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Published in: BMC Medicine 1/2021

01-12-2021 | Stroke | Research article

Association between cardiometabolic disease multimorbidity and all-cause mortality in 2 million women and men registered in UK general practices

Authors: Dexter Canoy, Jenny Tran, Mariagrazia Zottoli, Rema Ramakrishnan, Abdelaali Hassaine, Shishir Rao, Yikuan Li, Gholamreza Salimi-Khorshidi, Robyn Norton, Kazem Rahimi

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2021

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Abstract

Background

Myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and diabetes share underlying risk factors and commonalities in clinical management. We examined if their combined impact on mortality is proportional, amplified or less than the expected risk separately of each disease and whether the excess risk is explained by their associated comorbidities.

Methods

Using large-scale electronic health records, we identified 2,007,731 eligible patients (51% women) and registered with general practices in the UK and extracted clinical information including diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, diabetes and 53 other long-term conditions before 2005 (study baseline). We used Cox regression to determine the risk of all-cause mortality with age as the underlying time variable and tested for excess risk due to interaction between cardiometabolic conditions.

Results

At baseline, the mean age was 51 years, and 7% (N = 145,910) have had a cardiometabolic condition. After a 7-year mean follow-up, 146,994 died. The sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of all-cause mortality by baseline disease status, compared to those without cardiometabolic disease, were MI = 1.51 (1.49–1.52), diabetes = 1.52 (1.51–1.53), stroke = 1.84 (1.82–1.86), MI and diabetes = 2.14 (2.11–2.17), MI and stroke = 2.35 (2.30–2.39), diabetes and stroke = 2.53 (2.50–2.57) and all three = 3.22 (3.15–3.30). Adjusting for other concurrent comorbidities attenuated these estimates, including the risk associated with having all three conditions (HR = 1.81 [95% CI 1.74–1.89]). Excess risks due to interaction between cardiometabolic conditions, particularly when all three conditions were present, were not significantly greater than expected from the individual disease effects.

Conclusion

Myocardial infarction, stroke and diabetes were associated with excess mortality, without evidence of any amplification of risk in people with all three diseases. The presence of other comorbidities substantially contributed to the excess mortality risks associated with cardiometabolic disease multimorbidity.
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Metadata
Title
Association between cardiometabolic disease multimorbidity and all-cause mortality in 2 million women and men registered in UK general practices
Authors
Dexter Canoy
Jenny Tran
Mariagrazia Zottoli
Rema Ramakrishnan
Abdelaali Hassaine
Shishir Rao
Yikuan Li
Gholamreza Salimi-Khorshidi
Robyn Norton
Kazem Rahimi
Publication date
01-12-2021
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2021
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02126-x

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