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Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology 3/2021

01-03-2021 | Thyroid Cancer | Endocrine Tumors

Prognostic Impact of Histologic Grade for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Authors: Allen S. Ho, MD, Michael Luu, MPH, Laurel Barrios, BA, Bonnie L. Balzer, MD, Shikha Bose, MD, Xuemo Fan, MD, Evan Walgama, MD, Jon Mallen-St. Clair, MD, Usman Alam, BS, Iram Shafqat, BS, De-Chen Lin, PhD, Yufei Chen, MBBS, Jennifer E. Van Eyk, PhD, Ellie G. Maghami, MD, Glenn D. Braunstein, MD, Wendy L. Sacks, MD, Zachary S. Zumsteg, MD

Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology | Issue 3/2021

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Abstract

Background

While numerous factors affect prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), the comparative impact of histologic grade has not been well described. Moreover, indications for external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) remain imprecise. We evaluate clinicopathologic characteristics and outcomes for PTC stratified by grade.

Methods

We profiled histologic grade for PTC (well differentiated, moderately differentiated, poorly differentiated) via hospital (National Cancer Database) and population-based (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) registries. Cox regression was used to adjust for clinicopathologic covariates. Statistical interactions between subtypes and the effect of EBRT on survival were assessed.

Results

Collectively, worsening clinicopathologic factors (age, tumor size, extrathyroidal extension, nodal spread, M1 disease) and outcomes (disease-free survival, overall survival) correlated with less differentiated state, across all histologic grades (p < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed escalating hazard with loss of differentiation relative to well-differentiated PTC (moderately differentiated hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–1.41, p = 0.02; poorly differentiated HR 2.62, 95% CI 2.23–3.08, p < 0.001). Correspondingly, greater survival benefit was associated with EBRT for poorly differentiated cases (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.18–0.72, p = 0.004). This finding was upheld after landmark analysis to address potential immortal time bias (HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.17–0.80, p = 0.01).

Conclusions

Worsening histologic grade in PTC is independently associated with parallel escalation in mortality risk, on a scale approximating or surpassing established thyroid cancer risk factors. On preliminary analysis, EBRT was associated with improved survival in the most aggressive or least differentiated subvariants. Further investigation is warranted to examine the efficacy of EBRT for select poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas.
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Metadata
Title
Prognostic Impact of Histologic Grade for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma
Authors
Allen S. Ho, MD
Michael Luu, MPH
Laurel Barrios, BA
Bonnie L. Balzer, MD
Shikha Bose, MD
Xuemo Fan, MD
Evan Walgama, MD
Jon Mallen-St. Clair, MD
Usman Alam, BS
Iram Shafqat, BS
De-Chen Lin, PhD
Yufei Chen, MBBS
Jennifer E. Van Eyk, PhD
Ellie G. Maghami, MD
Glenn D. Braunstein, MD
Wendy L. Sacks, MD
Zachary S. Zumsteg, MD
Publication date
01-03-2021
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
Annals of Surgical Oncology / Issue 3/2021
Print ISSN: 1068-9265
Electronic ISSN: 1534-4681
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-020-09023-2

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