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Published in: Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, Resuscitation and Emergency Medicine 1/2011

Open Access 01-12-2011 | Review

Prognostic models for the early care of trauma patients: a systematic review

Authors: Marius Rehn, Pablo Perel, Karen Blackhall, Hans Morten Lossius

Published in: Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, Resuscitation and Emergency Medicine | Issue 1/2011

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Abstract

Background

Early identification of major trauma may contribute to timely emergency care and rapid transport to an appropriate health-care facility. Several prognostic trauma models have been developed to improve early clinical decision-making.

Methods

We systematically reviewed models for the early care of trauma patients that included 2 or more predictors obtained from the evaluation of an adult trauma victim, investigated their quality and described their characteristics.

Results

We screened 4 939 records for eligibility and included 5 studies that derivate 5 prognostic models and 9 studies that validate one or more of these models in external populations. All prognostic models intended to change clinical practice, but none were tested in a randomised clinical trial. The variables and outcomes were valid, but only one model was derived in a low-income population. Systolic blood pressure and level of consciousness were applied as predictors in all models.

Conclusions

The general impression is that the models perform well in predicting survival. However, there are many areas for improvement, including model development, handling of missing data, analysis of continuous measures, impact and practicality analysis.
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Metadata
Title
Prognostic models for the early care of trauma patients: a systematic review
Authors
Marius Rehn
Pablo Perel
Karen Blackhall
Hans Morten Lossius
Publication date
01-12-2011
Publisher
BioMed Central
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/1757-7241-19-17

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