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Published in: Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 11/2019

01-11-2019 | Pancreatectomy | Original Article

Evaluating the ACS NSQIP Risk Calculator in Primary Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumor: Results from the US Neuroendocrine Tumor Study Group

Authors: Apeksha Dave, Eliza W. Beal, Alexandra G. Lopez-Aguiar, George Poultsides, Eleftherios Makris, Flavio G. Rocha, Zaheer Kanji, Sean Ronnekleiv-Kelly, Victoria R. Rendell, Ryan C. Fields, Bradley A. Krasnick, Kamran Idrees, Paula Marincola Smith, Hari Nathan, Megan Beems, Shishir K. Maithel, Timothy M. Pawlik, Carl R. Schmidt, Mary E. Dillhoff

Published in: Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery | Issue 11/2019

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Abstract

Background

In a changing health care environment where patient outcomes will be more closely scrutinized, the ability to predict surgical complications is becoming increasingly important. The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) online risk calculator is a popular tool to predict surgical risk. This paper aims to assess the applicability of the ACS NSQIP calculator to patients undergoing surgery for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs).

Methods

Using the US Neuroendocrine Tumor Study Group (USNET-SG), 890 patients who underwent pancreatic procedures between 1/1/2000–12/31/2016 were evaluated. Predicted and actual outcomes were compared using C-statistics and Brier scores.

Results

The most commonly performed procedure was distal pancreatectomy, followed by standard and pylorus-preserving pancreaticoduodenectomy. For the entire group of patients studied, C-statistics were highest for discharge destination (0.79) and cardiac complications (0.71), and less than 0.7 for all other complications. The Brier scores for surgical site infection (0.1441) and discharge to nursing/rehabilitation facility (0.0279) were below the Brier score cut-off, while the rest were equal to or above and therefore not useful for interpretation.

Conclusion

This work indicates that the ACS NSQIP risk calculator is a valuable tool that should be used with caution and in coordination with clinical assessment for PNET clinical decision-making.
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Metadata
Title
Evaluating the ACS NSQIP Risk Calculator in Primary Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumor: Results from the US Neuroendocrine Tumor Study Group
Authors
Apeksha Dave
Eliza W. Beal
Alexandra G. Lopez-Aguiar
George Poultsides
Eleftherios Makris
Flavio G. Rocha
Zaheer Kanji
Sean Ronnekleiv-Kelly
Victoria R. Rendell
Ryan C. Fields
Bradley A. Krasnick
Kamran Idrees
Paula Marincola Smith
Hari Nathan
Megan Beems
Shishir K. Maithel
Timothy M. Pawlik
Carl R. Schmidt
Mary E. Dillhoff
Publication date
01-11-2019
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery / Issue 11/2019
Print ISSN: 1091-255X
Electronic ISSN: 1873-4626
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11605-019-04120-4

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