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Published in: Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research 1/2016

Open Access 01-12-2016 | Research article

Disorder-related risk factors for revision total hip arthroplasty after hip hemiarthroplasty in displaced femoral neck fracture patients: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Authors: Chun-Hao Tsai, Chih-Hsin Muo, Chih-Hung Hung, Tsung-Li Lin, Ta-Ii Wang, Yi-Chin Fong, Horng-Chaung Hsu

Published in: Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research | Issue 1/2016

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Abstract

Background

The choice of primary hip hemiarthroplasty or total hip arthroplasty for displaced femoral neck fracture is still controversial. Revision hip arthroplasty not only increases risk and cost but also could result in worse outcome. Determining the risk factors for revision can help inform medical decision-making and aid in risk stratification of publicly reported outcomes. Therefore, we conducted a nationwide population-based study to identify the disease-related risk factors and construct a risk score nomogram to predict revision surgery.

Methods

Records of all 68,030 femoral neck fracture patients receiving partial hemiarthroplasty (HA) in 2000–2010, with no total hip arthroplasty (THA) or revision HA history, were collected from the National Health Insurance Research Database. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate the risk of revision hip replacement (RHA). The score of each risk factor was the quotient of the regression coefficient of the variable by the regression coefficient for a 10-year increase in age. The predictive accuracy was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

Results

The revision risk for hemiarthroplasty increased in male, those with schizophrenia and end-stage renal disease patients had 1.58-, 1.88-, and 1.74-fold revision HA risk (95 % confidence interval (CI) = 1.40–1.78, 1.26–2.79, and 1.29–2.34, respectively). In a predictive model, the cumulative risk score ranged from 0 to 13 with a 5.08 to 91.82 % 10-year predicted RHA risk. The percentage of AUROC for 10-year RHA risk in nomogram was 61.9 (95 % CI = 60.0–63.4).

Conclusions

Males, schizophrenia and end-stage renal disease patients have higher risk of revision surgery after hemiarthroplasty for femoral neck fracture.
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Metadata
Title
Disorder-related risk factors for revision total hip arthroplasty after hip hemiarthroplasty in displaced femoral neck fracture patients: a nationwide population-based cohort study
Authors
Chun-Hao Tsai
Chih-Hsin Muo
Chih-Hung Hung
Tsung-Li Lin
Ta-Ii Wang
Yi-Chin Fong
Horng-Chaung Hsu
Publication date
01-12-2016
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery and Research / Issue 1/2016
Electronic ISSN: 1749-799X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13018-016-0400-3

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