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Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology 5/2020

01-05-2020 | Magnetic Resonance Imaging | Colorectal Cancer

Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Tumor Recurrence in Patients with Early T-Stage Cancer of the Lower Rectum

Authors: Ian P. Hayes, MBBS, MS, MEpi, FRCS (Gen-Surg), FRACS, Elasma Milanzi, PhD, MBiostats, Peter Gibbs, MBBS, MD, FRACP, Jeanette C. Reece, PhD, MPH

Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology | Issue 5/2020

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Abstract

Background

The role neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plays in oncological outcomes in early T-stage rectal cancer is uncertain. The present work aims to clarify prognostic outcomes by estimating the effect of nCRT on tumor recurrence prior to major surgery compared with major surgery alone.

Patients and Methods

Prospectively collected data were retrospectively analyzed for patients diagnosed with localized rectal adenocarcinoma ≤ 8 cm from the anal verge, with final histopathology ≤ T2 (≤ ypT2/≤ pT2), regardless of magnetic resonance imaging staging, between 1990 and 2017. As the effect of nCRT on recurrence varied over time, thereby violating the Cox proportional hazards assumption, the effect of nCRT on recurrence hazards was estimated using a time-varying multivariate Cox model over two separate time intervals (≤ 1 year and > 1 year postsurgery) by nCRT.

Results

Long-course nCRT was associated with a 5.6-fold increase in the hazard of recurrence ≤ 1 year postsurgery [hazard ratio (HR) 5.6; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2–24.9; P = 0.02], but there was no increase in recurrence hazards > 1 year (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.4–2.0; P = 0.70). In subgroup analysis restricted to ≤ mrT2/≤ ypT2 and ≤ pT2 tumors (omitting > mrT2 tumors), the effect of nCRT on recurrence no longer varied over time, indicating that tumor heterogeneity was responsible for the observed increased recurrence hazards ≤ 1 year postsurgery; That is, > mrT2 tumors that were downstaged to ≤ ypT2 after nCRT were responsible for the time-varying effects of nCRT and increased recurrence hazards ≤ 1 year postsurgery. Subsequently, no difference was found in prognostic outcomes either with or without nCRT before surgery in the homogeneous population of ≤ mrT2/≤ ypT2 and ≤ pT2 tumors.

Conclusions

No evidence was found to indicate that nCRT prior to surgery reduces tumor recurrence in early T-stage lower rectal cancer compared with surgery alone.
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Metadata
Title
Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Tumor Recurrence in Patients with Early T-Stage Cancer of the Lower Rectum
Authors
Ian P. Hayes, MBBS, MS, MEpi, FRCS (Gen-Surg), FRACS
Elasma Milanzi, PhD, MBiostats
Peter Gibbs, MBBS, MD, FRACP
Jeanette C. Reece, PhD, MPH
Publication date
01-05-2020
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
Annals of Surgical Oncology / Issue 5/2020
Print ISSN: 1068-9265
Electronic ISSN: 1534-4681
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-019-08105-0

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