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Published in: European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology 1/2024

Open Access 08-08-2023 | Rhinology

Nomograms containing body dose parameters for predicting survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Authors: Jianyun Jiang, Ruiping Zhai, Fangfang Kong, Chengrun Du, Hongmei Ying

Published in: European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology | Issue 1/2024

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Abstract

Purpose

To assess the impact of body dose on survival outcomes in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients and to create novel nomograms incorporating body dose parameters for predicting survival.

Methods

594 of non-metastasis NPC patients (training group, 396; validation group, 198) received intensity-modulated radiation therapy at our institution from January 2012 to December 2016. Patient characteristics, body dose parameters in dose–volume histogram (DVH) and hematology profiles were collected for predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Nomograms for OS and PFS were developed using the selected predictors. Each nomogram was evaluated based on its C-index and calibration curve.

Results

Body dose-based risk score for OS (RSOS), N stage, age, and induction chemotherapy were independent predictors for OS, with a C-index of 0.784 (95% CI 0.749–0.819) in the training group and 0.763 (95% CI 0.715–0.810) in the validation group for the nomogram. As for PFS, the most important predictors were the body dose-based risk score for PFS (RSPFS), N stage, and induction chemotherapy. C-index of PFS nomogram was 0.706 (95% CI 0.681–0.720) in the training group and 0.691 (95% CI 0.662–0.711) in the validation group. The two models outperformed the TNM staging system in predicting outcomes.

Conclusions

Body dose coverage is a useful predictor of prognosis in clinical routine patients. The novel nomograms integrating body dose parameters can precisely predict OS and PFS in NPC patients.
Appendix
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Metadata
Title
Nomograms containing body dose parameters for predicting survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Authors
Jianyun Jiang
Ruiping Zhai
Fangfang Kong
Chengrun Du
Hongmei Ying
Publication date
08-08-2023
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology / Issue 1/2024
Print ISSN: 0937-4477
Electronic ISSN: 1434-4726
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00405-023-08173-9

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