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Published in: BMC Cancer 1/2023

Open Access 01-12-2023 | Neutropenia | Research

Prognostic impact of severe neutropenia in colorectal cancer patients treated with TAS-102 and bevacizumab, addressing immortal-time bias

Authors: Daichi Watanabe, Hironori Fujii, Koichi Ohata, Hirotoshi Iihara, Akitaka Makiyama, Ryo Kobayashi, Chiemi Hirose, Shiori Hishida, Serika Matsuoka, Jesse Yu Tajima, Shigeru Kiyama, Takao Takahashi, Akio Suzuki, Nobuhisa Matsuhashi

Published in: BMC Cancer | Issue 1/2023

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Abstract

Background

Several studies have reported an association between severe neutropenia and long-term survival in patients treated with trifluridine-tipiracil (TAS-102). Because some of these studies failed to address immortality time bias, however, their findings should be interpreted with caution. Additionally, the association between severe neutropenia and survival in patients receiving TAS-102 in combination with bevacizumab (Bmab) remains unclear.

Patients and methods

We conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study in patients with colorectal cancer who received Bmab + TAS-102. We compared overall survival (OS) between patients who developed grade ≥ 3 neutropenia during the treatment period and those who did not. To account for immortal time bias, we used two approaches, time-varying Cox regression and landmark analysis.

Results

Median OS was 15.3 months [95% CI: 14.1–NA] in patients with grade ≥ 3 neutropenia and 10.0 months [95% CI: 8.1–NA] in those without. In time-varying Cox regression, onset grade ≥ 3 neutropenia was significantly related to longer survival after adjustment for age and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score. Additionally, 30-, 60-, 90-, and 120-day landmark analysis showed that grade ≥ 3 neutropenia was associated with longer survival after adjustment for age and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score, with respective HRs of 0.30 [0.10–0.90], 0.65 [0.30–1.42], 0.39 [0.17–0.90], and 0.41 [0.18–0.95].

Conclusion

We identified an association between long-term survival and the development of severe neutropenia during the early cycle of Bmab + TAS-102 using an approach that addressed immortality time bias.
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Metadata
Title
Prognostic impact of severe neutropenia in colorectal cancer patients treated with TAS-102 and bevacizumab, addressing immortal-time bias
Authors
Daichi Watanabe
Hironori Fujii
Koichi Ohata
Hirotoshi Iihara
Akitaka Makiyama
Ryo Kobayashi
Chiemi Hirose
Shiori Hishida
Serika Matsuoka
Jesse Yu Tajima
Shigeru Kiyama
Takao Takahashi
Akio Suzuki
Nobuhisa Matsuhashi
Publication date
01-12-2023
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Cancer / Issue 1/2023
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2407
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-023-11618-3

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