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Published in: BMC Health Services Research 1/2023

Open Access 01-12-2023 | Care | Research

Patient-level predictors of temporal regularity of primary care visits

Authors: Adam J. Rose, Wiessam Abu Ahmad, Faige Spolter, Maram Khazen, Avivit Golan-Cohen, Shlomo Vinker, Ilan Green, Ariel Israel, Eugene Merzon

Published in: BMC Health Services Research | Issue 1/2023

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Abstract

Background

Patients with chronic diseases should meet with their primary care doctor regularly to facilitate proactive care. Little is known about what factors are associated with more regular follow-up.

Methods

We studied 70,095 patients age 40 + with one of three chronic conditions (diabetes mellitus, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), cared for by Leumit Health Services, an Israeli health maintenance organization. Patients were divided into the quintile with the least temporally regular care (i.e., the most irregular intervals between visits) vs. the other four quintiles. We examined patient-level predictors of being in the least-temporally-regular quintile. We calculated the risk-adjusted regularity of care at 239 LHS clinics with at least 30 patients. For each clinic, compared the number of patients with the least temporally regular care with the number predicted to be in this group based on patient characteristics.

Results

Compared to older patients, younger patients (age 40–49), were more likely to be in the least-temporally-regular group. For example, age 70–79 had an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of 0.82 compared to age 40–49 (p < 0.001 for all findings discussed here). Males were more likely to be in the least-regular group (AOR 1.18). Patients with previous myocardial infarction (AOR 1.07), atrial fibrillation (AOR 1.08), and current smokers (AOR 1.12) were more likely to have an irregular pattern of care. In contrast, patients with diabetes (AOR 0.79) or osteoporosis (AOR 0.86) were less likely to have an irregular pattern of care. Clinic-level number of patients with irregular care, compared with the predicted number, ranged from 0.36 (fewer patients with temporally irregular care) to 1.71 (more patients).

Conclusions

Some patient characteristics are associated with more or less temporally regular patterns of primary care visits. Clinics vary widely on the number of patients with a temporally irregular pattern of care, after adjusting for patient characteristics. Health systems can use the patient-level model to identify patients at high risk for temporally irregular patterns of primary care. The next step is to examine which strategies are employed by clinics that achieve the most temporally regular care, since these strategies may be possible to emulate elsewhere.
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Metadata
Title
Patient-level predictors of temporal regularity of primary care visits
Authors
Adam J. Rose
Wiessam Abu Ahmad
Faige Spolter
Maram Khazen
Avivit Golan-Cohen
Shlomo Vinker
Ilan Green
Ariel Israel
Eugene Merzon
Publication date
01-12-2023
Publisher
BioMed Central
Keyword
Care
Published in
BMC Health Services Research / Issue 1/2023
Electronic ISSN: 1472-6963
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-023-09486-5

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