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Published in: European Journal of Epidemiology 4/2016

Open Access 01-04-2016 | CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE

Cost–benefit analysis of the polypill in the primary prevention of myocardial infarction and stroke

Authors: Nicholas J. Wald, Johannes Michiel Luteijn, Joan K. Morris, David Taylor, Peter Oppenheimer

Published in: European Journal of Epidemiology | Issue 4/2016

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Abstract

The primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is a public health priority. To assess the costs and benefits of a Polypill Prevention Programme using a daily 4-component polypill from age 50 in the UK, we determined the life years gained without a first myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, together with the total service cost (or saving) and the net cost (or saving) per year of life gained without a first MI or stroke. This was estimated on the basis of a 50 % uptake and a previously published 83 % treatment adherence. The total years of life gained without a first MI or stroke in a mature programme is 990,000 each year in the UK. If the cost of the Polypill Prevention Programme were £1 per person per day, the total cost would be £4.76 bn and, given the savings (at 2014 prices) of £2.65 bn arising from the disease prevented, there would be a net cost of £2.11 bn representing a net cost per year of life gained without a first MI or stroke of £2120. The results are robust to sensitivity analyses. A national Polypill Prevention Programme would have a substantial effect in preventing MIs and strokes and be cost-effective.
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Metadata
Title
Cost–benefit analysis of the polypill in the primary prevention of myocardial infarction and stroke
Authors
Nicholas J. Wald
Johannes Michiel Luteijn
Joan K. Morris
David Taylor
Peter Oppenheimer
Publication date
01-04-2016
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
European Journal of Epidemiology / Issue 4/2016
Print ISSN: 0393-2990
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7284
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-016-0122-1

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