Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Brain Topography 3/2018

01-05-2018 | Original Paper

Machine Learning EEG to Predict Cognitive Functioning and Processing Speed Over a 2-Year Period in Multiple Sclerosis Patients and Controls

Authors: Hanni Kiiski, Lee Jollans, Seán Ó. Donnchadha, Hugh Nolan, Róisín Lonergan, Siobhán Kelly, Marie Claire O’Brien, Katie Kinsella, Jessica Bramham, Teresa Burke, Michael Hutchinson, Niall Tubridy, Richard B. Reilly, Robert Whelan

Published in: Brain Topography | Issue 3/2018

Login to get access

Abstract

Event-related potentials (ERPs) show promise to be objective indicators of cognitive functioning. The aim of the study was to examine if ERPs recorded during an oddball task would predict cognitive functioning and information processing speed in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients and controls at the individual level. Seventy-eight participants (35 MS patients, 43 healthy age-matched controls) completed visual and auditory 2- and 3-stimulus oddball tasks with 128-channel EEG, and a neuropsychological battery, at baseline (month 0) and at Months 13 and 26. ERPs from 0 to 700 ms and across the whole scalp were transformed into 1728 individual spatio-temporal datapoints per participant. A machine learning method that included penalized linear regression used the entire spatio-temporal ERP to predict composite scores of both cognitive functioning and processing speed at baseline (month 0), and months 13 and 26. The results showed ERPs during the visual oddball tasks could predict cognitive functioning and information processing speed at baseline and a year later in a sample of MS patients and healthy controls. In contrast, ERPs during auditory tasks were not predictive of cognitive performance. These objective neurophysiological indicators of cognitive functioning and processing speed, and machine learning methods that can interrogate high-dimensional data, show promise in outcome prediction.
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
go back to reference Amato MP, Ponziani G, Pracucci G, Bracco L, Siracusa G, Amaducci L (1995) Cognitive impairment in early-onset multiple sclerosis. Pattern, predictors, and impact on everyday life in a 4-year follow-up. Arch Neurol 52(2):168–172CrossRefPubMed Amato MP, Ponziani G, Pracucci G, Bracco L, Siracusa G, Amaducci L (1995) Cognitive impairment in early-onset multiple sclerosis. Pattern, predictors, and impact on everyday life in a 4-year follow-up. Arch Neurol 52(2):168–172CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Amato MP, Ponziani G, Siracusa G, Sorbi S (2001) Cognitive dysfunction in early-onset multiple sclerosis: a reappraisal after 10 years. Arch Neurol 58(10):1602–1606CrossRefPubMed Amato MP, Ponziani G, Siracusa G, Sorbi S (2001) Cognitive dysfunction in early-onset multiple sclerosis: a reappraisal after 10 years. Arch Neurol 58(10):1602–1606CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Beck AT, Epstein N, Brown G, Steer RA (1988) An inventory for measuring clinical anxiety: psychometric properties. J Consult Clin Psychol 56(6):893–897CrossRefPubMed Beck AT, Epstein N, Brown G, Steer RA (1988) An inventory for measuring clinical anxiety: psychometric properties. J Consult Clin Psychol 56(6):893–897CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Beck AT, Steer RA, Brown GK (1996) Beck depression inventory-II: manual. Psychological Corporation, San Antonio Beck AT, Steer RA, Brown GK (1996) Beck depression inventory-II: manual. Psychological Corporation, San Antonio
go back to reference Benedict RHB, Schretlen D, Groninger L, Dobraski M, Shpritz B (1996) Revision of the brief visuospatial memory test: studies of normal performance, reliability, and validity. Psychol Assess 8(2):145–153CrossRef Benedict RHB, Schretlen D, Groninger L, Dobraski M, Shpritz B (1996) Revision of the brief visuospatial memory test: studies of normal performance, reliability, and validity. Psychol Assess 8(2):145–153CrossRef
go back to reference Benton AL, Hamsher K (1989) Multilingual aphasia examination. AJA Associates, Iowa City Benton AL, Hamsher K (1989) Multilingual aphasia examination. AJA Associates, Iowa City
go back to reference Cawley GC, Talbot NLC (2010) On over-fitting in model selection and subsequent selection bias in performance evaluation. J Mach Learn Res 11:2079–2107 Cawley GC, Talbot NLC (2010) On over-fitting in model selection and subsequent selection bias in performance evaluation. J Mach Learn Res 11:2079–2107
go back to reference Covey TJ, Shucard JL, Shucard DW (2016) Evaluation of cognitive control and distraction using event-related potentials in healthy individuals and patients with multiple sclerosis. In: International conference on augmented cognition. Springer International Publishing, pp 165–176 Covey TJ, Shucard JL, Shucard DW (2016) Evaluation of cognitive control and distraction using event-related potentials in healthy individuals and patients with multiple sclerosis. In: International conference on augmented cognition. Springer International Publishing, pp 165–176
go back to reference Crawford JR (1992) Current and premorbid intelligence measures in neuropsychological assessment. In: Crawford JR, McKinlay WW (eds) A handbook of neuropsychological assessment. Erlbaum, London, pp 21–49 Crawford JR (1992) Current and premorbid intelligence measures in neuropsychological assessment. In: Crawford JR, McKinlay WW (eds) A handbook of neuropsychological assessment. Erlbaum, London, pp 21–49
go back to reference De Sonneville LM, Boringa JB, Reuling IE, Lazeron RH, Ader HJ, Polman CH (2002) Information processing characteristics in subtypes of multiple sclerosis. Neuropsychologia 40(11):1751–1765CrossRefPubMed De Sonneville LM, Boringa JB, Reuling IE, Lazeron RH, Ader HJ, Polman CH (2002) Information processing characteristics in subtypes of multiple sclerosis. Neuropsychologia 40(11):1751–1765CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Delis DC, Kramer JH, Kaplan E, Ober BA (2000) California verbal learning test: second edition (CVLT-II). The Psychological Corporation, San Antonio Delis DC, Kramer JH, Kaplan E, Ober BA (2000) California verbal learning test: second edition (CVLT-II). The Psychological Corporation, San Antonio
go back to reference Filippi M, Rocca MA, Benedict RH, DeLuca J, Geurts JJ, Rombouts SA, Ron M, Comi G (2010) The contribution of MRI in assessing cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis. Neurology 75(23):2121–2128CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Filippi M, Rocca MA, Benedict RH, DeLuca J, Geurts JJ, Rombouts SA, Ron M, Comi G (2010) The contribution of MRI in assessing cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis. Neurology 75(23):2121–2128CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Friedman D, Cycowicz YM, Gaeta H (2001) The novelty P3: an event-related brain potential (ERP) sign of the brain’s evaluation of novelty. Neurosci Biobehav Rev 25(4):355–373CrossRefPubMed Friedman D, Cycowicz YM, Gaeta H (2001) The novelty P3: an event-related brain potential (ERP) sign of the brain’s evaluation of novelty. Neurosci Biobehav Rev 25(4):355–373CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Genova HM, DeLuca J, Chiaravalloti N, Wylie G (2013) The relationship between executive functioning, processing speed and white matter integrity in multiple sclerosis. J Clin Exp Neuropsychol 35(6):631CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Genova HM, DeLuca J, Chiaravalloti N, Wylie G (2013) The relationship between executive functioning, processing speed and white matter integrity in multiple sclerosis. J Clin Exp Neuropsychol 35(6):631CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Gillan CM, Whelan R (2017) What big data can do for treatment in psychiatry. Curr Opin Behav Sci 31(18):34–42CrossRef Gillan CM, Whelan R (2017) What big data can do for treatment in psychiatry. Curr Opin Behav Sci 31(18):34–42CrossRef
go back to reference Gronwall DMA (1977) Paced auditory serial-addition task: measure of recovery from concussion. Percept Motor Skill 44:367–373CrossRef Gronwall DMA (1977) Paced auditory serial-addition task: measure of recovery from concussion. Percept Motor Skill 44:367–373CrossRef
go back to reference Holdnack HA (2001) Wechsler test of adult reading: WTAR. The Psychological Corporation, San Antonio Holdnack HA (2001) Wechsler test of adult reading: WTAR. The Psychological Corporation, San Antonio
go back to reference Jollans L, Whelan R (2016) The clinical added value of imaging: A perspective from outcome prediction. Biol Psychiatry Cogn Neurosci Neuroimaging 1(5):423–432CrossRefPubMed Jollans L, Whelan R (2016) The clinical added value of imaging: A perspective from outcome prediction. Biol Psychiatry Cogn Neurosci Neuroimaging 1(5):423–432CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Jollans L, Whelan R (2017) Neuromarkers for mental disorders: Harnessing population neuroscience. In: Werdecker A (ed) Biomarkers for demographic research. Springer (In press) Jollans L, Whelan R (2017) Neuromarkers for mental disorders: Harnessing population neuroscience. In: Werdecker A (ed) Biomarkers for demographic research. Springer (In press)
go back to reference Jollans L, Zhipeng C, Icke I, Greene C, Kelly C, Banaschewski T et al (2016) Ventral striatum connectivity during reward anticipation in adolescent smokers. Dev Neuropsychol 41(1–2):6–21CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Jollans L, Zhipeng C, Icke I, Greene C, Kelly C, Banaschewski T et al (2016) Ventral striatum connectivity during reward anticipation in adolescent smokers. Dev Neuropsychol 41(1–2):6–21CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Jollans L, Whelan R, Venables L, Turnbull OH, Cella M, Dymond S (2017) Computational EEG modelling of decision making under ambiguity reveals spatio-temporal dynamics of outcome evaluation. Behav Brain Res 321:28–35CrossRefPubMed Jollans L, Whelan R, Venables L, Turnbull OH, Cella M, Dymond S (2017) Computational EEG modelling of decision making under ambiguity reveals spatio-temporal dynamics of outcome evaluation. Behav Brain Res 321:28–35CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Leocani L, Comi G (2000) Neurophysiological investigations in multiple sclerosis. Curr Opin Neurol 13(3):255–261CrossRefPubMed Leocani L, Comi G (2000) Neurophysiological investigations in multiple sclerosis. Curr Opin Neurol 13(3):255–261CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Lowe C, Rabbitt P (1998) Test/re-test reliability of the CANTAB and ISPOCD neuropsychological batteries: theoretical and practical issues. Neuropsychologia 36(9):915–923CrossRefPubMed Lowe C, Rabbitt P (1998) Test/re-test reliability of the CANTAB and ISPOCD neuropsychological batteries: theoretical and practical issues. Neuropsychologia 36(9):915–923CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Luck SJ, Gaspelin N (2017) How to get statistically significant effects in any ERP experiment (and why you shouldn’t). Psychophysiology 54(1):146–157CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Luck SJ, Gaspelin N (2017) How to get statistically significant effects in any ERP experiment (and why you shouldn’t). Psychophysiology 54(1):146–157CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Oostenveld R, Praamstra P (2001) The five percent electrode system for high-resolution EEG and ERP measurements. Clin Neurophysiol 112(4):713–719CrossRefPubMed Oostenveld R, Praamstra P (2001) The five percent electrode system for high-resolution EEG and ERP measurements. Clin Neurophysiol 112(4):713–719CrossRefPubMed
go back to reference Piras MR, Magnano I, Canu ED, Paulus KS, Satta WM, Soddu A et al (2003) Longitudinal study of cognitive dysfunction in multiple sclerosis: neuropsychological, neuroradiological, and neurophysiological findings. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 74(7):878–885CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Piras MR, Magnano I, Canu ED, Paulus KS, Satta WM, Soddu A et al (2003) Longitudinal study of cognitive dysfunction in multiple sclerosis: neuropsychological, neuroradiological, and neurophysiological findings. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 74(7):878–885CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Rabbitt P, Lowe C, Shilling V (2001) Frontal tests and models for cognitive ageing. Eur J Cogn Psychol 13:5–28CrossRef Rabbitt P, Lowe C, Shilling V (2001) Frontal tests and models for cognitive ageing. Eur J Cogn Psychol 13:5–28CrossRef
go back to reference Smith A (1982) Symbol digit modalities test: manual. Western Psychological Services, Los Angeles Smith A (1982) Symbol digit modalities test: manual. Western Psychological Services, Los Angeles
go back to reference Titlic M, Mihalj M, Petrovic AB, Suljic E (2016) P300 as an auxiliary method in clinical practice: a review of literature. J Health Sci 6(3):143–148 Titlic M, Mihalj M, Petrovic AB, Suljic E (2016) P300 as an auxiliary method in clinical practice: a review of literature. J Health Sci 6(3):143–148
go back to reference Trenerry MR, Crossan B, DeBoe J, Leber WR (1989) Stroop neuropsychological screening test: manual. Psychological Assessment Resources, Florida Trenerry MR, Crossan B, DeBoe J, Leber WR (1989) Stroop neuropsychological screening test: manual. Psychological Assessment Resources, Florida
go back to reference Whelan R (2008) Effective analysis of reaction time data. Psychol Rec 58(3):475–482CrossRef Whelan R (2008) Effective analysis of reaction time data. Psychol Rec 58(3):475–482CrossRef
go back to reference Zhao Y, Healy BC, Rotstein D, Guttmann CR, Bakshi R, Weiner HL, Brodley CE, Chitnis T (2017) Exploration of machine learning techniques in predicting multiple sclerosis disease course. PLoS ONE 12(4):e0174866CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral Zhao Y, Healy BC, Rotstein D, Guttmann CR, Bakshi R, Weiner HL, Brodley CE, Chitnis T (2017) Exploration of machine learning techniques in predicting multiple sclerosis disease course. PLoS ONE 12(4):e0174866CrossRefPubMedPubMedCentral
go back to reference Zou H, Hastie T (2005) Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol 67:301–320CrossRef Zou H, Hastie T (2005) Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol 67:301–320CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Machine Learning EEG to Predict Cognitive Functioning and Processing Speed Over a 2-Year Period in Multiple Sclerosis Patients and Controls
Authors
Hanni Kiiski
Lee Jollans
Seán Ó. Donnchadha
Hugh Nolan
Róisín Lonergan
Siobhán Kelly
Marie Claire O’Brien
Katie Kinsella
Jessica Bramham
Teresa Burke
Michael Hutchinson
Niall Tubridy
Richard B. Reilly
Robert Whelan
Publication date
01-05-2018
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Brain Topography / Issue 3/2018
Print ISSN: 0896-0267
Electronic ISSN: 1573-6792
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10548-018-0620-4

Other articles of this Issue 3/2018

Brain Topography 3/2018 Go to the issue