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Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology 1/2022

01-01-2022 | NSCLC | Thoracic Oncology

A Multiple-Center Nomogram to Predict Pneumonectomy Complication Risk for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients

Authors: Chong Wang, MD, Shaodong Wang, MD, Zhixin Li, MD, Wenxin He, MD

Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology | Issue 1/2022

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Abstract

Objective

This study aimed to construct a nomogram to quantitatively predict pneumonectomy complication risks for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.

Methods

Data from 1052 NSCLC patients who underwent pneumonectomy were retrospectively retrieved from the databases of three thoracic centers. Multivariable logistic regression was used to investigate postoperative morbidity predictors. Clinical parameters and operative features were analyzed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, and a nomogram to predict the risk of postoperative complications was constructed using bootstrap resampling. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the discrimination power for the nomogram.

Results

A total of 212 patients (20.2%) had major complications. After regression analysis, forced expiratory volume in 1 s, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, male sex, and right-sided pneumonectomy were identified and entered into the nomogram. The nomogram showed a robust discrimination, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.753 (95% confidence interval 0.604–0.818). The calibration curves for the probability of postoperative complications showed optimal agreement between the nomogram and the actual probability.

Conclusions

Based on preoperative data, we developed a nomogram for predicting complication risks after pneumonectomy. This model may be helpful for thoracic surgeons in selecting appropriate patients for adopting prophylactic measures after surgery.
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Literature
Metadata
Title
A Multiple-Center Nomogram to Predict Pneumonectomy Complication Risk for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients
Authors
Chong Wang, MD
Shaodong Wang, MD
Zhixin Li, MD
Wenxin He, MD
Publication date
01-01-2022
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
Annals of Surgical Oncology / Issue 1/2022
Print ISSN: 1068-9265
Electronic ISSN: 1534-4681
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-021-10504-1

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