Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Cancer 1/2023

Open Access 01-12-2023 | Nutrition | Research

Prognostic value of pre-therapeutic nutritional risk factors in elderly patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy

Authors: Jianjian Qiu, Jun Yang, Yilin Yu, Zhiping Wang, Hancui Lin, Dongmei Ke, Hongying Zheng, Jiancheng Li, Qiwei Yao

Published in: BMC Cancer | Issue 1/2023

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

The nutritional status of cancer patients is a crucial factor in determining their prognosis. The objective of this study was to investigate and compare the prognostic value of pretreatment nutrition-related indicators in elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Risk stratification was performed according to independent risk factors and a new nutritional prognostic index was constructed.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 460 older locally advanced ESCC patients receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) or radiotherapy (dRT). This study included five pre- therapeutic nutrition-related indicators. The optimal cut-off values for these indices were calculated from the Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). Univariate and multivariate COX analyses were employed to determine the association between each indicator and clinical outcomes. The predictive ability of each independently nutrition-related prognostic indicator was assessed using the time-dependent ROC (time-ROC) and C-index.

Results

Multivariate analyses indicated that the geriatric nutrition risk index (GNRI), body mass index (BMI), the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, and platelet-albumin ratio (PAR) could independently predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in elderly patients with ESCC (all p < 0.05), except for prognostic nutritional index (PNI). Based on four independently nutrition-related prognostic indicators, we developed pre-therapeutic nutritional prognostic score (PTNPS) and new nutritional prognostic index (NNPI). No-risk (PTNPS = 0–1 point), moderate-risk (PTNPS = 2 points), and high-risk (PTNPS = 3–4 points) groups had 5-year OS rates of 42.3%, 22.9%, and 8.8%, respectively (p < 0.001), and 5-year PFS rates of 44.4%, 26.5%, and 11.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). The Kaplan–Meier curves showed that the mortality of elderly ESCC patients in the high-risk group was higher than that in the low-risk group according to the NNPI.
Analysis of time-AUC and C-index revealed that the NNPI (C-index: 0.663) had the greatest predictive power on the prognosis in older ESCC patients.

Conclusions

In elderly ESCC patients, the GNRI, BMI, CONUT score, and PAR can be used as objective assessment measures for the risk of nutrition-related death. Compared to the other four indexes, the NNPI has the greatest prognostic value for prognosis, and elderly patients with a higher nutritional risk have a poor prognosis, which is helpful in guiding early clinical nutrition intervention.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
18.
go back to reference Short MW, Burgers KG, Fry VT. Esophageal Cancer. Am Fam Physician. 2017;95:22–8.PubMed Short MW, Burgers KG, Fry VT. Esophageal Cancer. Am Fam Physician. 2017;95:22–8.PubMed
26.
29.
go back to reference Deng, H. Y. et al. High BMI has no impact on the survival of Chinese patients with lower thoracic esophageal adenocarcinoma treated with curative esophagectomy: a propensity score-matched study. Dis Esophagus (2019);32. https://doi.org/10.1093/dote/doy059. Deng, H. Y. et al. High BMI has no impact on the survival of Chinese patients with lower thoracic esophageal adenocarcinoma treated with curative esophagectomy: a propensity score-matched study. Dis Esophagus (2019);32. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1093/​dote/​doy059.
Metadata
Title
Prognostic value of pre-therapeutic nutritional risk factors in elderly patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy
Authors
Jianjian Qiu
Jun Yang
Yilin Yu
Zhiping Wang
Hancui Lin
Dongmei Ke
Hongying Zheng
Jiancheng Li
Qiwei Yao
Publication date
01-12-2023
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Cancer / Issue 1/2023
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2407
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-023-11044-5

Other articles of this Issue 1/2023

BMC Cancer 1/2023 Go to the issue
Webinar | 19-02-2024 | 17:30 (CET)

Keynote webinar | Spotlight on antibody–drug conjugates in cancer

Antibody–drug conjugates (ADCs) are novel agents that have shown promise across multiple tumor types. Explore the current landscape of ADCs in breast and lung cancer with our experts, and gain insights into the mechanism of action, key clinical trials data, existing challenges, and future directions.

Dr. Véronique Diéras
Prof. Fabrice Barlesi
Developed by: Springer Medicine