Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic or recurrent pancreatic cancer treated with first-line nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine: implication of inflammation-based scores

Background Nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine (AG) is standard first-line chemotherapy for patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC). However, prognostic factors for patients with mPC treated with AG, are largely unknown. We retrospectively identified prognostic factors, including inflammation-based prognostic scores, in patients with mPC, and recurrent pancreatic cancer treated with AG as first-line treatment. Method A total of 203 patients with histologically-confirmed recurrent or metastatic pancreatic cancer who were treated with first-line AG in Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea, between February 2016 and December 2016 were included in this analysis. As inflammation-based scores, baseline neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and modified Glasgow prognostic scores (mGPS) were tested. Result Median age was 62 years and 116 patients (57%) were male. With median follow-up duration of 21.5 months, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 7.1 (95% CI 6.2–7.9) months, and overall survival (OS) was 15.1 (95% CI 12.6–17.6) months. In the multivariate analysis, PFS was significantly associated with liver metastasis (HR 1.43), distant lymph node metastasis (HR 1.48), and elevated CA19–9 (HR 1.56). In multivariate analysis for OS, elevated CA19–9 (HR 1.75), liver metastasis (HR 1.76), distant lymph node metastasis (HR 1.41), and high mGPS (mGPS ≥1 vs.0: HR 1.64) were independent prognostic factors. NLR and PLR were not significantly associated with PFS and OS. Conclusion Among the inflammation based prognostic scores, mGPS was a reliable prognostic indicator that could stratify survival outcomes in patients with recurrent or mPC who received AG as first-line chemotherapy.