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Published in: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 7/2016

Open Access 01-07-2016 | Original Article

Combination of baseline metabolic tumour volume and early response on PET/CT improves progression-free survival prediction in DLBCL

Authors: N. George Mikhaeel, Daniel Smith, Joel T. Dunn, Michael Phillips, Henrik Møller, Paul A. Fields, David Wrench, Sally F. Barrington

Published in: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging | Issue 7/2016

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Abstract

Background

The study objectives were to assess the prognostic value of quantitative PET and to test whether combining baseline metabolic tumour burden with early PET response could improve predictive power in DLBCL.

Methods

A total of 147 patients with DLBCL underwent FDG-PET/CT scans before and after two cycles of RCHOP. Quantitative parameters including metabolic tumour volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were measured, as well as the percentage change in these parameters. Cox regression analysis was used to test the relationship between progression-free survival (PFS) and the study variables. Receiver operator characteristics (ROC) analysis determined the optimal cut-off for quantitative variables, and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was performed.

Results

The median follow-up was 3.8 years. As MTV and TLG measures correlated strongly, only MTV measures were used for multivariate analysis (MVA). Baseline MTV (MTV-0) was the only statistically significant predictor of PFS on MVA. The optimal cut-off for MTV-0 was 396 cm3. A model combing MTV-0 and Deauville score (DS) separated the population into three distinct prognostic groups: good (MTV-0 < 400; 5-year PFS > 90 %), intermediate (MTV-0 ≥ 400+ DS1-3; 5-year PFS 58.5 %) and poor (MTV-0 ≥ 400+ DS4-5; 5-year PFS 29.7 %)

Conclusions

MTV-0 is an important prognostic factor in DLBCL. Combining MTV-0 and early PET/CT response improves the predictive power of interim PET and defines a poor-prognosis group in whom most of the events occur.
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Metadata
Title
Combination of baseline metabolic tumour volume and early response on PET/CT improves progression-free survival prediction in DLBCL
Authors
N. George Mikhaeel
Daniel Smith
Joel T. Dunn
Michael Phillips
Henrik Møller
Paul A. Fields
David Wrench
Sally F. Barrington
Publication date
01-07-2016
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging / Issue 7/2016
Print ISSN: 1619-7070
Electronic ISSN: 1619-7089
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-016-3315-7

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