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01-07-2016 | Original Article

Predictors of mortality in pediatric trauma: experiences of a level 1 trauma center and an assessment of the International Classification Injury Severity Score (ICISS)

Authors: Casey J. Allen, Amy E. Wagenaar, Davis B. Horkan, Daniel J. Baldor, William M. Hannay, Jun Tashiro, Nicholas Namias, Juan E. Sola

Published in: Pediatric Surgery International | Issue 7/2016

Abstract

Objectives

Injury severity scoring tools allow systematic comparison of outcomes in trauma research and quality improvement by indexing an expected mortality risk for certain injuries. This study investigated the predictive value of the empirically derived ICD9-derived Injury Severity Score (ICISS) compared to expert consensus-derived scoring systems for trauma mortality in a pediatric population.

Methods

1935 consecutive trauma patients aged <18 years from 1/2000 to 12/2012 were reviewed. Mechanism of injury (MOI), Injury Severity Score (ISS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Trauma Score ISS (TRISS), and ICISS were compared using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis and receiver operator characteristic analysis.

Results

The population was a median age of 11 ± 6 year, 70 % male, and 76 % blunt injury. Median ISS 13 ± 12 and overall mortality 3.5 %. Independent predictors of mortality were initial hematocrit [odds ratio (OR) 0.83 (0.73–0.95)], HCO3 [OR 0.82 (0.67–0.98)], Glasgow Coma Scale score [OR 0.75 (0.62–0.90)], and ISS [OR 1.10 (1.04–1.15)]. TRISS was superior to ICISS in predicting survival [area under receiver operator curve: 0.992 (0.982–1.000) vs 0.888 (0.838–0.938)].

Conclusions

ICISS was inferior to existing injury scoring tools at predicting mortality in pediatric trauma patients.

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Title: Predictors of mortality in pediatric trauma: experiences of a level 1 trauma center and an assessment of the International Classification Injury Severity Score (ICISS)
Authors: Casey J. Allen
Amy E. Wagenaar
Davis B. Horkan
Daniel J. Baldor
William M. Hannay
Jun Tashiro
Nicholas Namias
Juan E. Sola
Publication date: 01-07-2016
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in: Pediatric Surgery International / Issue 7/2016
Print ISSN: 0179-0358
Electronic ISSN: 1437-9813
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00383-016-3900-7

At a glance: The STEP trials

Springer Medicine

Predictors of mortality in pediatric trauma: experiences of a level 1 trauma center and an assessment of the International Classification Injury Severity Score (ICISS)

Abstract

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusions

At a glance: The STEP trials

Springer Medicine

Abstract

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusions

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