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Published in: International Journal of Colorectal Disease 2/2018

01-02-2018 | Original Article

Pretreatment identification of patients likely to have pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

Authors: Frederik J. van der Sluis, Henderik L. van Westreenen, Boudewijn van Etten, Barbara L. van Leeuwen, Geertruida H. de Bock

Published in: International Journal of Colorectal Disease | Issue 2/2018

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Abstract

Purpose

In selected patients, a wait-and-see strategy after chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer might be feasible provided that the probability of pathologic complete response (pCR) is high. This study aimed to identify clinical parameters associated with pCR. Furthermore, we attempted to identify subgroups with increased probability of pCR that might aid in clinical decision making.

Methods

A total of 6444 patients that underwent surgical resection of a single primary carcinoma of the rectum after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) between January 2009 and December 2016 in the Netherlands were included in the study. Data on the outcome variable, pCR, and potential covariates were retrieved from a nationwide database. The variables included in the analysis were selected based on previous studies and were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results

pCR was observed in 1010 patients (15.7%). Pretreatment clinical tumor stage and signs of obstruction were independently associated with pCR. Nodal stage and presence of metastatic disease decreased chances of pCR significantly. The best response rate was observed in patients diagnosed with a non-obstructive, well-/moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma of the lower rectum with no clinical apparent nodal or distant metastatic disease (pCR ratio 18.8%). The percentage of patients demonstrating pCR decreased in case of symptoms of pretreatment obstruction or poorly differentiated tumors (pCR ratio of 11.8 and 6.7%, respectively).

Conclusion

This nationwide study confirms several of the previously reported clinical predictors of pCR.
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Metadata
Title
Pretreatment identification of patients likely to have pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer
Authors
Frederik J. van der Sluis
Henderik L. van Westreenen
Boudewijn van Etten
Barbara L. van Leeuwen
Geertruida H. de Bock
Publication date
01-02-2018
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
International Journal of Colorectal Disease / Issue 2/2018
Print ISSN: 0179-1958
Electronic ISSN: 1432-1262
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00384-017-2939-9

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