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Published in: Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery 1/2015

01-01-2015 | Original Article

Predictors of early stages of histological progression of branch duct IPMN

Authors: Hiroshi Kurahara, Kosei Maemura, Yuko Mataki, Masahiko Sakoda, Satoshi Iino, Yuko Kijima, Sumiya Ishigami, Shinichi Ueno, Hiroyuki Shinchi, Shoji Natsugoe

Published in: Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery | Issue 1/2015

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Abstract

Background

An appropriate timing for surgical resection of branch duct-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) to achieve sufficient postoperative survival is still unknown.

Methods

Of 80 patients with histologically proven IPMNs, 61 patients who had BD-IPMN without pancreatic cancer concomitant with IPMN were enrolled in this study. We divided BD-IPMN into four groups according to disease progression: low to intermediate grade of dysplasia (LGD/IGD-IPMN), high grade of dysplasia (HGD-IPMN), minimally invasive IPMN (MI-IPMN: T1a), and invasive IPMN (IN-IPMN: ≥T1b). Indicators of surgical resection were investigated on the basis of pathological findings and postoperative prognosis.

Results

Postoperative survival was distinctly worse for patients with IN-IPMN than for patients with MI-IPMN, HGD-IPMN, and LGD/IGD-IPMN. Postoperative disease-specific 5-year survival rate was 100 % in patients with IN-IPMN, HGD-IPMN, and LGD/IGD-IPMN, by contrast, 40 % in patients with IN-IPMN. The presence of two of the three factors (pancreatitis, serum carbohydrate antigen [CA] 19-9 levels >13 U/mL, and mural nodules) could distinguish HGD-IPMN from LGD/IGD-IPMN with a sensitivity of 92.9 %, specificity of 90.2 %, positive predictive value of 76.5 %, negative predictive value of 97.4 %, and accuracy of 90.9 %.

Conclusions

To manage patients with BD-IPMN and achieve a good postoperative prognosis, surgical resection should be performed before progression to IN-IPMN.
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Metadata
Title
Predictors of early stages of histological progression of branch duct IPMN
Authors
Hiroshi Kurahara
Kosei Maemura
Yuko Mataki
Masahiko Sakoda
Satoshi Iino
Yuko Kijima
Sumiya Ishigami
Shinichi Ueno
Hiroyuki Shinchi
Shoji Natsugoe
Publication date
01-01-2015
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery / Issue 1/2015
Print ISSN: 1435-2443
Electronic ISSN: 1435-2451
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00423-014-1259-6

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