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Published in: BMC Medicine 1/2017

Open Access 01-12-2017 | Research article

Cardiovascular risk factors are major determinants of thrombotic risk in patients with the lupus anticoagulant

Authors: Florian Posch, Johanna Gebhart, Jacob H. Rand, Silvia Koder, Peter Quehenberger, Vittorio Pengo, Cihan Ay, Ingrid Pabinger

Published in: BMC Medicine | Issue 1/2017

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Abstract

Background

Patients with the lupus anticoagulant (LA) are at an increased risk of thrombotic events, which in turn increase the risk of death. Understanding the determinants of thrombotic risk in patients with LA may pave the way towards targeted thromboprophylaxis. In the Vienna Lupus Anticoagulant and Thrombosis Study (LATS), we systematically evaluate risk factors for thrombotic events in patients with LA.

Methods

We followed 150 patients (mean age: 41.3 years, female gender: n = 122 (81.3%), history of thrombosis or pregnancy complications: n = 111 (74.0%)), who tested repeatedly positive for LA until development of thrombosis, death, or censoring. The primary endpoint was a composite of arterial or venous thrombotic events (TEs).

Results

During a median follow-up of 9.5 years (range: 12 days–13.6 years) and 1076 person-years, 32 TEs occurred (arterial: n = 16, venous: n = 16; cumulative 10-year TE incidence: 24.3%). A prolonged lupus-sensitive activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT-LA) (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) = 2.31, 95% CI: 1.07–-5.02), diabetes (adjusted SHR = 4.39, 95% CI: 1.42–13.57), and active smoking (adjusted SHR = 2.31, 95% CI: 1.14–5.02) emerged as independent risk factors of both arterial and venous thrombotic risk. A risk model that includes a prolonged lupus-sensitive aPTT, smoking, and diabetes enabled stratification of LA patients into subgroups with a low, intermediate, and high risk of thrombosis (5-year TE risk of 9.7% (n = 77), 30.9% (n = 51), and 56.8% (n = 22).

Conclusions

Long-term thrombotic risk in patients with LA is clustered within subjects harboring typical cardiovascular risk factors in addition to a prolonged lupus-sensitive aPTT, whereas patients with none of these risk factors represent a large subgroup with a low risk of thrombosis.
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Metadata
Title
Cardiovascular risk factors are major determinants of thrombotic risk in patients with the lupus anticoagulant
Authors
Florian Posch
Johanna Gebhart
Jacob H. Rand
Silvia Koder
Peter Quehenberger
Vittorio Pengo
Cihan Ay
Ingrid Pabinger
Publication date
01-12-2017
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
BMC Medicine / Issue 1/2017
Electronic ISSN: 1741-7015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-017-0807-7

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