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Published in: Journal of Assisted Reproduction and Genetics 5/2018

01-05-2018 | Embryo Biology

A predictive model for high-quality blastocyst based on blastomere number, fragmentation, and symmetry

Authors: Cheng-he Yu, Ruo-peng Zhang, Juan Li, Zhou-Cun A

Published in: Journal of Assisted Reproduction and Genetics | Issue 5/2018

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Abstract

Purpose

The aim of this study was to create a predictive model for high-quality blastocyst progression based on the traditional morphology parameters of embryos.

Methods

A total of 1564 embryos from 234 women underwent conventional in vitro fertilization and were involved in the present study. High-quality blastocysts were defined as having a grade of at least 3BB, and all embryos were divided based on the development of high-quality blastocysts (group HQ) or the failure to develop high-quality blastocysts (group NHQ). A retrospective analysis of day-3 embryo parameters, focused on blastomere number, fragmentation, the presence of a vacuole, symmetry, and the presence of multinucleated blastomeres was conducted.

Results

All parameters were related to high-quality blastocysts (p < 0001) in t tests, chi-square tests, or Fisher tests. The individual scores for all parameters were determined according to their distributions and corresponding rates of forming high-quality blastocysts. Parameters are indicated by s_bn (blastomere number), s_f (fragmentation), s_pv (presence of a vacuole), s_s (symmetry), and s_MNB (multinucleated blastomeres). Subsequently, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to explore their relationship. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, a predictive model was constructed, and a parameter Hc was created based on the s_bn, s_f, and s_s parameters and their corresponding odds ratios. The value of Hc in group HQ was significantly higher than that in group NHQ. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to test the effectiveness of the model. An area under the curve of 0.790, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.766–0.813, was calculated. A dataset was used to validate the predictive utility of the model. Moreover, another dataset was used to ensure that the model can be applied to predict the implantation of day-3 embryos.

Conclusions

A predictive model for high-quality blastocysts was created based on blastomere number, fragmentation, and symmetry. This model provides novel information on the selection of potential embryos.
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Metadata
Title
A predictive model for high-quality blastocyst based on blastomere number, fragmentation, and symmetry
Authors
Cheng-he Yu
Ruo-peng Zhang
Juan Li
Zhou-Cun A
Publication date
01-05-2018
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Journal of Assisted Reproduction and Genetics / Issue 5/2018
Print ISSN: 1058-0468
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7330
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10815-018-1132-6

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