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Published in: European Radiology 2/2015

Open Access 01-02-2015 | Magnetic Resonance

Logistic regression model for diagnosis of transition zone prostate cancer on multi-parametric MRI

Authors: Nikolaos Dikaios, Jokha Alkalbani, Harbir Singh Sidhu, Taiki Fujiwara, Mohamed Abd-Alazeez, Alex Kirkham, Clare Allen, Hashim Ahmed, Mark Emberton, Alex Freeman, Steve Halligan, Stuart Taylor, David Atkinson, Shonit Punwani

Published in: European Radiology | Issue 2/2015

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Abstract

Objectives

We aimed to develop logistic regression (LR) models for classifying prostate cancer within the transition zone on multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mp-MRI).

Methods

One hundred and fifty-five patients (training cohort, 70 patients; temporal validation cohort, 85 patients) underwent mp-MRI and transperineal-template-prostate-mapping (TPM) biopsy. Positive cores were classified by cancer definitions: (1) any-cancer; (2) definition-1 [≥Gleason 4 + 3 or ≥ 6 mm cancer core length (CCL)] [high risk significant]; and (3) definition-2 (≥Gleason 3 + 4 or ≥ 4 mm CCL) cancer [intermediate–high risk significant]. For each, logistic-regression mp-MRI models were derived from the training cohort and validated internally and with the temporal cohort. Sensitivity/specificity and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) curve were calculated. LR model performance was compared to radiologists’ performance.

Results

Twenty-eight of 70 patients from the training cohort, and 25/85 patients from the temporal validation cohort had significant cancer on TPM. The ROC-AUC of the LR model for classification of cancer was 0.73/0.67 at internal/temporal validation. The radiologist A/B ROC-AUC was 0.65/0.74 (temporal cohort). For patients scored by radiologists as Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (Pi-RADS) score 3, sensitivity/specificity of radiologist A ‘best guess’ and LR model was 0.14/0.54 and 0.71/0.61, respectively; and radiologist B ‘best guess’ and LR model was 0.40/0.34 and 0.50/0.76, respectively.

Conclusions

LR models can improve classification of Pi-RADS score 3 lesions similar to experienced radiologists.

Key Points

MRI helps find prostate cancer in the anterior of the gland
Logistic regression models based on mp-MRI can classify prostate cancer
Computers can help confirm cancer in areas doctors are uncertain about
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Metadata
Title
Logistic regression model for diagnosis of transition zone prostate cancer on multi-parametric MRI
Authors
Nikolaos Dikaios
Jokha Alkalbani
Harbir Singh Sidhu
Taiki Fujiwara
Mohamed Abd-Alazeez
Alex Kirkham
Clare Allen
Hashim Ahmed
Mark Emberton
Alex Freeman
Steve Halligan
Stuart Taylor
David Atkinson
Shonit Punwani
Publication date
01-02-2015
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Radiology / Issue 2/2015
Print ISSN: 0938-7994
Electronic ISSN: 1432-1084
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-014-3386-4

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