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Published in: Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 1/2021

01-01-2021 | Hepatocellular Carcinoma | Original Article

Establishment of a Genomic-Clinicopathologic Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After R0 Resection

Authors: Bin Yu, Han Liang, Qifa Ye, Yanfeng Wang

Published in: Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery | Issue 1/2021

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Abstract

Background

A high rate of postoperative recurrence, especially early recurrence (ER) occurring within 1 year, seriously impedes patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from achieving long-term survival. This study aimed to establish a genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram for precisely predicting ER in HCC patients after R0 resection.

Methods

Two reliable datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases were selected as the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The prognostic genes related to ER were screened out by univariate Cox regression analysis and differential expression analysis. The gene-based prognostic index was constructed using LASSO and Cox regression analyses, and its independent prognostic value was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox analyses. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to explore the biological pathways related to the prognostic index. Finally, the nomogram integrating all the independent prognostic factors was established and comprehensively evaluated by calibration plots, the C-index, receiver operating characteristic curves, and decision curve analysis.

Results

Nine dysregulated and prognostic genes related to ER (ZNF131, TATDN2, TXN, DDX55, KPNA2, ZNF30, TIMELESS, SFRP1, and COLEC11) were identified (all P < 0.05). The prognostic index model based on the 9 genes was successfully constructed using the TCGA cohort and showed a certain capability to discriminate the ER group from the non-ER group (P < 0.05) and good independent prognostic value in terms of predicting poor early recurrence-free survival (P < 0.05). Eight biological pathways significantly related to ER were identified by GSEA, such as “cell cycle”, “homologous recombination” and “p53 signaling pathway.” The genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram integrating the 9-gene-based prognostic index and TNM stage displayed significantly higher predictive accuracy and clinical application value than that of TNM stage model both in the training and validation cohorts (all P < 0.05).

Conclusions

The novel genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram may be a convenient and powerful tool for accurately predicting ER in HCC patients after R0 resection.
Appendix
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Metadata
Title
Establishment of a Genomic-Clinicopathologic Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After R0 Resection
Authors
Bin Yu
Han Liang
Qifa Ye
Yanfeng Wang
Publication date
01-01-2021
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery / Issue 1/2021
Print ISSN: 1091-255X
Electronic ISSN: 1873-4626
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11605-020-04554-1

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