Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Osteoporosis International 3/2018

01-03-2018 | Original Article

Performance of FRAX in clinical practice according to sex and osteoporosis definitions: the Manitoba BMD registry

Authors: W. D. Leslie, S. R. Majumdar, S. N. Morin, L. M. Lix, J. T. Schousboe, K. E. Ensrud, H. Johansson, E. V. McCloskey, J. A. Kanis

Published in: Osteoporosis International | Issue 3/2018

Login to get access

Abstract

Summary

Among 62,275 women and 6455 men, FRAX stratified risk for incident major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and incident hip fracture (HF) without sex interaction. Performance was good in those with osteoporosis regardless of how this was defined.

Introduction

Some studies have reported that FRAX performance differs according to sex and/or osteoporosis definitions. We evaluated whether the performance of FRAX to predict incident MOF and HF in women and men was affected by the presence or absence of osteoporosis defined by World Health Organization (WHO) or National Osteoporosis Foundation (NOF) criteria.

Methods

We studied women and men age ≥ 40 years with baseline hip and spine DXA scans (1996–2013). Individuals were classified into four non-overlapping subgroups: osteoporosis by WHO criteria, osteoporosis exclusively by NOF criteria, high fracture risk by FRAX (MOF ≥ 20% or HF ≥ 3%, without osteoporosis), and low fracture risk (MOF < 20% and HF < 3% without osteoporosis). In each subgroup, we evaluated stratification (hazard ratios [HR]) and calibration (observed vs predicted 10-year fracture probability) for incident fracture.

Results

The population included 62,275 women (5345 MOF and 1471 HF) and 6455 men (405 MOF and 108 HF). FRAX scores were strongly predictive of MOF (HR per SD: women 2.12, 95% CI 2.06–2.18; men 1.89, 95% CI 1.73–2.08; sex interaction p value = 0.97) and HF (women 4.78, 95% CI 4.44–5.14; men 4.20, 95% CI 3.22–5.49; sex interaction p value = 0.71). FRAX scores gave similar HRs for MOF among the four subgroups (subgroup interaction p value 0.34 for women, 0.22 for men). Observed versus predicted 10-year MOF and HF probability for the defined subgroups demonstrated a high level of concordance for women and men (all r2 ≥ 0.9).

Conclusions

FRAX was a strong and consistent predictor of MOF and HF in both women and men and performed well in those with osteoporosis whether defined by WHO or NOF criteria.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Consensus Development Panel NIH (2001) Osteoporosis prevention, diagnosis, and therapy. JAMA 285:785–795CrossRef Consensus Development Panel NIH (2001) Osteoporosis prevention, diagnosis, and therapy. JAMA 285:785–795CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Kanis JA, Cooper C, Rizzoli R et al (2017) Identification and management of patients at increased risk of osteoporotic fracture: outcomes of an ESCEO expert consensus meeting. Osteoporos Int 28:2023–2034CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Kanis JA, Cooper C, Rizzoli R et al (2017) Identification and management of patients at increased risk of osteoporotic fracture: outcomes of an ESCEO expert consensus meeting. Osteoporos Int 28:2023–2034CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
3.
go back to reference Williamson S, Landeiro F, McConnell T et al (2017) Costs of fragility hip fractures globally: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. Osteoporos Int 28:2791–2800CrossRefPubMed Williamson S, Landeiro F, McConnell T et al (2017) Costs of fragility hip fractures globally: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. Osteoporos Int 28:2791–2800CrossRefPubMed
4.
go back to reference MacLean C, Newberry S, Maglione M et al (2008) Systematic review: comparative effectiveness of treatments to prevent fractures in men and women with low bone density or osteoporosis. Ann Intern Med 148:197–213CrossRefPubMed MacLean C, Newberry S, Maglione M et al (2008) Systematic review: comparative effectiveness of treatments to prevent fractures in men and women with low bone density or osteoporosis. Ann Intern Med 148:197–213CrossRefPubMed
5.
go back to reference Hopkins RB, Goeree R, Pullenayegum E et al (2011) The relative efficacy of nine osteoporosis medications for reducing the rate of fractures in post-menopausal women. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 12:209CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Hopkins RB, Goeree R, Pullenayegum E et al (2011) The relative efficacy of nine osteoporosis medications for reducing the rate of fractures in post-menopausal women. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 12:209CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
8.
go back to reference Kanis JA, Johnell O, Oden A et al (2000) Long-term risk of osteoporotic fracture in Malmo. Osteoporos Int 11:669–674CrossRefPubMed Kanis JA, Johnell O, Oden A et al (2000) Long-term risk of osteoporotic fracture in Malmo. Osteoporos Int 11:669–674CrossRefPubMed
12.
go back to reference Ensrud KE, Taylor BC, Peters KW, Gourlay ML, Donaldson MG, Leslie WD, Blackwell TL, Fink HA, Orwoll ES, Schousboe J, for the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study Group (2014) Implications of expanding indications for drug treatment to prevent fracture in older men in United States: cross sectional and longitudinal analysis of prospective cohort study. BMJ 349(jul03 5):g4120. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g4120 CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Ensrud KE, Taylor BC, Peters KW, Gourlay ML, Donaldson MG, Leslie WD, Blackwell TL, Fink HA, Orwoll ES, Schousboe J, for the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study Group (2014) Implications of expanding indications for drug treatment to prevent fracture in older men in United States: cross sectional and longitudinal analysis of prospective cohort study. BMJ 349(jul03 5):g4120. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1136/​bmj.​g4120 CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
13.
go back to reference Leslie WD, MacWilliam L, Lix L et al (2005) A population-based study of osteoporosis testing and treatment following introduction of a new bone densitometry service. Osteoporos Int 16:773–782CrossRefPubMed Leslie WD, MacWilliam L, Lix L et al (2005) A population-based study of osteoporosis testing and treatment following introduction of a new bone densitometry service. Osteoporos Int 16:773–782CrossRefPubMed
20.
go back to reference Fraser LA, Langsetmo L, Berger C et al (2011) Fracture prediction and calibration of a Canadian FRAX(R) tool: a population-based report from CaMos. Osteoporos Int 22:829–837CrossRefPubMed Fraser LA, Langsetmo L, Berger C et al (2011) Fracture prediction and calibration of a Canadian FRAX(R) tool: a population-based report from CaMos. Osteoporos Int 22:829–837CrossRefPubMed
22.
go back to reference WHO Collaborating Centre for Drug Statistics Methodology. (eds) (2005) Guidelines for ATC classification and DDD assignment. Oslo WHO Collaborating Centre for Drug Statistics Methodology. (eds) (2005) Guidelines for ATC classification and DDD assignment. Oslo
25.
go back to reference Roos NP, Shapiro E (1999) Revisiting the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy and Evaluation and its population-based health information system. Med Care 37(6 Suppl):JS10–JS14PubMed Roos NP, Shapiro E (1999) Revisiting the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy and Evaluation and its population-based health information system. Med Care 37(6 Suppl):JS10–JS14PubMed
27.
go back to reference Marshall D, Johnell O, Wedel H (1996) Meta-analysis of how well measures of bone mineral density predict occurrence of osteoporotic fractures. BMJ 312:1254–1259CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Marshall D, Johnell O, Wedel H (1996) Meta-analysis of how well measures of bone mineral density predict occurrence of osteoporotic fractures. BMJ 312:1254–1259CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
33.
go back to reference Lix LM, Azimaee M, Osman BA et al (2012) Osteoporosis-related fracture case definitions for population-based administrative data. BMC Public Health 12:301CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Lix LM, Azimaee M, Osman BA et al (2012) Osteoporosis-related fracture case definitions for population-based administrative data. BMC Public Health 12:301CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
34.
go back to reference O'Donnell S (2013) Use of administrative data for national surveillance of osteoporosis and related fractures in Canada: results from a feasibility study. Arch Osteoporos 8(143) O'Donnell S (2013) Use of administrative data for national surveillance of osteoporosis and related fractures in Canada: results from a feasibility study. Arch Osteoporos 8(143)
Metadata
Title
Performance of FRAX in clinical practice according to sex and osteoporosis definitions: the Manitoba BMD registry
Authors
W. D. Leslie
S. R. Majumdar
S. N. Morin
L. M. Lix
J. T. Schousboe
K. E. Ensrud
H. Johansson
E. V. McCloskey
J. A. Kanis
Publication date
01-03-2018
Publisher
Springer London
Published in
Osteoporosis International / Issue 3/2018
Print ISSN: 0937-941X
Electronic ISSN: 1433-2965
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-018-4415-y

Other articles of this Issue 3/2018

Osteoporosis International 3/2018 Go to the issue