles of Ra-223 treatment were evaluated. Statistically significant predictive factors were then used to develop a prediction model for treatment completion. Finally, using this prediction model, we classified the overall survival (OS) of the entire cohort into three groups.

Results

We identified three significant variables as the predictive factors for treatment completion: baseline alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level, baseline hemoglobin (Hb) level, and baseline pain. The three groups generated using the prediction model were: group 1 (patients with three predictive factors, i.e., ALP < median, Hb ≥ median, and no pain), group 2 (patients with one to two predictive factors), and group 3 (patients without any predictive factors). The treatment completion rates differed between the three groups significantly. Furthermore, the OS also differed among the groups significantly.

Conclusion

Our study suggested that the baseline ALP level, baseline Hb level, and baseline pain were the predictive factors of completion of all six cycles of Ra-223 treatment in patients with mCRPC. Our prediction model consisting of these factors could predict not only the completion of Ra-223 treatment, but also the post-treatment survival. This model can thus be useful for selection of patients for Ra-223 treatment.
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Metadata
Title
A novel prediction model for the completion of six cycles of radium-223 treatment and survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer
Authors
Yasuhide Miyoshi
Sohgo Tsutsumi
Masato Yasui
Takashi Kawahara
Ko-ichi Uemura
Naruhiko Hayashi
Masahiro Nozawa
Kazuhiro Yoshimura
Hiroji Uemura
Hirotsugu Uemura
Publication date
01-09-2021
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
World Journal of Urology / Issue 9/2021
Print ISSN: 0724-4983
Electronic ISSN: 1433-8726
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00345-021-03639-z

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