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BMC Public Health

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Open Access 01-12-2013 | Commentary

A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia

Authors: Sam Norton, Fiona E Matthews, Carol Brayne

Published in: BMC Public Health | Issue 1/2013

Abstract

Background

Population ageing over the first half of this century is likely to lead to dramatic increases in the prevalence of dementia. This will affect all regions of the world, but particularly developing regions. Dementia projections have been used extensively to support policy. It is therefore important these projections are as accurate as possible.

Discussion

In this paper we provide a commentary on studies projecting the future prevalence of dementia for the world or for individual continents. We identify some important limitations of the methods used in published projections and provide recommendations to improve the accuracy of future projections, and allow for the checking of the accuracy of the predictions.

Summary

Accurate projections of dementia incidence, at both the global and local level, are essential for healthcare planners.

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The pre-publication history for this paper can be accessed here:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2458/13/1/prepub

Title: A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia
Authors: Sam Norton
Fiona E Matthews
Carol Brayne
Publication date: 01-12-2013
Publisher: BioMed Central
Published in: BMC Public Health / Issue 1/2013
Electronic ISSN: 1471-2458
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-13-1

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A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia

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