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Published in: BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 1/2003

Open Access 01-12-2003 | Research article

A parsimonious explanation for intersecting perinatal mortality curves: understanding the effect of plurality and of parity

Authors: KS Joseph, Shiliang Liu, Kitaw Demissie, Shi Wu Wen, Robert W Platt, Cande V Ananth, Susie Dzakpasu, Reg Sauve, Alexander C Allen, Michael S Kramer, the Fetal and Infant Health Study Group of the Canadian Perinatal Surveillance System

Published in: BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth | Issue 1/2003

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Abstract

Background

Birth weight- and gestational age-specific perinatal mortality curves intersect when compared across categories of maternal smoking, plurality, race and other factors. No simple explanation exists for this paradoxical observation.

Methods

We used data on all live births, stillbirths and infant deaths in Canada (1991–1997) to compare perinatal mortality rates among singleton and twin births, and among singleton births to nulliparous and parous women. Birth weight- and gestational age-specific perinatal mortality rates were first calculated by dividing the number of perinatal deaths at any given birth weight or gestational age by the number of total births at that birth weight or gestational age (conventional calculation). Gestational age-specific perinatal mortality rates were also calculated using the number of fetuses at risk of perinatal death at any given gestational age.

Results

Conventional perinatal mortality rates among twin births were lower than those among singletons at lower birth weights and earlier gestation ages, while the reverse was true at higher birth weights and later gestational ages. When perinatal mortality rates were based on fetuses at risk, however, twin births had consistently higher mortality rates than singletons at all gestational ages. A similar pattern emerged in contrasts of gestational age-specific perinatal mortality among singleton births to nulliparous and parous women. Increases in gestational age-specific rates of growth-restriction with advancing gestational age presaged rising rates of gestational age-specific perinatal mortality in both contrasts.

Conclusions

The proper conceptualization of perinatal risk eliminates the mortality crossover paradox and provides new insights into perinatal health issues.
Appendix
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Metadata
Title
A parsimonious explanation for intersecting perinatal mortality curves: understanding the effect of plurality and of parity
Authors
KS Joseph
Shiliang Liu
Kitaw Demissie
Shi Wu Wen
Robert W Platt
Cande V Ananth
Susie Dzakpasu
Reg Sauve
Alexander C Allen
Michael S Kramer
the Fetal and Infant Health Study Group of the Canadian Perinatal Surveillance System
Publication date
01-12-2003
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth / Issue 1/2003
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2393
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2393-3-3

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