Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Clinical Pharmacokinetics 8/2017

01-08-2017 | Original Research Article

Translational Modeling and Simulation in Supporting Early-Phase Clinical Development of New Drug: A Learn–Research–Confirm Process

Authors: Dongyang Liu, Yi Zhang, Ji Jiang, John Choi, Xuening Li, Dalong Zhu, Dawei Xiao, Yanhua Ding, Hongwei Fan, Li Chen, Pei Hu

Published in: Clinical Pharmacokinetics | Issue 8/2017

Login to get access

Abstract

Background and Objective

Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling and simulation can aid clinical drug development by dynamically integrating key system- and drug-specific information into predictive profiles. In this study, we propose a methodology to predict pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic profiles of sinogliatin (HMS-5552, RO-5305552), a novel glucokinase activator to treat diabetes mellitus, for first-in-patient (FIP) studies.

Methods and Results

Initially, pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic profiles of sinogliatin and another glucokinase activator (US2) previously acquired from healthy subjects were fitted using Model A incorporating an indirect response mechanism. The pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic profiles of US2 in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were then fitted using Model B incorporating circadian rhythm and food effects after thoughtful research on the difference between healthy subjects and T2DM patients. The differences in results between the two US2 modeling populations were used to scale the values of the pharmacodynamic parameters and refine the pharmacodynamic model of sinogliatin, which was then utilized to project pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic profiles of sinogliatin in T2DM patients after an 8-day simulated treatment. Results showed that the projected pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic values of five parameters were within 70–130% of values fitted from observed clinical data while the other two remaining projected parameters were within a twofold error. Population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analysis conducted for sinogliatin also suggested that age and sex were significantly correlated to pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic characteristics. Additionally, Model B was combined with a glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) compartment to form Model C, which was then used to project serum HbA1c levels in patients after a 1-month simulated treatment of sinogliatin. The predicted HbA1c changes were nearly identical to observed clinical values (0.82 vs. 0.78%).

Conclusions

Model-based drug development methods utilizing a learn–research–confirm cycle may accurately project pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic profiles of new drugs in FIP studies.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
2.
go back to reference Danhof M, de Lange EC, Della POE, et al. Mechanism-based pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) modeling in translational drug research. Trends Pharmacol Sci. 2008;29:186–91.CrossRefPubMed Danhof M, de Lange EC, Della POE, et al. Mechanism-based pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) modeling in translational drug research. Trends Pharmacol Sci. 2008;29:186–91.CrossRefPubMed
3.
go back to reference Jonsson S, Henningsson A, Edholm M, et al. Role of modelling and simulation: a European regulatory perspective. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2012;51:69–76.CrossRefPubMed Jonsson S, Henningsson A, Edholm M, et al. Role of modelling and simulation: a European regulatory perspective. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2012;51:69–76.CrossRefPubMed
4.
go back to reference Kowalski KG, Olson S, Remmers AE, et al. Modeling and simulation to support dose selection and clinical development of SC-75416, a selective COX-2 inhibitor for the treatment of acute and chronic pain. Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2008;83:857–66.CrossRefPubMed Kowalski KG, Olson S, Remmers AE, et al. Modeling and simulation to support dose selection and clinical development of SC-75416, a selective COX-2 inhibitor for the treatment of acute and chronic pain. Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2008;83:857–66.CrossRefPubMed
5.
go back to reference Peng JZ, Denney WS, Musser BJ, et al. A semi-mechanistic model for the effects of a novel glucagon receptor antagonist on glucagon and the interaction between glucose, glucagon, and insulin applied to adaptive phase II design. AAPS J. 2014;16:1259–70.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Peng JZ, Denney WS, Musser BJ, et al. A semi-mechanistic model for the effects of a novel glucagon receptor antagonist on glucagon and the interaction between glucose, glucagon, and insulin applied to adaptive phase II design. AAPS J. 2014;16:1259–70.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
6.
go back to reference Matschinsky FM. Assessing the potential of glucokinase activators in diabetes therapy. Nat Rev Drug Discov. 2009;8:399–416.CrossRefPubMed Matschinsky FM. Assessing the potential of glucokinase activators in diabetes therapy. Nat Rev Drug Discov. 2009;8:399–416.CrossRefPubMed
7.
go back to reference Bedoya FJ, Matschinsky FM, Shimizu T, et al. Differential regulation of glucokinase activity in pancreatic islets and liver of the rat. J Biol Chem. 1986;261:10760–4.PubMed Bedoya FJ, Matschinsky FM, Shimizu T, et al. Differential regulation of glucokinase activity in pancreatic islets and liver of the rat. J Biol Chem. 1986;261:10760–4.PubMed
8.
go back to reference Grewal AS, Sekhon BS, Lather V. Recent updates on glucokinase activators for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Mini Rev Med Chem. 2014;14:585–602.CrossRefPubMed Grewal AS, Sekhon BS, Lather V. Recent updates on glucokinase activators for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Mini Rev Med Chem. 2014;14:585–602.CrossRefPubMed
9.
go back to reference Xu HR, Sheng L, Chen WL, et al. Safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of novel glucokinase activator HMS5552: results from a first-in-human single ascending dose study. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2016;10:1619–26.PubMedPubMedCentral Xu HR, Sheng L, Chen WL, et al. Safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics of novel glucokinase activator HMS5552: results from a first-in-human single ascending dose study. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2016;10:1619–26.PubMedPubMedCentral
10.
go back to reference D’Argenio DZ, Schumitzky A. A program package for simulation and parameter estimation in pharmacokinetic systems. Comput Programs Biomed. 1979;9:115–34.CrossRefPubMed D’Argenio DZ, Schumitzky A. A program package for simulation and parameter estimation in pharmacokinetic systems. Comput Programs Biomed. 1979;9:115–34.CrossRefPubMed
11.
go back to reference Liu D, Yang H, Jiang J, et al. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modeling analysis of intravenous esomeprazole in healthy volunteers. J Clin Pharmacol. 2016;56:816–26.CrossRefPubMed Liu D, Yang H, Jiang J, et al. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modeling analysis of intravenous esomeprazole in healthy volunteers. J Clin Pharmacol. 2016;56:816–26.CrossRefPubMed
13.
go back to reference Boden G, Chen X, Urbain JL. Evidence for a circadian rhythm of insulin sensitivity in patients with NIDDM caused by cyclic changes in hepatic glucose production. Diabetes. 1996;45:1044–50.CrossRefPubMed Boden G, Chen X, Urbain JL. Evidence for a circadian rhythm of insulin sensitivity in patients with NIDDM caused by cyclic changes in hepatic glucose production. Diabetes. 1996;45:1044–50.CrossRefPubMed
14.
go back to reference Landersdorfer CB, Jusko WJ. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modelling in diabetes mellitus. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2008;47:417–48.CrossRefPubMed Landersdorfer CB, Jusko WJ. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modelling in diabetes mellitus. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2008;47:417–48.CrossRefPubMed
15.
go back to reference Lennernäs H. Intestinal permeability and its relevance for absorption and elimination. Xenobiotica. 2007;37:1015–51.CrossRefPubMed Lennernäs H. Intestinal permeability and its relevance for absorption and elimination. Xenobiotica. 2007;37:1015–51.CrossRefPubMed
16.
go back to reference Du Bois D, Du Bois EF. A formula to estimate the approximate surface area if height and weight be known. 1916. Nutrition. 1989;5:303–311 (discussion 312–313). Du Bois D, Du Bois EF. A formula to estimate the approximate surface area if height and weight be known. 1916. Nutrition. 1989;5:303–311 (discussion 312–313).
17.
go back to reference Green B, Duffull S. Caution when lean body weight is used as a size descriptor for obese subjects. Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2002;72:743–4.CrossRefPubMed Green B, Duffull S. Caution when lean body weight is used as a size descriptor for obese subjects. Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2002;72:743–4.CrossRefPubMed
18.
go back to reference Lindbom L, Pihlgren P, Jonsson EN. PsN-Toolkit–a collection of computer intensive statistical methods for non-linear mixed effect modeling using NONMEM. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 2005;79:241–57.CrossRefPubMed Lindbom L, Pihlgren P, Jonsson EN. PsN-Toolkit–a collection of computer intensive statistical methods for non-linear mixed effect modeling using NONMEM. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 2005;79:241–57.CrossRefPubMed
19.
go back to reference Jonsson EN, Karlsson MO. Xpose–an S-PLUS based population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model building aid for NONMEM. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 1999;58:51–64.CrossRefPubMed Jonsson EN, Karlsson MO. Xpose–an S-PLUS based population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model building aid for NONMEM. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 1999;58:51–64.CrossRefPubMed
20.
go back to reference Efron B. Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife. Ann Stat. 1979;7:1–26.CrossRef Efron B. Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife. Ann Stat. 1979;7:1–26.CrossRef
21.
go back to reference Rohatagi S, Carrothers TJ, Jin J, et al. Model-based development of a PPARgamma agonist, rivoglitazone, to aid dose selection and optimize clinical trial designs. J Clin Pharmacol. 2008;48:1420–9.CrossRefPubMed Rohatagi S, Carrothers TJ, Jin J, et al. Model-based development of a PPARgamma agonist, rivoglitazone, to aid dose selection and optimize clinical trial designs. J Clin Pharmacol. 2008;48:1420–9.CrossRefPubMed
22.
go back to reference Betts AM, Clark TH, Yang J, et al. The application of target information and preclinical pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling in predicting clinical doses of a Dickkopf-1 antibody for osteoporosis. J Pharmacol Exp Ther. 2010;333:2–13.CrossRefPubMed Betts AM, Clark TH, Yang J, et al. The application of target information and preclinical pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling in predicting clinical doses of a Dickkopf-1 antibody for osteoporosis. J Pharmacol Exp Ther. 2010;333:2–13.CrossRefPubMed
23.
go back to reference Liu D, Ma X, Liu Y, et al. Quantitative prediction of human pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of imigliptin, a novel DPP-4 inhibitor, using allometric scaling, IVIVE and PK/PD modeling methods. Eur J Pharm Sci. 2016;89:73–82.CrossRefPubMed Liu D, Ma X, Liu Y, et al. Quantitative prediction of human pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of imigliptin, a novel DPP-4 inhibitor, using allometric scaling, IVIVE and PK/PD modeling methods. Eur J Pharm Sci. 2016;89:73–82.CrossRefPubMed
24.
go back to reference Claret L, Zheng J, Mercier F, et al. Model-based prediction of progression-free survival in patients with first-line renal cell carcinoma using week 8 tumor size change from baseline. Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2016;78:605–10.CrossRefPubMed Claret L, Zheng J, Mercier F, et al. Model-based prediction of progression-free survival in patients with first-line renal cell carcinoma using week 8 tumor size change from baseline. Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2016;78:605–10.CrossRefPubMed
25.
go back to reference Wang Y, Zhu R, Xiao J, et al. Short-term efficacy reliably predicts long-term clinical benefit in rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials as demonstrated by model-based meta-analysis. J Clin Pharmacol. 2016;56:835–44.CrossRefPubMed Wang Y, Zhu R, Xiao J, et al. Short-term efficacy reliably predicts long-term clinical benefit in rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials as demonstrated by model-based meta-analysis. J Clin Pharmacol. 2016;56:835–44.CrossRefPubMed
26.
go back to reference Feng S, Shi J, Parrott N, et al. Combining ‘bottom-up’ and ‘top-down’ methods to assess ethnic difference in clearance: bitopertin as an example. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2016;55:823–32.CrossRefPubMed Feng S, Shi J, Parrott N, et al. Combining ‘bottom-up’ and ‘top-down’ methods to assess ethnic difference in clearance: bitopertin as an example. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2016;55:823–32.CrossRefPubMed
27.
go back to reference Jadhav PR, Cook J, Sinha V, et al. A proposal for scientific framework enabling specific population drug dosing recommendations. J Clin Pharmacol. 2015;55:1073–8.CrossRefPubMed Jadhav PR, Cook J, Sinha V, et al. A proposal for scientific framework enabling specific population drug dosing recommendations. J Clin Pharmacol. 2015;55:1073–8.CrossRefPubMed
28.
go back to reference Zager MG, Kozminski K, Pascual B, et al. Preclinical PK/PD modeling and human efficacious dose projection for a glucokinase activator in the treatment of diabetes. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2014;41:127–39.CrossRefPubMed Zager MG, Kozminski K, Pascual B, et al. Preclinical PK/PD modeling and human efficacious dose projection for a glucokinase activator in the treatment of diabetes. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2014;41:127–39.CrossRefPubMed
29.
go back to reference Schneck KB, Zhang X, Bauer R, et al. Assessment of glycemic response to an oral glucokinase activator in a proof of concept study: application of a semi-mechanistic, integrated glucose-insulin-glucagon model. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2013;40:67–80.CrossRefPubMed Schneck KB, Zhang X, Bauer R, et al. Assessment of glycemic response to an oral glucokinase activator in a proof of concept study: application of a semi-mechanistic, integrated glucose-insulin-glucagon model. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2013;40:67–80.CrossRefPubMed
30.
go back to reference Radziuk J, Pye S. Quantitation of basal endogenous glucose production in Type II diabetes: importance of the volume of distribution. Diabetologia. 2002;45:1053–84.CrossRefPubMed Radziuk J, Pye S. Quantitation of basal endogenous glucose production in Type II diabetes: importance of the volume of distribution. Diabetologia. 2002;45:1053–84.CrossRefPubMed
31.
go back to reference Hong J, Gu WQ, Zhang YF, et al. The interplay of insulin resistance and beta-cell dysfunction involves the development of type 2 diabetes in Chinese obeses. Endocrine. 2007;31:93–9.CrossRefPubMed Hong J, Gu WQ, Zhang YF, et al. The interplay of insulin resistance and beta-cell dysfunction involves the development of type 2 diabetes in Chinese obeses. Endocrine. 2007;31:93–9.CrossRefPubMed
32.
go back to reference Radziuk J, Pye S. Diurnal rhythm in endogenous glucose production is a major contributor to fasting hyperglycaemia in type 2 diabetes. Suprachiasmatic deficit or limit cycle behaviour. Diabetologia. 2006;49:1619–28.CrossRefPubMed Radziuk J, Pye S. Diurnal rhythm in endogenous glucose production is a major contributor to fasting hyperglycaemia in type 2 diabetes. Suprachiasmatic deficit or limit cycle behaviour. Diabetologia. 2006;49:1619–28.CrossRefPubMed
33.
go back to reference Radziuk J, Pye S. Production and metabolic clearance of glucose under basal conditions in Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. Diabetologia. 2001;44:983–91.CrossRefPubMed Radziuk J, Pye S. Production and metabolic clearance of glucose under basal conditions in Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. Diabetologia. 2001;44:983–91.CrossRefPubMed
34.
go back to reference Roge RM, Klim S, Kristensen NR, et al. Modeling of 24-hour glucose and insulin profiles in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus treated with biphasic insulin aspart. J Clin Pharmacol. 2014;54:809–17.CrossRefPubMed Roge RM, Klim S, Kristensen NR, et al. Modeling of 24-hour glucose and insulin profiles in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus treated with biphasic insulin aspart. J Clin Pharmacol. 2014;54:809–17.CrossRefPubMed
35.
go back to reference Shapiro ET, Polonsky KS, Copinschi G, et al. Nocturnal elevation of glucose levels during fasting in noninsulin-dependent diabetes. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 1991;72:444–54.CrossRefPubMed Shapiro ET, Polonsky KS, Copinschi G, et al. Nocturnal elevation of glucose levels during fasting in noninsulin-dependent diabetes. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 1991;72:444–54.CrossRefPubMed
36.
go back to reference Dalla MC, Caumo A, Basu R, et al. Minimal model estimation of glucose absorption and insulin sensitivity from oral test: validation with a tracer method. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab. 2004;287:E637–43.CrossRef Dalla MC, Caumo A, Basu R, et al. Minimal model estimation of glucose absorption and insulin sensitivity from oral test: validation with a tracer method. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab. 2004;287:E637–43.CrossRef
37.
go back to reference Dalla MC, Caumo A, Cobelli C. The oral glucose minimal model: estimation of insulin sensitivity from a meal test. IEEE Trans Biomed Eng. 2002;49:419–29.CrossRef Dalla MC, Caumo A, Cobelli C. The oral glucose minimal model: estimation of insulin sensitivity from a meal test. IEEE Trans Biomed Eng. 2002;49:419–29.CrossRef
38.
go back to reference Jauslin PM, Silber HE, Frey N, et al. An integrated glucose-insulin model to describe oral glucose tolerance test data in type 2 diabetics. J Clin Pharmacol. 2007;47:1244–55.CrossRefPubMed Jauslin PM, Silber HE, Frey N, et al. An integrated glucose-insulin model to describe oral glucose tolerance test data in type 2 diabetics. J Clin Pharmacol. 2007;47:1244–55.CrossRefPubMed
39.
go back to reference Martin J. Red blood cell physiology. Biomed Instrum Technol. 1995;29:150–1.PubMed Martin J. Red blood cell physiology. Biomed Instrum Technol. 1995;29:150–1.PubMed
40.
go back to reference Matschinsky FM, Zelent B, Doliba N, et al. Glucokinase activators for diabetes therapy: May 2010 status report. Diabetes Care. 2011;34(Suppl 2):S236–43.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Matschinsky FM, Zelent B, Doliba N, et al. Glucokinase activators for diabetes therapy: May 2010 status report. Diabetes Care. 2011;34(Suppl 2):S236–43.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
Metadata
Title
Translational Modeling and Simulation in Supporting Early-Phase Clinical Development of New Drug: A Learn–Research–Confirm Process
Authors
Dongyang Liu
Yi Zhang
Ji Jiang
John Choi
Xuening Li
Dalong Zhu
Dawei Xiao
Yanhua Ding
Hongwei Fan
Li Chen
Pei Hu
Publication date
01-08-2017
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
Clinical Pharmacokinetics / Issue 8/2017
Print ISSN: 0312-5963
Electronic ISSN: 1179-1926
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40262-016-0484-2

Other articles of this Issue 8/2017

Clinical Pharmacokinetics 8/2017 Go to the issue