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Published in: Journal of Translational Medicine 1/2013

Open Access 01-12-2013 | Research

Melanoma risk loci as determinants of melanoma recurrence and survival

Authors: Justin Rendleman, Shulian Shang, Christine Dominianni, Jerry F Shields, Patrick Scanlon, Christina Adaniel, Alexis Desrichard, Michelle Ma, Richard Shapiro, Russell Berman, Anna Pavlick, David Polsky, Yongzhao Shao, Iman Osman, Tomas Kirchhoff

Published in: Journal of Translational Medicine | Issue 1/2013

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Abstract

Background

Steadily high melanoma mortality rates urge for the availability of novel biomarkers with a more personalized ability to predict melanoma clinical outcomes. Germline risk variants are promising candidates for this purpose; however, their prognostic potential in melanoma has never been systematically tested.

Methods

We examined the effect of 108 melanoma susceptibility single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), associated in recent GWAS with melanoma and melanoma-related phenotypes, on recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), in 891 prospectively accrued melanoma patients. Cox proportional hazards models (Cox PH) were used to test the associations between 108 melanoma risk SNPs and RFS and OS adjusted by age at diagnosis, gender, tumor stage, histological subtype and other primary tumor characteristics.

Results

We identified significant associations for rs7538876 (RCC2) with RFS (HR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.20-1.83, p = 0.0005) and rs9960018 (DLGAP1) with both RFS and OS (HR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.07-1.91, p = 0.01, HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.09-2.12, p = 0.01, respectively) using multivariable Cox PH models. In addition, we developed a logistic regression model that incorporates rs7538876, rs9960018, primary tumor histological type and stage at diagnosis that has an improved discriminatory ability to classify 3-year recurrence (AUC = 82%) compared to histological type and stage alone (AUC = 78%).

Conclusions

We identified associations between melanoma risk variants and melanoma outcomes. The significant associations observed for rs7538876 and rs9960018 suggest a biological implication of these loci in melanoma progression. The observed predictive patterns of associated variants with clinical end-points suggest for the first time the potential for utilization of genetic risk markers in melanoma prognostication.
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Metadata
Title
Melanoma risk loci as determinants of melanoma recurrence and survival
Authors
Justin Rendleman
Shulian Shang
Christine Dominianni
Jerry F Shields
Patrick Scanlon
Christina Adaniel
Alexis Desrichard
Michelle Ma
Richard Shapiro
Russell Berman
Anna Pavlick
David Polsky
Yongzhao Shao
Iman Osman
Tomas Kirchhoff
Publication date
01-12-2013
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
Journal of Translational Medicine / Issue 1/2013
Electronic ISSN: 1479-5876
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/1479-5876-11-279

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