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Published in: European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology 11/2023

06-08-2023 | Aspiration Pneumonia | Miscellaneous

Predictors of aspiration pneumonia: developing a new matrix for speech and language therapists

Authors: Laura Ball, Lotte Meteyard, Roy J. Powell

Published in: European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology | Issue 11/2023

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Abstract

Introduction

The contributing factors of aspiration pneumonia have been well documented. However, there are gaps in the literature regarding identifying the weight associated with each factor and the relationship between factors.

Method

In this study, 20 potential predictors of aspiration pneumonia (with four additional variables) have been applied to historic Speech and Language Therapy records to greater understand the significance of each contributor of aspiration pneumonia. 152 cases with an oropharyngeal dysphagia, and a Speech and Language Therapy recommendation of eating and drinking with known aspiration and the associated potential risk of developing an aspiration pneumonia, were included in the data. These were inpatients and outpatients, and had various diagnoses but all had had a videofluoroscopy.

Results

Logistic regression analysis found seven factors that were individually significant in predicting the development of aspiration pneumonia with 84.93% sensitivity and 91.03% specificity

Discussion

Logistic regression and random forest analyses led to the proposal of a new matrix of predictors of aspiration pneumonia with respective scoring weights for individual and cumulative contributors (a direction for future research).
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Metadata
Title
Predictors of aspiration pneumonia: developing a new matrix for speech and language therapists
Authors
Laura Ball
Lotte Meteyard
Roy J. Powell
Publication date
06-08-2023
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Archives of Oto-Rhino-Laryngology / Issue 11/2023
Print ISSN: 0937-4477
Electronic ISSN: 1434-4726
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00405-023-08153-z

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