Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Critical Care 1/2021

01-12-2021 | COVID-19 | Research

Differences in mortality in critically ill elderly patients during the second COVID-19 surge in Europe

Authors: Christian Jung, Jesper Fjølner, Raphael Romano Bruno, Bernhard Wernly, Antonio Artigas, Bernardo Bollen Pinto, Joerg C. Schefold, Georg Wolff, Malte Kelm, Michael Beil, Sigal Sviri, Peter Vernon van Heerden, Wojciech Szczeklik, Miroslaw Czuczwar, Michael Joannidis, Sandra Oeyen, Tilemachos Zafeiridis, Finn H. Andersen, Rui Moreno, Susannah Leaver, Ariane Boumendil, Dylan W. De Lange, Bertrand Guidet, Hans Flaatten, , COVIP Study Group

Published in: Critical Care | Issue 1/2021

Login to get access

Abstract

Background

The primary aim of this study was to assess the outcome of elderly intensive care unit (ICU) patients treated during the spring and autumn COVID-19 surges in Europe.

Methods

This was a prospective European observational study (the COVIP study) in ICU patients aged 70 years and older admitted with COVID-19 disease from March to December 2020 to 159 ICUs in 14 European countries. An electronic database was used to register a number of parameters including: SOFA score, Clinical Frailty Scale, co-morbidities, usual ICU procedures and survival at 90 days. The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04321265).

Results

In total, 2625 patients were included, 1327 from the first and 1298 from the second surge. Median age was 74 and 75 years in surge 1 and 2, respectively. SOFA score was higher in the first surge (median 6 versus 5, p < 0.0001). The PaO2/FiO2 ratio at admission was higher during surge 1, and more patients received invasive mechanical ventilation (78% versus 68%, p < 0.0001). During the first 15 days of treatment, survival was similar during the first and the second surge. Survival was lower in the second surge after day 15 and differed after 30 days (57% vs 50%) as well as after 90 days (51% vs 40%).

Conclusion

An unexpected, but significant, decrease in 30-day and 90-day survival was observed during the second surge in our cohort of elderly ICU patients. The reason for this is unclear. Our main concern is whether the widespread changes in practice and treatment of COVID-19 between the two surges have contributed to this increased mortality in elderly patients. Further studies are urgently warranted to provide more evidence for current practice in elderly patients.

Trial registration number

NCT04321265, registered March 19th, 2020.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
1.
go back to reference Phua J, Weng L, Ling L, Egi M, Lim C-M, Divatia JV, Shrestha BR, Arabi YM, Ng J, Gomersall CD, et al. Intensive care management of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): challenges and recommendations. Lancet Respir Med. 2020;8(5):506–17.CrossRef Phua J, Weng L, Ling L, Egi M, Lim C-M, Divatia JV, Shrestha BR, Arabi YM, Ng J, Gomersall CD, et al. Intensive care management of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): challenges and recommendations. Lancet Respir Med. 2020;8(5):506–17.CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Armstrong RA, Kane AD, Cook TM. Outcomes from intensive care in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. Anaesthesia. 2020;75(10):1340–9.CrossRef Armstrong RA, Kane AD, Cook TM. Outcomes from intensive care in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. Anaesthesia. 2020;75(10):1340–9.CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Bellelli G, Rebora P, Valsecchi MG, Bonfanti P, Citerio G. members C-MT: frailty index predicts poor outcome in COVID-19 patients. Intensive Care Med. 2020;46(8):1634–6.CrossRef Bellelli G, Rebora P, Valsecchi MG, Bonfanti P, Citerio G. members C-MT: frailty index predicts poor outcome in COVID-19 patients. Intensive Care Med. 2020;46(8):1634–6.CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Aw D, Woodrow L, Ogliari G, Harwood R. Association of frailty with mortality in older inpatients with Covid-19: a cohort study. Age Ageing. 2020;49:915–22.CrossRef Aw D, Woodrow L, Ogliari G, Harwood R. Association of frailty with mortality in older inpatients with Covid-19: a cohort study. Age Ageing. 2020;49:915–22.CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Labenz C, Schattenberg JM, Worns MA, Sprinzl MF. Response: frailty assessment in the COVID-19 pandemic. J Investig Med. 2020;68:1300–1.CrossRef Labenz C, Schattenberg JM, Worns MA, Sprinzl MF. Response: frailty assessment in the COVID-19 pandemic. J Investig Med. 2020;68:1300–1.CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Hewitt J, Carter B, Vilches-Moraga A, Quinn TJ, Braude P, Verduri A, Pearce L, Stechman M, Short R, Price A, et al. The effect of frailty on survival in patients with COVID-19 (COPE): a multicentre, European, observational cohort study. Lancet Public Health. 2020;5(8):e444–51.CrossRef Hewitt J, Carter B, Vilches-Moraga A, Quinn TJ, Braude P, Verduri A, Pearce L, Stechman M, Short R, Price A, et al. The effect of frailty on survival in patients with COVID-19 (COPE): a multicentre, European, observational cohort study. Lancet Public Health. 2020;5(8):e444–51.CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Group RC, Horby P, Lim WS, Emberson JR, Mafham M, Bell JL, Linsell L, Staplin N, Brightling C, Ustianowski A, et al. Dexamethasone in hospitalized patients with Covid-19. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(8):693–704.CrossRef Group RC, Horby P, Lim WS, Emberson JR, Mafham M, Bell JL, Linsell L, Staplin N, Brightling C, Ustianowski A, et al. Dexamethasone in hospitalized patients with Covid-19. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(8):693–704.CrossRef
8.
go back to reference Jung C, Wernly B, Fjolner J, Bruno RR, Dudzinski D, Artigas A, Pinto BB, Schefold JC, Wolff G, Kelm M, et al. Steroid use in elderly critically ill COVID-19 patients. Eur Respir J. 2021;56:2002808. Jung C, Wernly B, Fjolner J, Bruno RR, Dudzinski D, Artigas A, Pinto BB, Schefold JC, Wolff G, Kelm M, et al. Steroid use in elderly critically ill COVID-19 patients. Eur Respir J. 2021;56:2002808.
9.
go back to reference Cacciapaglia G, Cot C, Sannino F. Second wave COVID-19 pandemics in Europe: a temporal playbook. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):15514.CrossRef Cacciapaglia G, Cot C, Sannino F. Second wave COVID-19 pandemics in Europe: a temporal playbook. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):15514.CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Colbourn T. COVID-19: extending or relaxing distancing control measures. Lancet Public Health. 2020;5(5):e236–7.CrossRef Colbourn T. COVID-19: extending or relaxing distancing control measures. Lancet Public Health. 2020;5(5):e236–7.CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Flaatten H, De Lange DW, Morandi A, Andersen FH, Artigas A, Bertolini G, Boumendil A, Cecconi M, Christensen S, Faraldi L, et al. The impact of frailty on ICU and 30-day mortality and the level of care in very elderly patients (>/= 80 years). Intensive Care Med. 2017;43(12):1820–8.CrossRef Flaatten H, De Lange DW, Morandi A, Andersen FH, Artigas A, Bertolini G, Boumendil A, Cecconi M, Christensen S, Faraldi L, et al. The impact of frailty on ICU and 30-day mortality and the level of care in very elderly patients (>/= 80 years). Intensive Care Med. 2017;43(12):1820–8.CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Guidet B, de Lange DW, Boumendil A, Leaver S, Watson X, Boulanger C, Szczeklik W, Artigas A, Morandi A, Andersen F, et al. The contribution of frailty, cognition, activity of daily life and comorbidities on outcome in acutely admitted patients over 80 years in European ICUs: the VIP2 study. Intensive Care Med. 2020;46(1):57–69.CrossRef Guidet B, de Lange DW, Boumendil A, Leaver S, Watson X, Boulanger C, Szczeklik W, Artigas A, Morandi A, Andersen F, et al. The contribution of frailty, cognition, activity of daily life and comorbidities on outcome in acutely admitted patients over 80 years in European ICUs: the VIP2 study. Intensive Care Med. 2020;46(1):57–69.CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Guidet B, Hodgson E, Feldman C, Paruk F, Lipman J, Koh Y, Vincent JL, Azoulay E, Sprung CL. The Durban World Congress Ethics Round Table Conference Report: II. Withholding or withdrawing of treatment in elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit. J Crit Care. 2014;29(6):896–901.CrossRef Guidet B, Hodgson E, Feldman C, Paruk F, Lipman J, Koh Y, Vincent JL, Azoulay E, Sprung CL. The Durban World Congress Ethics Round Table Conference Report: II. Withholding or withdrawing of treatment in elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit. J Crit Care. 2014;29(6):896–901.CrossRef
14.
go back to reference Grambsch PM, Therneau TM. Proportional hazards tests and diagnostics based on weighted residuals. Biometrika. 1994;81(3):515–26.CrossRef Grambsch PM, Therneau TM. Proportional hazards tests and diagnostics based on weighted residuals. Biometrika. 1994;81(3):515–26.CrossRef
15.
go back to reference White IR, Royston P. Imputing missing covariate values for the Cox model. Stat Med. 2009;28(15):1982–98.CrossRef White IR, Royston P. Imputing missing covariate values for the Cox model. Stat Med. 2009;28(15):1982–98.CrossRef
16.
go back to reference Grasselli G, Greco M, Zanella A, Albano G, Antonelli M, Bellani G, Bonanomi E, Cabrini L, Carlesso E, Castelli G et al. Risk factors associated with mortality among patients with COVID-19 in Intensive Care Units in Lombardy, Italy. JAMA Intern Med. 2020. Grasselli G, Greco M, Zanella A, Albano G, Antonelli M, Bellani G, Bonanomi E, Cabrini L, Carlesso E, Castelli G et al. Risk factors associated with mortality among patients with COVID-19 in Intensive Care Units in Lombardy, Italy. JAMA Intern Med. 2020.
17.
go back to reference Docherty AB, Harrison EM, Green CA, Hardwick HE, Pius R, Norman L, Holden KA, Read JM, Dondelinger F, Carson G, et al. Features of 20 133 UK patients in hospital with covid-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol: prospective observational cohort study. BMJ. 1985;2020:m1985. Docherty AB, Harrison EM, Green CA, Hardwick HE, Pius R, Norman L, Holden KA, Read JM, Dondelinger F, Carson G, et al. Features of 20 133 UK patients in hospital with covid-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol: prospective observational cohort study. BMJ. 1985;2020:m1985.
18.
go back to reference Asch DA, Sheils NE, Islam MN, Chen Y, Werner RM, Buresh J, Doshi JA. Variation in US hospital mortality rates for patients admitted with COVID-19 during the first 6 months of the pandemic. JAMA Intern Med. 2020. Asch DA, Sheils NE, Islam MN, Chen Y, Werner RM, Buresh J, Doshi JA. Variation in US hospital mortality rates for patients admitted with COVID-19 during the first 6 months of the pandemic. JAMA Intern Med. 2020.
19.
go back to reference Dennis JM, McGovern AP, Vollmer SJ, Mateen BA. Improving survival of critical care patients with coronavirus disease 2019 in England: a national cohort study, March to June 2020. Crit Care Med. 2021;49(2):209–14.CrossRef Dennis JM, McGovern AP, Vollmer SJ, Mateen BA. Improving survival of critical care patients with coronavirus disease 2019 in England: a national cohort study, March to June 2020. Crit Care Med. 2021;49(2):209–14.CrossRef
20.
go back to reference Jorge A, D’Silva KM, Cohen A, Wallace ZS, McCormick N, Zhang Y, Choi HK. Temporal trends in severe COVID-19 outcomes in patients with rheumatic disease: a cohort study. Lancet Rheumatol. 2021;3(2):e131–7.CrossRef Jorge A, D’Silva KM, Cohen A, Wallace ZS, McCormick N, Zhang Y, Choi HK. Temporal trends in severe COVID-19 outcomes in patients with rheumatic disease: a cohort study. Lancet Rheumatol. 2021;3(2):e131–7.CrossRef
21.
go back to reference ICNARC report on COVID-19 in critical care: England, Wales and Northern Ireland ICNARC report on COVID-19 in critical care: England, Wales and Northern Ireland
22.
go back to reference Papoutsi E, Giannakoulis VG, Xourgia E, Routsi C, Kotanidou A, Siempos II. Effect of timing of intubation on clinical outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of non-randomized cohort studies. Crit Care. 2021;25(1):121.CrossRef Papoutsi E, Giannakoulis VG, Xourgia E, Routsi C, Kotanidou A, Siempos II. Effect of timing of intubation on clinical outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of non-randomized cohort studies. Crit Care. 2021;25(1):121.CrossRef
23.
go back to reference Forrest IS, Jaladanki SK, Paranjpe I, Glicksberg BS, Nadkarni GN, Do R. Non-invasive ventilation versus mechanical ventilation in hypoxemic patients with COVID-19. Infection. 2021. Forrest IS, Jaladanki SK, Paranjpe I, Glicksberg BS, Nadkarni GN, Do R. Non-invasive ventilation versus mechanical ventilation in hypoxemic patients with COVID-19. Infection. 2021.
24.
go back to reference Mehta S, Machado F, Kwizera A, Papazian L, Moss M, Azoulay E, Herridge M. COVID-19: a heavy toll on health-care workers. The Lancet Respir Med. 2021. Mehta S, Machado F, Kwizera A, Papazian L, Moss M, Azoulay E, Herridge M. COVID-19: a heavy toll on health-care workers. The Lancet Respir Med. 2021.
25.
go back to reference Ni YN, Chen G, Sun J, Liang BM, Liang ZA. The effect of corticosteroids on mortality of patients with influenza pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. 2019;23(1):99.CrossRef Ni YN, Chen G, Sun J, Liang BM, Liang ZA. The effect of corticosteroids on mortality of patients with influenza pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. 2019;23(1):99.CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Siemieniuk R, Rochwerg B, Agoritsas T, Lamontagne F, Leo YS, Macdonald H, Agarwal A, Zeng L, Lytvyn L, Appiah JA, et al. A living WHO guideline on drugs for covid-19. BMJ. 2020;370:m3379.PubMed Siemieniuk R, Rochwerg B, Agoritsas T, Lamontagne F, Leo YS, Macdonald H, Agarwal A, Zeng L, Lytvyn L, Appiah JA, et al. A living WHO guideline on drugs for covid-19. BMJ. 2020;370:m3379.PubMed
27.
go back to reference Matthay MA, Thompson BT. Dexamethasone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19: addressing uncertainties. Lancet Respir Med. 2020;8(12):1170–2.CrossRef Matthay MA, Thompson BT. Dexamethasone in hospitalised patients with COVID-19: addressing uncertainties. Lancet Respir Med. 2020;8(12):1170–2.CrossRef
28.
go back to reference Bal A, Destras G, Gaymard A, Stefic K, Marlet J, Eymieux S, Regue H, Semanas Q, d’Aubarede C, Billaud G, et al. Two-step strategy for the identification of SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern 202012/01 and other variants with spike deletion H69–V70, France, August to December 2020. Eurosurveillance. 2021;26(3):2100008.CrossRef Bal A, Destras G, Gaymard A, Stefic K, Marlet J, Eymieux S, Regue H, Semanas Q, d’Aubarede C, Billaud G, et al. Two-step strategy for the identification of SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern 202012/01 and other variants with spike deletion H69–V70, France, August to December 2020. Eurosurveillance. 2021;26(3):2100008.CrossRef
29.
go back to reference Franco C, Facciolongo N, Tonelli R, Dongilli R, Vianello A, Pisani L, Scala R, Malerba M, Carlucci A, Negri EA, et al. Feasibility and clinical impact of out-of-ICU noninvasive respiratory support in patients with COVID-19-related pneumonia. Eur Respir J. 2020;56(5):2002130.CrossRef Franco C, Facciolongo N, Tonelli R, Dongilli R, Vianello A, Pisani L, Scala R, Malerba M, Carlucci A, Negri EA, et al. Feasibility and clinical impact of out-of-ICU noninvasive respiratory support in patients with COVID-19-related pneumonia. Eur Respir J. 2020;56(5):2002130.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Differences in mortality in critically ill elderly patients during the second COVID-19 surge in Europe
Authors
Christian Jung
Jesper Fjølner
Raphael Romano Bruno
Bernhard Wernly
Antonio Artigas
Bernardo Bollen Pinto
Joerg C. Schefold
Georg Wolff
Malte Kelm
Michael Beil
Sigal Sviri
Peter Vernon van Heerden
Wojciech Szczeklik
Miroslaw Czuczwar
Michael Joannidis
Sandra Oeyen
Tilemachos Zafeiridis
Finn H. Andersen
Rui Moreno
Susannah Leaver
Ariane Boumendil
Dylan W. De Lange
Bertrand Guidet
Hans Flaatten
, COVIP Study Group
Publication date
01-12-2021
Publisher
BioMed Central
Keyword
COVID-19
Published in
Critical Care / Issue 1/2021
Electronic ISSN: 1364-8535
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13054-021-03739-7

Other articles of this Issue 1/2021

Critical Care 1/2021 Go to the issue