Published in:
01-04-2020 | Original Research
Impact of Patient-Level Characteristics on In-hospital Mortality After Interhospital Transfer to Medicine Services: an Observational Study
Authors:
Marc Heincelman, MD, Mulugeta Gebregziabher, PhD, Elizabeth Kirkland, MD, MSCR, Samuel O Schumann, MD, MSCR, Andrew Schreiner, MD, MSCR, Phillip Warr, MD, Jingwen Zhang, MS, Patrick D. Mauldin, PhD, William P. Moran, MD, MS, Don C. Rockey, MD
Published in:
Journal of General Internal Medicine
|
Issue 4/2020
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Abstract
Background
National administrative datasets have demonstrated increased risk-adjusted mortality among patients undergoing interhospital transfer (IHT) compared to patients admitted through the emergency department (ED).
Objective
To investigate the impact of patient-level data not available in larger administrative datasets on the association between IHT status and in-hospital mortality.
Design
Retrospective cohort study with logistic regression analyses to examine the association between IHT status and in-hospital mortality, controlling for covariates that were potential confounders. Model 1: IHT status, admit service. Model 2: model 1 and patient demographics. Model 3: model 2 and disease-specific conditions. Model 4: model 3 and vital signs and laboratory data.
Participants
Nine thousand three hundred twenty-eight adults admitted to Medicine services.
Main Measures
Interhospital transfer status, coded as an unordered categorical variable (IHT vs ED vs clinic), was the independent variable. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included unadjusted length of stay and total cost.
Key Results
IHT patients accounted for 180 out of 484 (37%) in-hospital deaths, despite accounting for only 17% of total admissions. Unadjusted mean length of stay was 8.4 days vs 5.6 days (p < 0.0001) and mean total cost was $22,647 vs $12,968 (p < 0.0001) for patients admitted via IHT vs ED respectively. The odds ratios (OR) for in-hospital mortality for patients admitted via IHT compared to the ED were as follows: model 1 OR, 2.06 (95% CI 1.66–2.56, p < 0.0001); model 2 OR, 2.07 (95% CI 1.66–2.58, p < 0.0001); model 3 OR, 2.07 (95% CI 1.63–2.61, p < 0.0001); model 4 OR, 1.70 (95% CI 1.31–2.19, p < 0.0001). The AUCs of the models were as follows: model 1, 0.74; model 2, 0.76; model 3, 0.83; model 4, 0.88, consistent with a good prediction model.
Conclusions
Patient-level characteristics affect the association between IHT and in-hospital mortality. After adjusting for patient-level clinical characteristics, IHT status remains associated with in-hospital mortality.