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Published in: European Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery 1/2023

Open Access 27-09-2022 | Scaphoid Fracture | Original Article

Morphological risk factors for scaphoid fracture: a case–control study

Authors: Abigael Cohen, Thomas Claessen, Corne van den Berg, Michiel Siebelt, Tjebbe Hagenaars, Gerald A. Kraan, Johannes H. Waarsing, Max Reijman, Joost W. Colaris

Published in: European Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery | Issue 1/2023

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Abstract

Purpose

Most patients with a clinically suspected scaphoid fracture and normal initial radiograph are unnecessarily treated. Previously developed prediction rules using demographic and clinical risk are unable to accurately predict occult fractures. Adding other risk factors could enhance this. Therefore, we aim to explore if there are morphological risk factors of the wrist for sustaining a scaphoid fracture.

Methods

We retrospectively included adult patients with a clinically suspected scaphoid fracture between 2013 and 2019 in our case–control study. There were 82 patients with a scaphoid fracture and 158 patients with a wrist contusion. Morphological risk factors were identified using statistical shape modelling (SSM) and linear measurements. Independent wrist shape variations on posteroanterior and lateral radiographs were captured in modes using SSM. Associations between outcomes and a scaphoid fracture were explored using logistic regression and the reliability was assessed.

Results

Of the 15 posteroanterior modes and 8 lateral modes identified and linear measurements performed, 1 PA mode was associated with a scaphoid fracture (PA mode 4; OR 1.40, CI 1.04–1.93, p = 0.031). We described this mode as an ulna plus and narrower distal radius with more volar tilt and radial inclination. The reliability of the posteroanterior modes and linear measurements was mostly good/excellent and moderate/poor for the lateral modes.

Conclusion

There was one complex wrist shape significantly associated with a scaphoid fracture. Since the association was weak and the shape is difficult to identify radiographs, we believe this morphological risk factor would not enhance identifying occult scaphoid fractures in the future.
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Metadata
Title
Morphological risk factors for scaphoid fracture: a case–control study
Authors
Abigael Cohen
Thomas Claessen
Corne van den Berg
Michiel Siebelt
Tjebbe Hagenaars
Gerald A. Kraan
Johannes H. Waarsing
Max Reijman
Joost W. Colaris
Publication date
27-09-2022
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery / Issue 1/2023
Print ISSN: 1863-9933
Electronic ISSN: 1863-9941
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00068-022-02101-y

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