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Open Access 01-12-2020 | Coronavirus | MedViews

Epidemiological models are important tools for guiding COVID-19 interventions

Author: Robin N. Thompson

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2020

Excerpt

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been responsible for over three million reported cases worldwide, including more than 200,000 deaths (as of 1 May 2020). In the UK, mathematical models have been employed to inform policy responses, particularly by using model simulations to predict the effects of different non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) [1, 2]. …

Davies NG, Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Gimma A, CMMID COVID-19 working group, Edmunds WJ. The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study; 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049908.CrossRef

Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team. Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand; 2020. https://doi.org/10.25561/77482.CrossRef

Keeling MJ, Rohani P. Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals. New Jersey: Princeton University Press; 2008.

Prem K, Cook AR, Jit M. Projecting social contact matrices in 152 countries using contact surveys and demographic data. PLoS Comput Biol. 2017;13:e1005697. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005697.CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral

Ferretti L, Wymant C, Kendall M, Zhao L, Nurtay A, Abeler-Dorner L, et al. Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing. Science. 2020;368:eabb6936. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb6936.CrossRef

Title: Epidemiological models are important tools for guiding COVID-19 interventions
Author: Robin N. Thompson
Publication date: 01-12-2020
Publisher: BioMed Central
Keywords: Coronavirus
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19
Published in: BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2020
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01628-4

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Epidemiological models are important tools for guiding COVID-19 interventions

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At a glance: The STEP trials

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