Skip to main content
Top
Published in: BMC Cardiovascular Disorders 1/2023

Open Access 01-12-2023 | Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm | Research

Using red blood cell distribution width to predict death after abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture

Authors: Wanghai Li, Tao Liao, Yan Zhang, Chengzhi Li

Published in: BMC Cardiovascular Disorders | Issue 1/2023

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

An abdominal aortic aneurysm is a life-threatening enlargement in the major vessel at the abdomen level. This study investigated the associations between different levels of red blood cell distribution width and all-cause mortality among patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture. It developed predictive models for all-cause mortality risk.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study using 2001 to 2012 MIMIC-III dataset. The study sample included 392 U.S. adults with abdominal aortic aneurysms who were admitted to ICU after the aneurysm rupture. Then we used two single-factor and four multivariable logistic regression models to examine the associations between different levels of red blood cell distribution and all-cause mortality (30 days and 90 days), controlling for demographics, comorbidities, vital signs, and other laboratory measurements. The receiver operator characteristic curves were calculated, and the areas under the curves were recorded.

Results

There were 140 (35.7%) patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm in the red blood cell distribution width range between 11.7 and 13.8%, 117 (29.8%) patients in the range between 13.9 and 14.9%, and 135 (34.5%) patients in the range between 15.0 and 21.6%. Patients with higher red blood cell distribution width level (> 13.8%) tended to have a higher mortality rate (both 30 days and 90 days), congestive heart failure, renal failure, coagulation disorders, lower hemoglobin, hematocrit, MCV, red blood cell count, higher levels of chloride, creatinine, sodium, and BUN (All P < 0.05). Results of multivariate logistic regression models indicated that patients with higher red blood cell distribution width levels (> 13.8%) had the highest statistically significant odd ratios of 30 days and 90 days of all-cause mortality than lower red blood cell distribution width levels. The area under the RDW curve was lower (P = 0.0009) than that of SAPSII scores.

Conclusions

Our study found that patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture with a higher blood cell distribution had the highest risk of all-cause mortality. Using the blood cell distribution width level in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture to predict mortality should be considered in future clinical practice.
Literature
1.
go back to reference Guirguis-Blake JM, Beil TL, Senger CA, Coppola EL. Primary care screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: updated evidence report and systematic review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA. 2019;322:2219–38.CrossRefPubMed Guirguis-Blake JM, Beil TL, Senger CA, Coppola EL. Primary care screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: updated evidence report and systematic review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA. 2019;322:2219–38.CrossRefPubMed
2.
go back to reference Johansson M, Zahl PH, Siersma V, Jørgensen KJ, Marklund B, Brodersen J. Benefits and harms of screening men for abdominal aortic aneurysm in Sweden: a registry-based cohort study. Lancet. 2018;391:2441–7.CrossRefPubMed Johansson M, Zahl PH, Siersma V, Jørgensen KJ, Marklund B, Brodersen J. Benefits and harms of screening men for abdominal aortic aneurysm in Sweden: a registry-based cohort study. Lancet. 2018;391:2441–7.CrossRefPubMed
3.
go back to reference Wanhainen A, Hultgren R, Linné A. Outcome of the swedish nationwide abdominal aortic aneurysm screening program. J Vasc Surg. 2017;65:585.CrossRef Wanhainen A, Hultgren R, Linné A. Outcome of the swedish nationwide abdominal aortic aneurysm screening program. J Vasc Surg. 2017;65:585.CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Force UPST. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2019;322:2211–8.CrossRef Force UPST. Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm: US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2019;322:2211–8.CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Wooster DL, RPV FR. Abdominal aortic aneurysm screening is underutilized: barriers to Screening and Lessons learned from a survey of primary care providers. Screening. 2004;267:269. Wooster DL, RPV FR. Abdominal aortic aneurysm screening is underutilized: barriers to Screening and Lessons learned from a survey of primary care providers. Screening. 2004;267:269.
6.
go back to reference Goldstein BA, Navar AM, Pencina MJ, Ioannidis J. Opportunities and challenges in developing risk prediction models with electronic health records data: a systematic review. J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2017;24:198–208.CrossRefPubMed Goldstein BA, Navar AM, Pencina MJ, Ioannidis J. Opportunities and challenges in developing risk prediction models with electronic health records data: a systematic review. J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2017;24:198–208.CrossRefPubMed
7.
go back to reference Goldstein BA, Navar AM, Pencina MJ. Risk prediction with electronic health records: the importance of model validation and clinical context. JAMA Cardiol. 2016;1:976–7.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Goldstein BA, Navar AM, Pencina MJ. Risk prediction with electronic health records: the importance of model validation and clinical context. JAMA Cardiol. 2016;1:976–7.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
8.
go back to reference Huang YL, Hu ZD, Liu SJ, Sun Y, Qin Q, Qin BD, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for patients with heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. PLoS ONE. 2014;9:e104861.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Huang YL, Hu ZD, Liu SJ, Sun Y, Qin Q, Qin BD, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for patients with heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies. PLoS ONE. 2014;9:e104861.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
9.
go back to reference Imai R, Uemura Y, Miura A, Mitsuda T, Ishikawa S, Koyasu M, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. J Card Fail. 2015;21:182.CrossRef Imai R, Uemura Y, Miura A, Mitsuda T, Ishikawa S, Koyasu M, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width for patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. J Card Fail. 2015;21:182.CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Hu Y, Liu H, Fu S, Wan J, Li X. Red blood cell distribution width is an independent predictor of AKI and mortality in patients in the coronary care unit. Kidney Blood Press Res. 2017;42:1193–204.CrossRefPubMed Hu Y, Liu H, Fu S, Wan J, Li X. Red blood cell distribution width is an independent predictor of AKI and mortality in patients in the coronary care unit. Kidney Blood Press Res. 2017;42:1193–204.CrossRefPubMed
11.
go back to reference Osadnik T, Strzelczyk J, Hawranek M, Lekston A, Wasilewski J, Kurek A, et al. Red cell distribution width is associated with long-term prognosis in patients with stable coronary artery disease. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2013;13:1–8.CrossRef Osadnik T, Strzelczyk J, Hawranek M, Lekston A, Wasilewski J, Kurek A, et al. Red cell distribution width is associated with long-term prognosis in patients with stable coronary artery disease. BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2013;13:1–8.CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Braun E, Domany E, Kenig Y, Mazor Y, Makhoul BF, Azzam ZS. Elevated red cell distribution width predicts poor outcome in young patients with community acquired pneumonia. Crit Care. 2011;15:1–9.CrossRef Braun E, Domany E, Kenig Y, Mazor Y, Makhoul BF, Azzam ZS. Elevated red cell distribution width predicts poor outcome in young patients with community acquired pneumonia. Crit Care. 2011;15:1–9.CrossRef
13.
14.
go back to reference Chaikof EL, Dalman RL, Eskandari MK, Jackson BM, Lee WA, Mansour MA, et al. The Society for vascular surgery practice guidelines on the care of patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm. J Vasc Surg. 2018;67:2–77. e2.CrossRefPubMed Chaikof EL, Dalman RL, Eskandari MK, Jackson BM, Lee WA, Mansour MA, et al. The Society for vascular surgery practice guidelines on the care of patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm. J Vasc Surg. 2018;67:2–77. e2.CrossRefPubMed
15.
go back to reference Aggarwal S, Qamar A, Sharma V, Sharma A. Abdominal aortic aneurysm: a comprehensive review. Exp Clin Cardiol. 2011;16:11.PubMedPubMedCentral Aggarwal S, Qamar A, Sharma V, Sharma A. Abdominal aortic aneurysm: a comprehensive review. Exp Clin Cardiol. 2011;16:11.PubMedPubMedCentral
16.
go back to reference Varkevisser RR, O’Donnell TF, Swerdlow NJ, Liang P, Li C, Ultee KH, et al. Fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair is associated with lower perioperative morbidity and mortality compared with open repair for complex abdominal aortic aneurysms. J Vasc Surg. 2019;69:1670–8.CrossRefPubMed Varkevisser RR, O’Donnell TF, Swerdlow NJ, Liang P, Li C, Ultee KH, et al. Fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair is associated with lower perioperative morbidity and mortality compared with open repair for complex abdominal aortic aneurysms. J Vasc Surg. 2019;69:1670–8.CrossRefPubMed
17.
go back to reference Risum Ø, Sandven I, Sundhagen JO, Abdelnoor M. Editor, editors. ‘s choice–effect of statins on total mortality in abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2021;61:114 – 20. Risum Ø, Sandven I, Sundhagen JO, Abdelnoor M. Editor, editors. ‘s choice–effect of statins on total mortality in abdominal aortic aneurysm repair: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2021;61:114 – 20.
18.
go back to reference Yoshimura K, Nagasawa A, Kudo J, Onoda M, Morikage N, Furutani A, et al. Inhibitory effect of statins on inflammation-related pathways in human abdominal aortic aneurysm tissue. Int J Mol Sci. 2015;16:11213–28.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Yoshimura K, Nagasawa A, Kudo J, Onoda M, Morikage N, Furutani A, et al. Inhibitory effect of statins on inflammation-related pathways in human abdominal aortic aneurysm tissue. Int J Mol Sci. 2015;16:11213–28.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
19.
go back to reference Salata K, Syed M, Hussain MA, de Mestral C, Greco E, Mamdani M, et al. Statins reduce abdominal aortic aneurysm growth, rupture, and Perioperative Mortality: a systematic review and Meta-analysis. J Am Heart Assoc. 2018;7:e008657.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Salata K, Syed M, Hussain MA, de Mestral C, Greco E, Mamdani M, et al. Statins reduce abdominal aortic aneurysm growth, rupture, and Perioperative Mortality: a systematic review and Meta-analysis. J Am Heart Assoc. 2018;7:e008657.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
20.
go back to reference Yei K, Mathlouthi A, Naazie I, Elsayed N, Clary B, Malas M. Long-term Outcomes Associated with Open vs endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in a Medicare-Matched database. JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5:e2212081.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Yei K, Mathlouthi A, Naazie I, Elsayed N, Clary B, Malas M. Long-term Outcomes Associated with Open vs endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair in a Medicare-Matched database. JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5:e2212081.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
21.
go back to reference Lederle FA, Freischlag JA, Kyriakides TC, Padberg FT, Matsumura JS, Kohler TR, et al. Outcomes following endovascular vs open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm: a randomized trial. JAMA. 2009;302:1535–42.CrossRefPubMed Lederle FA, Freischlag JA, Kyriakides TC, Padberg FT, Matsumura JS, Kohler TR, et al. Outcomes following endovascular vs open repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm: a randomized trial. JAMA. 2009;302:1535–42.CrossRefPubMed
22.
go back to reference Malas M, Arhuidese I, Qazi U, Black J, Perler B, Freischlag JA. Perioperative mortality following repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms: application of a randomized clinical trial to real-world practice using a validated nationwide data set. JAMA Surg. 2014;149:1260–5.CrossRefPubMed Malas M, Arhuidese I, Qazi U, Black J, Perler B, Freischlag JA. Perioperative mortality following repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms: application of a randomized clinical trial to real-world practice using a validated nationwide data set. JAMA Surg. 2014;149:1260–5.CrossRefPubMed
23.
go back to reference Schermerhorn ML, Buck DB, O’Malley AJ, Curran T, McCallum JC, Darling J, et al. Long-term outcomes of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Medicare population. N Engl J Med. 2015;373:328–38.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Schermerhorn ML, Buck DB, O’Malley AJ, Curran T, McCallum JC, Darling J, et al. Long-term outcomes of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Medicare population. N Engl J Med. 2015;373:328–38.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
24.
go back to reference Lederle FA, Kyriakides TC, Stroupe KT, Freischlag JA, Padberg FT Jr, Matsumura JS, et al. Open versus endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm. N Engl J Med. 2019;380:2126–35.CrossRefPubMed Lederle FA, Kyriakides TC, Stroupe KT, Freischlag JA, Padberg FT Jr, Matsumura JS, et al. Open versus endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm. N Engl J Med. 2019;380:2126–35.CrossRefPubMed
25.
go back to reference Moxon JV, Parr A, Emeto TI, Walker P, Norman PE, Golledge J. Diagnosis and monitoring of abdominal aortic aneurysm: current status and future prospects. Curr Probl Cardiol. 2010;35:512–48.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Moxon JV, Parr A, Emeto TI, Walker P, Norman PE, Golledge J. Diagnosis and monitoring of abdominal aortic aneurysm: current status and future prospects. Curr Probl Cardiol. 2010;35:512–48.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
26.
go back to reference Robinson D, Mees B, Verhagen H, Chuen J. Aortic aneurysms: screening, surveillance and referral. Aust Fam Physician. 2013;42:364–9.PubMed Robinson D, Mees B, Verhagen H, Chuen J. Aortic aneurysms: screening, surveillance and referral. Aust Fam Physician. 2013;42:364–9.PubMed
27.
28.
29.
go back to reference Kent KC, Zwolak RM, Egorova NN, Riles TS, Manganaro A, Moskowitz AJ, et al. Analysis of risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm in a cohort of more than 3 million individuals. J Vasc Surg. 2010;52:539–48.CrossRefPubMed Kent KC, Zwolak RM, Egorova NN, Riles TS, Manganaro A, Moskowitz AJ, et al. Analysis of risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysm in a cohort of more than 3 million individuals. J Vasc Surg. 2010;52:539–48.CrossRefPubMed
30.
go back to reference Wilmink A, Hubbard CS, Day N, Quick C. The incidence of small abdominal aortic aneurysms and the change in normal infrarenal aortic diameter: implications for screening. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2001;21:165–70.CrossRefPubMed Wilmink A, Hubbard CS, Day N, Quick C. The incidence of small abdominal aortic aneurysms and the change in normal infrarenal aortic diameter: implications for screening. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2001;21:165–70.CrossRefPubMed
31.
go back to reference Vardulaki KA, Walker NM, Day NE, Duffy SW, Ashton HA, Scott RA. Quantifying the risks of hypertension, age, sex and smoking in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm. Br J Surg. 2000;87:195–200.CrossRefPubMed Vardulaki KA, Walker NM, Day NE, Duffy SW, Ashton HA, Scott RA. Quantifying the risks of hypertension, age, sex and smoking in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm. Br J Surg. 2000;87:195–200.CrossRefPubMed
32.
go back to reference Tonelli M, Sacks F, Arnold M, Moye L, Davis B, Pfeffer M. Relation between red blood cell distribution width and cardiovascular event rate in people with coronary disease. Circulation. 2008;117:163–8.CrossRefPubMed Tonelli M, Sacks F, Arnold M, Moye L, Davis B, Pfeffer M. Relation between red blood cell distribution width and cardiovascular event rate in people with coronary disease. Circulation. 2008;117:163–8.CrossRefPubMed
33.
go back to reference Hu ZD, Wei TT, Tang QQ, Fu HT, Yang M, Ma N, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width in acute pancreatitis patients admitted to intensive care units: an analysis of a publicly accessible clinical database MIMIC II. Clin Chem Lab Med. 2016;54:e195–e7.CrossRefPubMed Hu ZD, Wei TT, Tang QQ, Fu HT, Yang M, Ma N, et al. Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width in acute pancreatitis patients admitted to intensive care units: an analysis of a publicly accessible clinical database MIMIC II. Clin Chem Lab Med. 2016;54:e195–e7.CrossRefPubMed
34.
go back to reference Li B, Eisenberg N, Witheford M, Lindsay TF, Forbes TL, Roche-Nagle G. Sex differences in outcomes following ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5:e2211336.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Li B, Eisenberg N, Witheford M, Lindsay TF, Forbes TL, Roche-Nagle G. Sex differences in outcomes following ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5:e2211336.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
35.
go back to reference Stoberock K, Kölbel T, Atlihan G, Debus ES, Tsilimparis N, Larena-Avellaneda A, et al. Gender differences in abdominal aortic aneurysm therapy–a systematic review. Vasa. 2018;47:267–72.CrossRefPubMed Stoberock K, Kölbel T, Atlihan G, Debus ES, Tsilimparis N, Larena-Avellaneda A, et al. Gender differences in abdominal aortic aneurysm therapy–a systematic review. Vasa. 2018;47:267–72.CrossRefPubMed
Metadata
Title
Using red blood cell distribution width to predict death after abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture
Authors
Wanghai Li
Tao Liao
Yan Zhang
Chengzhi Li
Publication date
01-12-2023
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Cardiovascular Disorders / Issue 1/2023
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2261
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-023-03191-1

Other articles of this Issue 1/2023

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders 1/2023 Go to the issue