Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Neurology 1/2016

Open Access 01-12-2016 | Research article

Diagnosis of TIA (DOT) score – design and validation of a new clinical diagnostic tool for transient ischaemic attack

Author: Dipankar Dutta

Published in: BMC Neurology | Issue 1/2016

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

The diagnosis of Transient Ischaemic Attack (TIA) can be difficult and 50–60 % of patients seen in TIA clinics turn out to be mimics. Many of these mimics have high ABCD2 scores and fill urgent TIA clinic slots inappropriately. A TIA diagnostic tool may help non-specialists make the diagnosis with greater accuracy and improve TIA clinic triage. The only available diagnostic score (Dawson et al) is limited in scope and not widely used. The Diagnosis of TIA (DOT) Score is a new and internally validated web and mobile app based diagnostic tool which encompasses both brain and retinal TIA.

Methods

The score was derived retrospectively from a single centre TIA clinic database using stepwise logistic regression by backwards elimination to find the best model. An optimum cutpoint was obtained for the score. The derivation and validation cohorts were separate samples drawn from the years 2010/12 and 2013 respectively. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated and the diagnostic accuracy of DOT was compared to the Dawson score. A web and smartphone calculator were designed subsequently.

Results

The derivation cohort had 879 patients and the validation cohort 525. The final model had seventeen predictors and had an AUC of 0.91 (95 % CI: 0.89–0.93). When tested on the validation cohort, the AUC for DOTS was 0.89 (0.86–0.92) while that of the Dawson score was 0.77 (0.73–0.81). The sensitivity and specificity of the DOT score were 89 % (CI: 84 %–93 %) and 76 % (70 %–81 %) respectively while those of the Dawson score were 83 % (78 %–88 %) and 51 % (45 %–57 %). Other diagnostic accuracy measures (DOT vs. Dawson) include positive predictive values (75 % vs. 58 %), negative predictive values (89 % vs. 79 %), positive likelihood ratios (3.67 vs. 1.70) and negative likelihood ratios (0.15 vs. 0.32).

Conclusion

The DOT score shows promise as a diagnostic tool for TIA and requires independent external validation before it can be widely used. It could potentially improve the triage of patients assessed for suspected TIA.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Kraaijeveld CL, van Gijn J, Schouten HJ, Staal A. Interobserver agreement for the diagnosis of transient ischemic attacks. Stroke. 1984;15:723–5.CrossRefPubMed Kraaijeveld CL, van Gijn J, Schouten HJ, Staal A. Interobserver agreement for the diagnosis of transient ischemic attacks. Stroke. 1984;15:723–5.CrossRefPubMed
2.
go back to reference Dutta D, Bowen E, Foy C. Four Year Follow Up of Transient Ischemic Attacks, Strokes, and Mimics: A Retrospective Transient Ischemic Attack Clinic Cohort Study. Stroke. 2015;46:1227–32.CrossRefPubMed Dutta D, Bowen E, Foy C. Four Year Follow Up of Transient Ischemic Attacks, Strokes, and Mimics: A Retrospective Transient Ischemic Attack Clinic Cohort Study. Stroke. 2015;46:1227–32.CrossRefPubMed
3.
go back to reference Prabhakaran S, Silver AJ, Warrior L, McClenathan B, Lee VH. Misdiagnosis of transient ischemic attacks in the emergency room. Cerebrovasc Dis. 2008;26:630–5.CrossRefPubMed Prabhakaran S, Silver AJ, Warrior L, McClenathan B, Lee VH. Misdiagnosis of transient ischemic attacks in the emergency room. Cerebrovasc Dis. 2008;26:630–5.CrossRefPubMed
4.
go back to reference Martin PJ, Young G, Enevoldson TP, Humphrey PR. Overdiagnosis of TIA and minor stroke: experience at a regional neurovascular clinic. QJM. 1997;90:759–63.CrossRefPubMed Martin PJ, Young G, Enevoldson TP, Humphrey PR. Overdiagnosis of TIA and minor stroke: experience at a regional neurovascular clinic. QJM. 1997;90:759–63.CrossRefPubMed
5.
go back to reference Giles MF, Rothwell PM. Risk of stroke early after transient ischaemic attack: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Neurol. 2007;6:1063–72.CrossRefPubMed Giles MF, Rothwell PM. Risk of stroke early after transient ischaemic attack: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Neurol. 2007;6:1063–72.CrossRefPubMed
6.
go back to reference Clark TG, Murphy MFG, Rothwell PM. Long term risks of stroke, myocardial infarction, and vascular death in “low risk” patients with a non-recent transient ischaemic attack. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2003;74:577–80.PubMedCentralCrossRefPubMed Clark TG, Murphy MFG, Rothwell PM. Long term risks of stroke, myocardial infarction, and vascular death in “low risk” patients with a non-recent transient ischaemic attack. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2003;74:577–80.PubMedCentralCrossRefPubMed
7.
go back to reference Rothwell PM, Giles MF, Chandratheva A, Marquardt L, Geraghty O, Redgrave JNE, et al. Effect of urgent treatment of transient ischaemic attack and minor stroke on early recurrent stroke (EXPRESS study): a prospective population-based sequential comparison. Lancet. 2007;370:1432–42.CrossRefPubMed Rothwell PM, Giles MF, Chandratheva A, Marquardt L, Geraghty O, Redgrave JNE, et al. Effect of urgent treatment of transient ischaemic attack and minor stroke on early recurrent stroke (EXPRESS study): a prospective population-based sequential comparison. Lancet. 2007;370:1432–42.CrossRefPubMed
8.
go back to reference Lavallée PC, Meseguer E, Abboud H, Cabrejo L, Olivot J-M, Simon O, et al. A transient ischaemic attack clinic with round-the-clock access (SOS-TIA): feasibility and effects. Lancet Neurol. 2007;6:953–60.CrossRefPubMed Lavallée PC, Meseguer E, Abboud H, Cabrejo L, Olivot J-M, Simon O, et al. A transient ischaemic attack clinic with round-the-clock access (SOS-TIA): feasibility and effects. Lancet Neurol. 2007;6:953–60.CrossRefPubMed
9.
go back to reference Johnston SC, Rothwell PM, Nguyen-Huynh MN, Giles MF, Elkins JS, Bernstein AL, et al. Validation and refinement of scores to predict very early stroke risk after transient ischaemic attack. Lancet. 2007;369:283–92.CrossRefPubMed Johnston SC, Rothwell PM, Nguyen-Huynh MN, Giles MF, Elkins JS, Bernstein AL, et al. Validation and refinement of scores to predict very early stroke risk after transient ischaemic attack. Lancet. 2007;369:283–92.CrossRefPubMed
10.
go back to reference Harbison J. Diagnostic Accuracy of Stroke Referrals From Primary Care, Emergency Room Physicians, and Ambulance Staff Using the Face Arm Speech Test. Stroke. 2002;34:71–6.CrossRef Harbison J. Diagnostic Accuracy of Stroke Referrals From Primary Care, Emergency Room Physicians, and Ambulance Staff Using the Face Arm Speech Test. Stroke. 2002;34:71–6.CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Nor AM, Davis J, Sen B, Shipsey D, Louw SJ, Dyker AG, et al. The Recognition of Stroke in the Emergency Room (ROSIER) scale: development and validation of a stroke recognition instrument. Lancet Neurol. 2005;4:727–34.CrossRefPubMed Nor AM, Davis J, Sen B, Shipsey D, Louw SJ, Dyker AG, et al. The Recognition of Stroke in the Emergency Room (ROSIER) scale: development and validation of a stroke recognition instrument. Lancet Neurol. 2005;4:727–34.CrossRefPubMed
12.
go back to reference Quinn TJ, Cameron AC, Dawson J, Lees KR, Walters MR. ABCD2 scores and prediction of noncerebrovascular diagnoses in an outpatient population: a case-control study. Stroke. 2009;40:749–53.CrossRefPubMed Quinn TJ, Cameron AC, Dawson J, Lees KR, Walters MR. ABCD2 scores and prediction of noncerebrovascular diagnoses in an outpatient population: a case-control study. Stroke. 2009;40:749–53.CrossRefPubMed
13.
go back to reference Wardlaw JM, Brazelli M, Chapell FM, Miranda H, Schuler K, Sandercock PA, et al. ABCD2 score and secondary stroke prevention. Meta-analysis and effect per 1,000 patients triaged. Neurology. 2015;85:373–80.PubMedCentralCrossRefPubMed Wardlaw JM, Brazelli M, Chapell FM, Miranda H, Schuler K, Sandercock PA, et al. ABCD2 score and secondary stroke prevention. Meta-analysis and effect per 1,000 patients triaged. Neurology. 2015;85:373–80.PubMedCentralCrossRefPubMed
14.
go back to reference Dawson J, Lamb KE, Quinn TJ, Lees KR, Horvers M, Verrijth MJ, et al. A recognition tool for transient ischaemic attack. QJM. 2009;102:43–9.CrossRefPubMed Dawson J, Lamb KE, Quinn TJ, Lees KR, Horvers M, Verrijth MJ, et al. A recognition tool for transient ischaemic attack. QJM. 2009;102:43–9.CrossRefPubMed
15.
go back to reference Lasserson DS, Mant D, Hobbs FDR, Rothwell PM. Validation of a TIA recognition tool in primary and secondary care: implications for generalizability. Int J Stroke. 2015;10:692–696. Lasserson DS, Mant D, Hobbs FDR, Rothwell PM. Validation of a TIA recognition tool in primary and secondary care: implications for generalizability. Int J Stroke. 2015;10:692–696.
16.
18.
go back to reference Easton JD, Saver JL, Albers GW, Alberts MJ, Chaturvedi S, Feldmann E, et al. Definition and evaluation of transient ischemic attack: a Scientific Statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke. 2009;40:2276–93.CrossRefPubMed Easton JD, Saver JL, Albers GW, Alberts MJ, Chaturvedi S, Feldmann E, et al. Definition and evaluation of transient ischemic attack: a Scientific Statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke. 2009;40:2276–93.CrossRefPubMed
19.
go back to reference Special report from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke. Classification of cerebrovascular diseases III. Stroke. 1990;21:637–76.CrossRef Special report from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke. Classification of cerebrovascular diseases III. Stroke. 1990;21:637–76.CrossRef
20.
go back to reference Hand PJ, Kwan J, Lindley RI, Dennis MS, Wardlaw JM. Distinguishing between stroke and mimic at the bedside: the brain attack study. Stroke. 2006;37:769–75.CrossRefPubMed Hand PJ, Kwan J, Lindley RI, Dennis MS, Wardlaw JM. Distinguishing between stroke and mimic at the bedside: the brain attack study. Stroke. 2006;37:769–75.CrossRefPubMed
21.
go back to reference Royston P, Moons KGM, Altman DG, Vergouwe Y. Prognosis and prognostic research: Developing a prognostic model. BMJ. 2009;338:1373–7.CrossRef Royston P, Moons KGM, Altman DG, Vergouwe Y. Prognosis and prognostic research: Developing a prognostic model. BMJ. 2009;338:1373–7.CrossRef
22.
go back to reference Altman DG, Vergouwe Y, Royston P, Moons KGM. Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model. BMJ. 2009;338:1432–5.CrossRef Altman DG, Vergouwe Y, Royston P, Moons KGM. Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model. BMJ. 2009;338:1432–5.CrossRef
23.
go back to reference Lopez-Raton M, Rodriguez-Alvarez MS, Cadarso-Suarez C, Gude-Sampedro F. OptimalCutpoints : An R Package for Selecting Optimal Cutpoints in Diagnostic Tests. J Stat Softw. 2014;61:1–36.CrossRef Lopez-Raton M, Rodriguez-Alvarez MS, Cadarso-Suarez C, Gude-Sampedro F. OptimalCutpoints : An R Package for Selecting Optimal Cutpoints in Diagnostic Tests. J Stat Softw. 2014;61:1–36.CrossRef
25.
go back to reference Steyerberg EW, Eijkemans MJ, Harrell FE, Habbema JD. Prognostic modelling with logistic regression analysis: a comparison of selection and estimation methods in small data sets. Stat Med. 2000;19:1059–79.CrossRefPubMed Steyerberg EW, Eijkemans MJ, Harrell FE, Habbema JD. Prognostic modelling with logistic regression analysis: a comparison of selection and estimation methods in small data sets. Stat Med. 2000;19:1059–79.CrossRefPubMed
26.
go back to reference Peduzzi P, Concato J, Kemper E, Holford TR, Feinstein AR. A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996;49:1373–9.CrossRefPubMed Peduzzi P, Concato J, Kemper E, Holford TR, Feinstein AR. A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. 1996;49:1373–9.CrossRefPubMed
27.
Metadata
Title
Diagnosis of TIA (DOT) score – design and validation of a new clinical diagnostic tool for transient ischaemic attack
Author
Dipankar Dutta
Publication date
01-12-2016
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Neurology / Issue 1/2016
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2377
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-016-0535-1

Other articles of this Issue 1/2016

BMC Neurology 1/2016 Go to the issue