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Published in: BMC Medicine 1/2019

Open Access 01-12-2019 | Coronary Heart Disease | Research article

The comorbidity burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus: patterns, clusters and predictions from a large English primary care cohort

Authors: Magdalena Nowakowska, Salwa S. Zghebi, Darren M. Ashcroft, Iain Buchan, Carolyn Chew-Graham, Tim Holt, Christian Mallen, Harm Van Marwijk, Niels Peek, Rafael Perera-Salazar, David Reeves, Martin K. Rutter, Stephen F. Weng, Nadeem Qureshi, Mamas A. Mamas, Evangelos Kontopantelis

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2019

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Abstract

Background

The presence of additional chronic conditions has a significant impact on the treatment and management of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Little is known about the patterns of comorbidities in this population. The aims of this study are to quantify comorbidity patterns in people with T2DM, to estimate the prevalence of six chronic conditions in 2027 and to identify clusters of similar conditions.

Methods

We used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) linked with the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) data to identify patients diagnosed with T2DM between 2007 and 2017. 102,394 people met the study inclusion criteria. We calculated the crude and age-standardised prevalence of 18 chronic conditions present at and after the T2DM diagnosis. We analysed longitudinally the 6 most common conditions and forecasted their prevalence in 2027 using linear regression. We used agglomerative hierarchical clustering to identify comorbidity clusters. These analyses were repeated on subgroups stratified by gender and deprivation.

Results

More people living in the most deprived areas had ≥ 1 comorbidities present at the time of diagnosis (72% of females; 64% of males) compared to the most affluent areas (67% of females; 59% of males). Depression prevalence increased in all strata and was more common in the most deprived areas. Depression was predicted to affect 33% of females and 15% of males diagnosed with T2DM in 2027. Moderate clustering tendencies were observed, with concordant conditions grouped together and some variations between groups of different demographics.

Conclusions

Comorbidities are common in this population, and high between-patient variability in comorbidity patterns emphasises the need for patient-centred healthcare. Mental health is a growing concern, and there is a need for interventions that target both physical and mental health in this population.
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Metadata
Title
The comorbidity burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus: patterns, clusters and predictions from a large English primary care cohort
Authors
Magdalena Nowakowska
Salwa S. Zghebi
Darren M. Ashcroft
Iain Buchan
Carolyn Chew-Graham
Tim Holt
Christian Mallen
Harm Van Marwijk
Niels Peek
Rafael Perera-Salazar
David Reeves
Martin K. Rutter
Stephen F. Weng
Nadeem Qureshi
Mamas A. Mamas
Evangelos Kontopantelis
Publication date
01-12-2019
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2019
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1373-y

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