Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Public Health 1/2011

Open Access 01-12-2011 | Research article

Study of recent and future trends in place of death in Belgium using death certificate data: a shift from hospitals to care homes

Authors: Dirk Houttekier, Joachim Cohen, Johan Surkyn, Luc Deliens

Published in: BMC Public Health | Issue 1/2011

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

Since most patients prefer out-of-hospital death, place of death can be considered an indicator of end-of-life care quality. The study of trends in place of death is necessary to examine causes of shifts, to evaluate efforts to alter place of death and develop future policies. This study aims to examine past trends and future projections of place of death.

Methods

Analysis of death certificates (decedents aged ≥ 1 year) in Belgium (Flanders and Brussels Capital region) 1998-2007. Trends in place of death were adjusted for cause of death, sociodemographic characteristics, environmental factors, numbers of hospital beds, and residential and skilled nursing beds in care homes. Future trends were based on age- and sex-specific mortality prognoses.

Results

Hospital deaths decreased from 55.1% to 51.7% and care home deaths rose from 18.3% to 22.6%. The percentage of home deaths remained stable. The odds of dying in a care home versus hospital increased steadily and was 1.65 (95%CI:1.53-1.78) in 2007 compared to 1998. This increase could be attributed to the replacement of residential beds by skilled nursing beds. Continuation of these trends would result in the more than doubling of deaths in care homes and a decrease in deaths at home and in hospital by 2040.

Conclusions

Additional end-of-life care resources in care homes largely explain the decrease in hospital deaths. Care homes will become the main locus of end-of-life care in the future. Governments should provide sufficient skilled nursing resources in care homes to fulfil the end-of-life care preferences and needs of patients.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Gott M, Seymour J, Bellamy G, Clark D, Ahmedzai S: Older people's views about home as a place of care at the end of life. Palliat Med. 2004, 18: 460-467. 10.1191/0269216304pm889oa.CrossRefPubMed Gott M, Seymour J, Bellamy G, Clark D, Ahmedzai S: Older people's views about home as a place of care at the end of life. Palliat Med. 2004, 18: 460-467. 10.1191/0269216304pm889oa.CrossRefPubMed
2.
go back to reference Wolff JL, Kasper JD, Shore AD: Long-term care preferences among older adults: a moving target?. J Aging Soc Policy. 2008, 20: 182-200. 10.1080/08959420801977574.CrossRefPubMed Wolff JL, Kasper JD, Shore AD: Long-term care preferences among older adults: a moving target?. J Aging Soc Policy. 2008, 20: 182-200. 10.1080/08959420801977574.CrossRefPubMed
3.
go back to reference Lo JC: The impact of hospices on health care expenditures-the case of Taiwan. Soc Sci Med. 2002, 54: 981-991. 10.1016/S0277-9536(01)00071-5.CrossRefPubMed Lo JC: The impact of hospices on health care expenditures-the case of Taiwan. Soc Sci Med. 2002, 54: 981-991. 10.1016/S0277-9536(01)00071-5.CrossRefPubMed
4.
go back to reference Chappell NL, Dlitt BH, Hollander MJ, Miller JA, McWilliam C: Comparative costs of home care and residential care. Gerontologist. 2004, 44: 389-400.CrossRefPubMed Chappell NL, Dlitt BH, Hollander MJ, Miller JA, McWilliam C: Comparative costs of home care and residential care. Gerontologist. 2004, 44: 389-400.CrossRefPubMed
5.
go back to reference Houttekier D, Cohen J, Bilsen J, Deboosere P, Verduyckt P, Deliens L: Determinants of the place of death in the Brussels metropolitan region. J Pain Symptom Manage. 2009, 37: 996-1005. 10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2008.05.014.CrossRefPubMed Houttekier D, Cohen J, Bilsen J, Deboosere P, Verduyckt P, Deliens L: Determinants of the place of death in the Brussels metropolitan region. J Pain Symptom Manage. 2009, 37: 996-1005. 10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2008.05.014.CrossRefPubMed
6.
go back to reference Cohen J, Bilsen J, Hooft P, Deboosere P, van der Wal G, Deliens L: Dying at home or in an institution using death certificates to explore the factors associated with place of death. Health Policy. 2006, 78: 319-329. 10.1016/j.healthpol.2005.11.003.CrossRefPubMed Cohen J, Bilsen J, Hooft P, Deboosere P, van der Wal G, Deliens L: Dying at home or in an institution using death certificates to explore the factors associated with place of death. Health Policy. 2006, 78: 319-329. 10.1016/j.healthpol.2005.11.003.CrossRefPubMed
7.
go back to reference Cohen J, Houttekier D, Onwuteaka-Philipsen B, Miccinesi G, Addington-Hall J, Kaasa S, et al: Which patients with cancer die at home? A study of six European countries using death certificate data. J Clin Oncol. 2010, 28: 2267-2273. 10.1200/JCO.2009.23.2850.CrossRefPubMed Cohen J, Houttekier D, Onwuteaka-Philipsen B, Miccinesi G, Addington-Hall J, Kaasa S, et al: Which patients with cancer die at home? A study of six European countries using death certificate data. J Clin Oncol. 2010, 28: 2267-2273. 10.1200/JCO.2009.23.2850.CrossRefPubMed
10.
go back to reference Centeno C, Clark D, Lynch T, Racafort J, Praill D, De Lima L, et al: Facts and indicators on palliative care development in 52 countries of the WHO European region: results of an EAPC Task Force. Palliat Med. 2007, 21: 463-471. 10.1177/0269216307081942.CrossRefPubMed Centeno C, Clark D, Lynch T, Racafort J, Praill D, De Lima L, et al: Facts and indicators on palliative care development in 52 countries of the WHO European region: results of an EAPC Task Force. Palliat Med. 2007, 21: 463-471. 10.1177/0269216307081942.CrossRefPubMed
11.
go back to reference Davies E, Linklater KM, Jack RH, Clark L, Moller H: How is place of death from cancer changing and what affects it? Analysis of cancer registration and service data. Br J Cancer. 2006, 95: 593-600. 10.1038/sj.bjc.6603305.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Davies E, Linklater KM, Jack RH, Clark L, Moller H: How is place of death from cancer changing and what affects it? Analysis of cancer registration and service data. Br J Cancer. 2006, 95: 593-600. 10.1038/sj.bjc.6603305.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
12.
go back to reference Neutel CI, Bishop ML, Harper SD, Gaudette LA: Proportion of cancer deaths occurring in hospital, Canada, 1994-2000. Can J Public Health. 2005, 96: 264-268.PubMed Neutel CI, Bishop ML, Harper SD, Gaudette LA: Proportion of cancer deaths occurring in hospital, Canada, 1994-2000. Can J Public Health. 2005, 96: 264-268.PubMed
13.
go back to reference Hunt RW, Fazekas BS, Luke CG, Roder DM: Where patients with cancer die in South Australia, 1990-1999: a population-based review. Med J Aust. 2001, 175: 526-529.PubMed Hunt RW, Fazekas BS, Luke CG, Roder DM: Where patients with cancer die in South Australia, 1990-1999: a population-based review. Med J Aust. 2001, 175: 526-529.PubMed
14.
go back to reference Higginson IJ, Astin P, Dolan S: Where do cancer patients die? Ten-year trends in the place of death of cancer patients in England. Palliat Med. 1998, 12: 353-363. 10.1191/026921698672530176.CrossRefPubMed Higginson IJ, Astin P, Dolan S: Where do cancer patients die? Ten-year trends in the place of death of cancer patients in England. Palliat Med. 1998, 12: 353-363. 10.1191/026921698672530176.CrossRefPubMed
15.
go back to reference Hunt R, Bonett A, Roder D: Trends in the terminal care of cancer patients: South Australia, 1981-1990. Aust N Z J Med. 1993, 23: 245-251.CrossRefPubMed Hunt R, Bonett A, Roder D: Trends in the terminal care of cancer patients: South Australia, 1981-1990. Aust N Z J Med. 1993, 23: 245-251.CrossRefPubMed
16.
go back to reference van der Velden L, Francke AL, Hingstman L, Willems DL: Dying from cancer or other chronic diseases in the Netherlands: ten-year trends derived from death certificate data. BMC Palliat Care. 2009, 8: 4-10.1186/1472-684X-8-4.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral van der Velden L, Francke AL, Hingstman L, Willems DL: Dying from cancer or other chronic diseases in the Netherlands: ten-year trends derived from death certificate data. BMC Palliat Care. 2009, 8: 4-10.1186/1472-684X-8-4.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
17.
go back to reference Wilson DM, Truman CD, Thomas R, Fainsinger R, Kovacs-Burns K, Froggatt K, et al: The rapidly changing location of death in Canada, 1994-2004. Soc Sci Med. 2009, 68: 1752-1758. 10.1016/j.socscimed.2009.03.006.CrossRefPubMed Wilson DM, Truman CD, Thomas R, Fainsinger R, Kovacs-Burns K, Froggatt K, et al: The rapidly changing location of death in Canada, 1994-2004. Soc Sci Med. 2009, 68: 1752-1758. 10.1016/j.socscimed.2009.03.006.CrossRefPubMed
18.
go back to reference Gomes B, Higginson IJ: Where people die (1974-2030): past trends, future projections and implications for care. Palliat Med. 2008, 22: 33-41. 10.1177/0269216307084606.CrossRefPubMed Gomes B, Higginson IJ: Where people die (1974-2030): past trends, future projections and implications for care. Palliat Med. 2008, 22: 33-41. 10.1177/0269216307084606.CrossRefPubMed
20.
go back to reference Ahmad S, O'Mahony MS: Where older people die: a retrospective population-based study. QJM. 2005, 98: 865-870. 10.1093/qjmed/hci138.CrossRefPubMed Ahmad S, O'Mahony MS: Where older people die: a retrospective population-based study. QJM. 2005, 98: 865-870. 10.1093/qjmed/hci138.CrossRefPubMed
21.
go back to reference Flory J, Yinong YX, Gurol I, Levinsky N, Ash A, Emanuel E: Place of death: U.S. trends since 1980. Health Aff (Millwood ). 2004, 23: 194-200. 10.1377/hlthaff.23.3.194.CrossRef Flory J, Yinong YX, Gurol I, Levinsky N, Ash A, Emanuel E: Place of death: U.S. trends since 1980. Health Aff (Millwood ). 2004, 23: 194-200. 10.1377/hlthaff.23.3.194.CrossRef
22.
go back to reference Wilson DM, Northcott HC, Truman CD, Smith SL, Anderson MC, Fainsinger RL, et al: Location of death in Canada. A comparison of 20th-century hospital and nonhospital locations of death and corresponding population trends. Eval Health Prof. 2001, 24: 385-403. 10.1177/01632780122034975.CrossRefPubMed Wilson DM, Northcott HC, Truman CD, Smith SL, Anderson MC, Fainsinger RL, et al: Location of death in Canada. A comparison of 20th-century hospital and nonhospital locations of death and corresponding population trends. Eval Health Prof. 2001, 24: 385-403. 10.1177/01632780122034975.CrossRefPubMed
23.
go back to reference Brameld KJ, Holman CD, Bass AJ, Codde JP, Rouse IL: Hospitalisation of the elderly during the last year of life: an application of record linkage in Western Australia 1985-1994. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1998, 52: 740-744. 10.1136/jech.52.11.740.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Brameld KJ, Holman CD, Bass AJ, Codde JP, Rouse IL: Hospitalisation of the elderly during the last year of life: an application of record linkage in Western Australia 1985-1994. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1998, 52: 740-744. 10.1136/jech.52.11.740.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
24.
go back to reference Clark D, ten Have H, Janssens R: Common threads? Palliative care service developments in seven European countries. Palliat Med. 2000, 14: 479-490. 10.1191/026921600701536408.CrossRefPubMed Clark D, ten Have H, Janssens R: Common threads? Palliative care service developments in seven European countries. Palliat Med. 2000, 14: 479-490. 10.1191/026921600701536408.CrossRefPubMed
26.
go back to reference Van Hecke E: Developing a policy instrument to manage the programming, planning and implementationof care and welfare facilities. [In Dutch]. 2001, Leuven: K.U.Leuven Institute for Social and Economic Geography Van Hecke E: Developing a policy instrument to manage the programming, planning and implementationof care and welfare facilities. [In Dutch]. 2001, Leuven: K.U.Leuven Institute for Social and Economic Geography
27.
go back to reference Federal Planning Bureau Directorate of Statistics and Economic Information. Population Projections 2007-2060 [In Dutch]. 2008, Brussels: Federal Planning Bureau Directorate of Statistics and Economic Information Federal Planning Bureau Directorate of Statistics and Economic Information. Population Projections 2007-2060 [In Dutch]. 2008, Brussels: Federal Planning Bureau Directorate of Statistics and Economic Information
28.
go back to reference Gomes B, Higginson IJ: Factors influencing death at home in terminally ill patients with cancer: systematic review. BMJ. 2006, 332: 515-521. 10.1136/bmj.38740.614954.55.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Gomes B, Higginson IJ: Factors influencing death at home in terminally ill patients with cancer: systematic review. BMJ. 2006, 332: 515-521. 10.1136/bmj.38740.614954.55.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
29.
go back to reference Tang ST, McCorkle R: Determinants of place of death for terminal cancer patients. Cancer Invest. 2001, 19: 165-180. 10.1081/CNV-100000151.CrossRefPubMed Tang ST, McCorkle R: Determinants of place of death for terminal cancer patients. Cancer Invest. 2001, 19: 165-180. 10.1081/CNV-100000151.CrossRefPubMed
30.
go back to reference Hunt RW, Bond MJ, Groth RK, King PM: Place of death in South Australia. Patterns from 1910 to 1987. Med J Aust. 1991, 155: 549-553.PubMed Hunt RW, Bond MJ, Groth RK, King PM: Place of death in South Australia. Patterns from 1910 to 1987. Med J Aust. 1991, 155: 549-553.PubMed
31.
go back to reference Wilson DM, Smith SL, Anderson MC, Northcott HC, Fainsinger RL, Stingl MJ, et al: Twentieth-century social and health-care influences on location of death in Canada. Can J Nurs Res. 2002, 34: 141-161.PubMed Wilson DM, Smith SL, Anderson MC, Northcott HC, Fainsinger RL, Stingl MJ, et al: Twentieth-century social and health-care influences on location of death in Canada. Can J Nurs Res. 2002, 34: 141-161.PubMed
32.
33.
go back to reference Van den Block L, Deschepper R, Bilsen J, Van Casteren V, Deliens L: Transitions between care settings at the end of life in belgium. JAMA. 2007, 298: 1638-1639. 10.1001/jama.298.14.1638.CrossRefPubMed Van den Block L, Deschepper R, Bilsen J, Van Casteren V, Deliens L: Transitions between care settings at the end of life in belgium. JAMA. 2007, 298: 1638-1639. 10.1001/jama.298.14.1638.CrossRefPubMed
34.
go back to reference Menec VH, Nowicki S, Blandford A, Veselyuk D: Hospitalizations at the end of life among long-term care residents. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2009, 64: 395-402. 10.1093/gerona/gln034.CrossRefPubMed Menec VH, Nowicki S, Blandford A, Veselyuk D: Hospitalizations at the end of life among long-term care residents. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2009, 64: 395-402. 10.1093/gerona/gln034.CrossRefPubMed
35.
go back to reference De Gendt C, Bilsen J, Vander Stichele R, Deliens L: Nursing home policies regarding advance care planning in Flanders, Belgium. Eur J Public Health. 2010, 20: 189-194. 10.1093/eurpub/ckp121.CrossRefPubMed De Gendt C, Bilsen J, Vander Stichele R, Deliens L: Nursing home policies regarding advance care planning in Flanders, Belgium. Eur J Public Health. 2010, 20: 189-194. 10.1093/eurpub/ckp121.CrossRefPubMed
36.
go back to reference Teno JM: Now is the time to embrace nursing homes as a place of care for dying persons. J Palliat Med. 2003, 6: 293-296. 10.1089/109662103764978614.CrossRefPubMed Teno JM: Now is the time to embrace nursing homes as a place of care for dying persons. J Palliat Med. 2003, 6: 293-296. 10.1089/109662103764978614.CrossRefPubMed
37.
go back to reference Brazil K, Krueger P, Bedard M, Kelley L, McAiney C, Justice C, et al: Quality of care for residents dying in Ontario long-term care facilities: findings from a survey of directors of care. J Palliat Care. 2006, 22: 18-25.PubMed Brazil K, Krueger P, Bedard M, Kelley L, McAiney C, Justice C, et al: Quality of care for residents dying in Ontario long-term care facilities: findings from a survey of directors of care. J Palliat Care. 2006, 22: 18-25.PubMed
38.
go back to reference Brazil K, Bedard M, Krueger P, Taniguchi A, Kelley ML, McAiney C, et al: Barriers to providing palliative care in long-term care facilities. Can Fam Physician. 2006, 52: 472-473.PubMedPubMedCentral Brazil K, Bedard M, Krueger P, Taniguchi A, Kelley ML, McAiney C, et al: Barriers to providing palliative care in long-term care facilities. Can Fam Physician. 2006, 52: 472-473.PubMedPubMedCentral
Metadata
Title
Study of recent and future trends in place of death in Belgium using death certificate data: a shift from hospitals to care homes
Authors
Dirk Houttekier
Joachim Cohen
Johan Surkyn
Luc Deliens
Publication date
01-12-2011
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Public Health / Issue 1/2011
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2458
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-228

Other articles of this Issue 1/2011

BMC Public Health 1/2011 Go to the issue