Evaluating the importance of mean stone density and skin-to-stone distance in predicting successful shock wave lithotripsy of renal and ureteric calculi

Shock wave lithotripsy (SWL) is considered the first line treatment for the majority of patients with renal and ureteric calculi, with success rates from contemporary series varying from 60 to 90%. Success is dependent on many patient and stone-related factors. We conducted a retrospective analysis of mean stone CT density (MSD) and skin-to-stone distance (SSD) to determine their influence on the success of SWL of renal and ureteric calculi. Data from all patients treated at the St. Michael’s Hospital Lithotripsy Unit from May 2004 to June 2009 were reviewed. Analysis was restricted to those patients with a pre-treatment non-contrast CT scan conducted at our center demonstrating a solitary renal or ureteric calculus ≤20 mm in maximal diameter. Successful treatment of renal stones was defined as those patients who were stone free or had asymptomatic, clinically insignificant residual fragments ≤4 mm in diameter, as measured by KUB X-ray, 3 months after a single SWL treatment. Successful treatment of ureteric stones was defined as being stone free on KUB X-ray, 2-weeks post-SWL. Demographic, stone, patient, treatment and follow-up data were collected from a prospective database and review of CT and KUB imaging by two independent urologists and one radiologist. Data were analyzed with logistic regression, Chi square analysis and ANOVA where appropriate. 422 patients (69.7% male) with a mean age of 51.4 years (SD 12.9) and mean BMI 27.0 kg/m² (SD 4.9) were analyzed. Mean stone size was 78.9 mm² (SD 77.3) for ureteral stones and 66.1 mm² (SD 63.2) for renal stones, with 95 (43.6%) of the renal stones located in the lower pole. The single-treatment success rates for ureteral and renal stones were 62.3% and 68.8%, respectively. On univariate analysis, predictors of SWL success, regardless of stone location, were age (p = 0.01), BMI (p = 0.01), stone size (p < 0.01), MSD (p < 0.01) and SSD (p < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, MSD >900 HU (OR = 0.49, CI: 0.32–0.75) and SSD >110 mm (OR = 0.49, CI: 0.31–0.78) were both significant predictors of outcome. We have identified in a large series of renal and ureteric calculi that both MSD and SSD can reliably predict SWL outcomes. This data can be used in combination with other patient and stone-related factors to facilitate optimal treatment-based decisions and provide patients with more accurate single-treatment success rates for SWL.