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Published in: World Journal of Surgery 7/2020

Open Access 01-07-2020 | Surgery in Low and Middle Income Countries

Validating the Global Surgery Geographical Accessibility Indicator: Differences in Modeled Versus Patient-Reported Travel Times

Authors: Niclas Rudolfson, Magdalena Gruendl, Theoneste Nkurunziza, Frederick Kateera, Kristin Sonderman, Edison Nihiwacu, Bahati Ramadhan, Robert Riviello, Bethany Hedt-Gauthier

Published in: World Journal of Surgery | Issue 7/2020

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Abstract

Background

Since long travel times to reach health facilities are associated with worse outcomes, geographic accessibility is one of the six core global surgery indicators; this corresponds to the second of the “Three Delays Framework,” namely “delay in reaching a health facility.” Most attempts to estimate this indicator have been based on geographical information systems (GIS) algorithms. The aim of our study was to compare GIS derived estimates to self-reported travel times for patients traveling to a district hospital in rural Rwanda for emergency obstetric care.

Methods

Our study includes 664 women who traveled to undergo a Cesarean delivery in Kirehe, Rwanda. We compared self-reported travel time from home to the hospital (excluding waiting time) with GIS estimated travel times, which were computed using the World Health Organization tool AccessMod, using linear regression.

Results

The majority of patients used multiple modes of transportation (walking = 48.5%, public transport = 74.2%, private transport = 2.9%, and ambulance 70.6%). Self-reported times were longer than GIS estimates by a factor of 1.49 (95% CI 1.40–1.57). Concordance was higher when the GIS model took into account that all patients in Rwanda are referred via their health center (β = 1.12; 95% CI 1.05–1.18).

Conclusions

To our knowledge, in this largest to date GIS validation study for geographical access to healthcare in low- and middle-income countries, a standard GIS model was found to significantly underestimate real travel time, which likely is in part because it does not model the actual route patients are travelling. Therefore, previous studies of 2-h access to surgery will need to be interpreted with caution, and future studies should take local travelling conditions into account.
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Metadata
Title
Validating the Global Surgery Geographical Accessibility Indicator: Differences in Modeled Versus Patient-Reported Travel Times
Authors
Niclas Rudolfson
Magdalena Gruendl
Theoneste Nkurunziza
Frederick Kateera
Kristin Sonderman
Edison Nihiwacu
Bahati Ramadhan
Robert Riviello
Bethany Hedt-Gauthier
Publication date
01-07-2020
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Published in
World Journal of Surgery / Issue 7/2020
Print ISSN: 0364-2313
Electronic ISSN: 1432-2323
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-020-05480-8

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