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Published in: International Journal of Colorectal Disease 2/2018

01-02-2018 | Original Article

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the use of serum procalcitonin levels to predict intra-abdominal infections after colorectal surgery

Authors: Winson Jianhong Tan, Wan Qi Ng, Rehena Sultana, Nurun Nisa de Souza, Min Hoe Chew, Fung Joon Foo, Choong Leong Tang, Wah Siew Tan

Published in: International Journal of Colorectal Disease | Issue 2/2018

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Abstract

Purpose

There has been much recent interest in the use of procalcitonin (PCT) as a marker of intra-abdominal infection (IAI) following colorectal surgery. However, the literature remains divided on the value of PCT in this setting. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the value of PCT in predicting IAI after colorectal surgery.

Methods

Systemic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews to identify studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of PCT as a predictor for detecting IAI on postoperative days (POD) 3 to 5 following colorectal surgery. A meta-analysis was performed using random effect model and pooled predictive parameters as well as cut-off values for POD 3 to 5 were derived.

Results

Eight studies consisting 1629 patients were included. The pooled prevalence of IAI was 5.7% on POD 3, 9.7% on POD 4, and 6.3% on POD 5. The pooled AUC for POD 3 to 5 were 0.83 (95% CI 0.78–0.88), 0.79 (95% CI 0.64–0.93), and 0.94 (95% CI 0.91–0.97), respectively. The derived PCT cut-off values were 1.45 ng/ml on POD 3, 1.28 ng/ml on POD 4, and 1.26 ng/ml on POD 5. PCT had the highest diagnostic capability on POD 5 with diagnostic odds ratio of 32.9 (95% CI 15.01–69.88), sensitivity of 0.78 (95% CI 0.65–0.89), and specificity of 0.88 (95% CI 0.85–0.90).

Conclusions

PCT is a useful diagnostic predictor of IAI after colorectal surgery. It has the greatest diagnostic accuracy on POD 5 and can help guide safe discharge of patients after colorectal surgery.
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Metadata
Title
Systematic review and meta-analysis of the use of serum procalcitonin levels to predict intra-abdominal infections after colorectal surgery
Authors
Winson Jianhong Tan
Wan Qi Ng
Rehena Sultana
Nurun Nisa de Souza
Min Hoe Chew
Fung Joon Foo
Choong Leong Tang
Wah Siew Tan
Publication date
01-02-2018
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
International Journal of Colorectal Disease / Issue 2/2018
Print ISSN: 0179-1958
Electronic ISSN: 1432-1262
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00384-017-2956-8

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