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Published in: Breast Cancer 4/2019

01-07-2019 | Breast Cancer | Original Article

Breast cancer incidence, mortality and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) are associated with human development, 1990–2016: evidence from Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Rajesh Sharma

Published in: Breast Cancer | Issue 4/2019

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Abstract

Objective

To examine breast cancer burden in females using incidence, mortality and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) and its association with human development.

Methods

We employ the data of breast cancer in females from the Global Burden of Disease 2016 study for the period 1990 to 2016 for 102 countries. Human development is measured using the human development index (HDI). 5-year survival rate of breast cancer is proxied using the mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR).

Findings

Globally, breast cancer has claimed 535341 female lives and 1.7 million incident cases had surfaced in 2016. High incidence rates were observed in very high HDI countries led by the Netherlands (117.2/100,000), whereas the mortality rate was high in low/medium HDI countries led by Afghanistan (35.4/100,000). Breast cancer incidence has more than doubled in 60/102 countries, whereas deaths have doubled in 43/102 countries. Globally, breast cancer MIR decreased from 0.41 to 0.32 over 1990–2016 and displayed negative gradient with HDI (r = − 0.87), indicating a low 5-year survival in less developed countries.

Conclusion

Heterogeneity in breast cancer burden, as per human development, and increasing breast cancer incidence and low survival rates, indicated by MIR, call for broader human development, improving breast cancer awareness, and cost-effective screening and treatment in less developed countries.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
1000 cases are chosen so as to exclude countries with too few cancer cases as it may lead to too large or too small MIR values which may not truly reflect countries’ development status and may distort main conclusions of the paper.
 
2
Country-specific HDI values and component-wise values in 2015 are presented in Table 3 of the “Appendix”.
 
3
Annual percentage change of incidence, mortality, ASIR, ASMR and MIR over the period 1990 to 2016 for different HDI groupings is shown in Fig. 5 of the “Appendix”.
 
4
National Cancer Screening Program in Georgia also one of the successful screening program which resulted in downstaging of breast cancer and improved survival rate. Source: http://​www.​gnsc.​ge/​?​act=​page&​id=​44&​lang=​en (Accessed 18 Oct 2018).
 
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Metadata
Title
Breast cancer incidence, mortality and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) are associated with human development, 1990–2016: evidence from Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Author
Rajesh Sharma
Publication date
01-07-2019
Publisher
Springer Japan
Published in
Breast Cancer / Issue 4/2019
Print ISSN: 1340-6868
Electronic ISSN: 1880-4233
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12282-018-00941-4

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