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Published in: Pediatric Rheumatology 1/2019

Open Access 01-12-2019 | Kawasaki Disease | Research article

Predictive value of serum procalcitonin for both initial and repeated immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: a prospective cohort study

Authors: Shuran Shao, Chunyan Luo, Kaiyu Zhou, Yimin Hua, Mei Wu, Lei Liu, Xiaoliang Liu, Chuan Wang

Published in: Pediatric Rheumatology | Issue 1/2019

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Abstract

Background

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance prediction is one pivotal topic of interests in Kawasaki disease (KD) since those patients with KD resistant to IVIG might improve of an early-intensified therapy. Data regarding predictive value of procalcitonin (PCT) for IVIG resistance, particularly for repeated IVIG resistance in KD was limited. This study aimed to testify the predictive validity of PCT for both initial and repeated IVIG resistance in KD.

Methods

A total of 530 KD patients were prospectively recruited between January 2015 and March 2019. The clinical and laboratory data were compared between IVIG-responsive and IVIG-resistant groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied to determine the association between PCT and IVIG resistance. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analysis was further performed to assess the validity of PCT in predicting both initial and repeated IVIG resistance.

Results

The serum PCT level was significantly higher in initial IVIG-resistance group compared with IVIG-response group (p = 0.009), as well as between repeated IVIG responders and nonresponders (p = 0.017). The best PCT cutoff value for initial and repeated IVIG resistance prediction was 1.48 ng/ml and 2.88 ng/ml, respectively. The corresponding sensitivity was 53.9 and 51.4%, while the specificity were 71.8 and 73.2%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis failed to identify serum PCT level as an independent predictive factor for both initial and repeated IVIG resistance in KD.

Conclusions

Serum PCT levels were significantly higher in IVIG nonresponders, but PCT may not be suitable as a single marker to accurately predict both initial and repeated IVIG resistance in KD.
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Metadata
Title
Predictive value of serum procalcitonin for both initial and repeated immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: a prospective cohort study
Authors
Shuran Shao
Chunyan Luo
Kaiyu Zhou
Yimin Hua
Mei Wu
Lei Liu
Xiaoliang Liu
Chuan Wang
Publication date
01-12-2019
Publisher
BioMed Central
Published in
Pediatric Rheumatology / Issue 1/2019
Electronic ISSN: 1546-0096
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12969-019-0379-5

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