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Published in: Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery 4/2008

01-07-2008 | Original Article

Tobacco and the risk of pancreatic cancer: a review and meta-analysis

Authors: Simona Iodice, Sara Gandini, Patrick Maisonneuve, Albert B. Lowenfels

Published in: Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery | Issue 4/2008

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Abstract

Background/Aim

Smoking is a recognized risk factor for pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study was to perform a meta-analysis to provide a robust estimate of the strength of the association between smoking and pancreatic cancer, to determine the risk of pipe and cigar smoking, and to estimate the duration of an elevated risk after smoking cessation.

Methods

We performed a meta-analysis of 82 published studies containing epidemiologic information about smoking and pancreatic cancer. Information on studies published between 1950 and 2007 was abstracted and prepared for analysis using standard meta-analytic procedures.

Results

The overall risk of pancreatic cancer estimated from the combined results for current and former smokers was, respectively, 1.74 (95% CI 1.61–1.87) and 1.2 (95% CI 1.11–1.29). The risk of pancreatic cancer for current and former pipe and/or cigar smokers was respectively 1.47 (95% CI 1.17–1.83) and 1.29 (95% CI 0.68–2.45). For former cigarette smokers, the risk remains elevated for a minimum of 10 years after cessation.

Conclusions

Based on estimates from four continents, smoking cigarettes causes a 75% increase in the risk of pancreatic cancer compared to non-smokers, and the risk persists for a minimum of 10 years after smoking cessation. This implies that in a population where the prevalence of smoking is 30%, the population’s attributable risk (the proportion of pancreatic cancer explained by smoking) is estimated to be 20%.
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Metadata
Title
Tobacco and the risk of pancreatic cancer: a review and meta-analysis
Authors
Simona Iodice
Sara Gandini
Patrick Maisonneuve
Albert B. Lowenfels
Publication date
01-07-2008
Publisher
Springer-Verlag
Published in
Langenbeck's Archives of Surgery / Issue 4/2008
Print ISSN: 1435-2443
Electronic ISSN: 1435-2451
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00423-007-0266-2

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