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Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology 5/2016

01-05-2016 | Gastrointestinal Oncology

A Novel Tool for Predicting Major Complications After Cytoreductive Surgery with Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy

Authors: Joel M. Baumgartner, MD, MAS, Thomas G. Kwong, MS, Grace L. Ma, BS, Karen Messer, PhD, Kaitlyn J. Kelly, MD, Andrew M. Lowy, MD

Published in: Annals of Surgical Oncology | Issue 5/2016

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Abstract

Background

Cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC) has an emerging role in the treatment of peritoneal malignancies. The CRS-HIPEC approach has known treatment-related toxicities. This study sought to determine the predictors of major postoperative complications after CRS-HIPEC in a high-volume center.

Methods

From a single-institution database, this study investigated complications experienced by patients undergoing CRS-HIPEC. Multiple preoperative and operative factors were analyzed for their ability to predict 60-day Clavien grade 3 and greater (major) complications by logistic regression. A predictive model was created from preoperative factors using multivariate logistic regression. The model was tested by Akaike’s information criterion, the Hosmer and Lemeshow Goodness-of-Fit Test, the receiver operating characteristic, and the Youden Index.

Results

The study evaluated 247 patients undergoing CRS-HIPEC. The primary tumor site was the appendix in 166 cases (67.2 %), the colorectal area in 51 cases (20.6 %), the peritoneum (mesothelioma) in 22 cases (8.9 %), the ovary in 5 cases (2 %), and the small bowel in 3 cases (1.2 %). The median peritoneal cancer index was 14 (range 0–29), and 235 patients (95.1 %) had a complete (CC-0/1) cytoreduction. Major complications occurred for 41 patients (16.6 %), classified as grade 3 in 33 cases (13.4 %), grade 4 in 5 cases (2 %), and grade 5 (deaths) in 3 cases (1.2 %). The factors predictive of major complications in the multivariate analysis were a Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score higher than 0 [odds ratio (OR), 2.505; p = 0.035], presence of preoperative symptoms (OR 1.951; p = 0.064), and prior resection status [no resection or prior CRS-HIPEC (OR 2.087) vs. prior resection without CRS-HIPEC (OR 3.209); p = 0.046]. These variables were used to create a tool predictive of postoperative complications.

Conclusion

Presence of symptoms, CCI, and prior resection status predict major complications and define a low-risk population after CRS-HIPEC.
Appendix
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Metadata
Title
A Novel Tool for Predicting Major Complications After Cytoreductive Surgery with Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy
Authors
Joel M. Baumgartner, MD, MAS
Thomas G. Kwong, MS
Grace L. Ma, BS
Karen Messer, PhD
Kaitlyn J. Kelly, MD
Andrew M. Lowy, MD
Publication date
01-05-2016
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
Annals of Surgical Oncology / Issue 5/2016
Print ISSN: 1068-9265
Electronic ISSN: 1534-4681
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-015-5012-3

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