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Published in: Infection 4/2020

01-08-2020 | Coronavirus | Brief Report

Will the COVID-19 pandemic slow down in the Northern hemisphere by the onset of summer? An epidemiological hypothesis

Authors: Alexander Dzien, Christine Dzien-Bischinger, Monika Lechleitner, Hannes Winner, Günter Weiss

Published in: Infection | Issue 4/2020

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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected most countries of the world. As corona viruses are highly prevalent in the cold season, the question remains whether or not the pandemic will improve with increasing temperatures in the Northern hemisphere. We use data from a primary care registry of almost 15,000 patients over 20 years to retrieve information on viral respiratory infection outbreaks. Our analysis suggests that the severity of the pandemic will be softened by the seasonal change to summer.
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Metadata
Title
Will the COVID-19 pandemic slow down in the Northern hemisphere by the onset of summer? An epidemiological hypothesis
Authors
Alexander Dzien
Christine Dzien-Bischinger
Monika Lechleitner
Hannes Winner
Günter Weiss
Publication date
01-08-2020
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Infection / Issue 4/2020
Print ISSN: 0300-8126
Electronic ISSN: 1439-0973
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s15010-020-01460-1

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